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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13442712 times)
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129120 on:
July 19, 2017, 08:34:53 AM »
WSOP " Sorry, this market has been suspended " Coral
let me know if it goes back up please
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #129121 on:
July 19, 2017, 08:39:57 AM »
Quote from: rinswun on July 18, 2017, 06:11:37 PM
Recommend £40 on RCB to win his Thursday 3 ball with Baldy at 5/4. Really super price.
Market Selection Price Hcp
1st Round 3 Balls - The Open Championship 2017
15.21 S.Hend/R.Cabrera-Bello/B.Watson
Rafa Cabrera-Bello 5/4
Total stake 40.00
Estimated return 90.00
Full stake 40.00
Full estimated return 90.00
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129122 on:
July 19, 2017, 08:41:24 AM »
Quote from: Karabiner on July 18, 2017, 09:42:56 PM
I quite like Patrick Reed this week; T20 and T12 in his last two Opens and showing some signs of a return to form with a T13 in this year's US Open.
Recommend £10 EW Patrick(Bond Villain)Reed @80/1.
£10.00 Single
Market Selection Price Hcp
Outright - The Open Championship 2017
Outright
EW 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 Patrick Reed 80/1
Total stake £ 20.00
Estimated return £ 1,020.00
Full stake £ 20.00
Full estimated return £ 1,020.00
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FUN4FRASER
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #129123 on:
July 19, 2017, 08:48:52 AM »
Quote from: bergeroo on July 18, 2017, 11:24:56 PM
I wrote this last year and suggested a bet for the winning main event hand to be a pocket pair at 7/1.
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=67250.0
"I've gone through the stats of winning hole cards from Wikipedia from no limit holdem tournaments where it shows the winning hand. I've excluded mixed games/Pot Limit/Limit and ante up.
Here is my data: (pocket pairs/total tournaments)
WSOP Mains 13/44
12/35 WSOP 2016
9/34 WSOP 2015
5/33 WSOP 2014
6/36 WSOP 2013
10/45 EPT first five seasons (doesn't show hole cards on wikipedia after that)
16/38 WSOPE and Australia all time
Total 71/265 tournies where the winning hand was a pocket pair."
This year at WSOP I've just done a quick count of the NLH tournaments and winning hands at WSOP and I have got 11/40, a similar ratio. Giving us 82/306 once I've added last years ME too.
Again it is priced up at 7/1 with Choral in their WSOP section and I've bet again because I think it is value.
What do people think?
Agree with you Phil , Corals office junior prices again
Any Two Unsuited, Unpaired Cards 1/2
Any Two Suited Cards 2/1
Any Pocket Pair 7/1
In a heads up match its likely to be an all in pre flop scenario especially with a short stack and in that case the pocket pair is a flip . of course it could be pair versus pair or AK V AQ
If i was betting to Corals margins and based on my experience I would have it
Any Two Unsuited, Unpaired Cards 4/7
Any Pocket Pair 7/4
Any Two Suited Cards 7/1
Hence 7 -1 is too big imo , calling Doobs
Edit 7 - 1 still there on this market Rich...... 25-1 & 33-1 on individual market gone
http://sports.coral.co.uk//?action=AddSelection&ev_oc_id=578861428&id=N&member=incomeaccess&profile=1sbxml0000&creferer=BTAG:a_554b_2066&seo_uri=/poker-events/world-series-of-poker/2017-world-series-of-poker-7462103.html
«
Last Edit: July 19, 2017, 08:52:37 AM by FUN4FRASER
»
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129124 on:
July 19, 2017, 08:52:20 AM »
thanks Fraser
i would rather chop both arms off and sit in a vat of acid than go direct to the coral website, last debugged around 2002, but i will have a go
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #129125 on:
July 19, 2017, 09:13:09 AM »
Any Pocket Pair7/12017 World Series of Poker - 21/07/2017
Stake £10.00
Estimated Return:£80.00
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Return: £80.00
sent to trader for review
you can't be too careful
still pending....
no, offered £3.60 at 7-1
(unrestricted account)
i tried
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redsimon
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129126 on:
July 19, 2017, 09:26:43 AM »
Any Pocket pair into 9/2 on Choral, still worth a bet?
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Chompy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129127 on:
July 19, 2017, 09:32:28 AM »
Haha, good old Coral.
Hard to split Coral, Betway, Sky, VC, 365 and Paddy Power these days when it comes to be utterly tez.
Have £40 on Plymouth to beat Posh on the opening day. General 5-2 fine if we can't get the 11-4 with Sporting. More on why in due course.
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bergeroo
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #129128 on:
July 19, 2017, 09:40:12 AM »
Quote from: redsimon on July 19, 2017, 09:26:43 AM
Any Pocket pair into 9/2 on Choral, still worth a bet?
My data makes it a bit less than 3/1 but only 300 odd tournies so there is a margin of error there. Not really worth hunting for more data for one bet a year. Quite a big difference in that price 7/1 to 9/2 and I think I'd leave it at that price I guess.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129129 on:
July 19, 2017, 09:40:12 AM »
Plymouth Peterborough v Plymouth Winner
11/4
Total Stake: £40.00
Total Returns: £150.00
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129130 on:
July 19, 2017, 09:42:32 AM »
Quote from: Chompy on July 19, 2017, 09:32:28 AM
Haha, good old Coral.
Hard to split Coral, Betway, Sky, VC, 365 and Paddy Power these days when it comes to be utterly tez.
Have £40 on Plymouth to beat Posh on the opening day. General 5-2 fine if we can't get the 11-4 with Sporting. More on why in due course.
Nothing wrong with companies offering 33/1 about 14/1 chances.
Sitting here hoping the ban hammer isn't going to fall.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
KitKeeper
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129131 on:
July 19, 2017, 09:53:10 AM »
Any love for Palace to top the table at the end of August at 75/1 (bfsb)?
Huddersfield (h)
Liverpool (a)
Swansea (h)
The obvious threat is Liverpool, but they've had some handy results against them in recent years and with a new manager and a handy squad, you never know?
Mega longshot, appreciated...
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superwomble
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #129132 on:
July 19, 2017, 09:58:54 AM »
Quote from: TightEnd on July 19, 2017, 08:34:53 AM
WSOP " Sorry, this market has been suspended " Coral
let me know if it goes back up please
Back up. Sinclair into 18/1, Ott 25/1.
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
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Reply #129133 on:
July 19, 2017, 10:19:01 AM »
Quote from: superwomble on July 19, 2017, 09:58:54 AM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 19, 2017, 08:34:53 AM
WSOP " Sorry, this market has been suspended " Coral
let me know if it goes back up please
Back up. Sinclair into 18/1, Ott 25/1.
Pokershares will let you back Ott not to win at 1.07 which is about 1/14 if I understand their odds correctly. Someone also looking to back Ott at 23/1 on betfair. Suspect the 14/1 buy price on the exchange is likely closer to correct than the lay price. So Ott must still be a bet, and Sinclair is getting more borderline. Think you still get +ev on both.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
FUN4FRASER
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #129134 on:
July 19, 2017, 10:29:33 AM »
Quote from: Doobs on July 19, 2017, 09:42:32 AM
Quote from: Chompy on July 19, 2017, 09:32:28 AM
Haha, good old Coral.
Hard to split Coral, Betway, Sky, VC, 365 and Paddy Power these days when it comes to be utterly tez.
Have £40 on Plymouth to beat Posh on the opening day. General 5-2 fine if we can't get the 11-4 with Sporting. More on why in due course.
Nothing wrong with companies offering 33/1 about 14/1 chances.
Sitting here hoping the ban hammer isn't going to fall.
Corals have lost touch with reality , part of me wants to say great when you get on a mistake but generally its hard work . Im not sure who to blame the lol traders or directors ? either way they seem clueless.
On The WSOP its quite interesting that Corals and Ladbrokes prices are now identical ... coincidence ? no chance ! , even though I appreciate its the same generic formula every year for card odds & red or black etc it does make me wonder how these "multi million " betting companies are structured
https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/poker/nternational/world-series-of-poker/2017-world-series-of-poker/225341410/
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