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| | |-+  The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged 		0 Members and 4 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Poll
Question: How will you vote on December 12th 2019
Conservative - 19 (33.9%)
Labour - 12 (21.4%)
SNP - 2 (3.6%)
Lib Dem - 8 (14.3%)
Brexit - 1 (1.8%)
Green - 6 (10.7%)
Other - 2 (3.6%)
Spoil - 0 (0%)
Not voting - 6 (10.7%)
Total Voters: 55

Pages: 1 ... 530 531 532 533 [534] 535 536 537 538 ... 1533 Go Down Print
Author Topic: The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged  (Read 2191351 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #7995 on: April 27, 2017, 09:33:08 AM »
Labour's biggest nightmare is UKIP voters switching to Tory - and it looks like it's happening

quotes private polling having labour on 20%

http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/labours-biggest-nightmare-ukip-voters-10302096
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« Reply #7996 on: April 27, 2017, 09:33:46 AM »
slumping to a 16% lead

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 45% (-3)
LAB: 29% (+4)
LDEM: 10% (-2)
UKIP: 7% (+2)

(via YouGov)
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« Reply #7997 on: April 27, 2017, 10:35:50 AM »
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« Reply #7998 on: April 27, 2017, 04:55:50 PM »
Some quit einteresting informal electoral pacts going on

Libs not standing in brighton to help caroline lucas/green get back

Ukip not standing against Kate Hoey in Vauxhall

Also not standing in Ilford North - to help Tories vs wes streeting. streeting's maj for labour is 589 and UKIP got 4000 votes last time.He's toast.
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« Reply #7999 on: April 27, 2017, 06:14:59 PM »
Just had a German guy at my door canvassing for the Tories, effectively supporting Brexit, didn't expect that! 
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« Reply #8000 on: April 28, 2017, 09:08:51 AM »
YouGov/Times (Scotland Westminster):

SNP 41 (-9)
CON 28 (+14)
LAB 18 (-6)
LD 7 (-1)
GRN 3 (+2)
UKIP 2 (+2)

Chg vs 2015 24th-27th N=1,017

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« Reply #8001 on: April 28, 2017, 09:12:04 AM »
going to post some David Allen/FT blog Brexit stuff

detailed but very interesting reading at blogs.ft.com/david-allen-green/2017/04/26/brexit-by-timetable-the-evolution-of-the-eus-position-part-2 …

one comment underneath was

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« Reply #8002 on: April 28, 2017, 09:12:59 AM »
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« Reply #8003 on: April 28, 2017, 09:14:05 AM »
The difficult truth for the left is that people are not voting "reluctantly" for May until a centrist lawyer turns up:

(cliffs, for now she's incredibly popular)

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/june2017/2017/04/want-beat-theresa-may-first-accept-shes-popular
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« Reply #8004 on: April 28, 2017, 09:15:16 AM »
Why the Tories are talking up Labour

If voters cannot envisage Corbyn in No 10, why should they play their party in a Theresa May coronation?

https://www.spectator.co.uk/2017/04/why-the-tories-are-talking-up-labour/#
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« Reply #8005 on: April 28, 2017, 09:15:45 AM »
How worried are Labour MPs about losing their seats?

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/june2017/2017/04/how-worried-are-labour-mps-about-losing-their-seats
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« Reply #8006 on: April 28, 2017, 09:16:24 AM »
another very interesting article

Two referendums have revived the Tories and undone Labour

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/june2017/2017/04/two-referendums-have-revived-tories-and-undone-labour
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« Reply #8007 on: April 28, 2017, 09:17:00 AM »
on the other hand it is suggested as follows by one politicaleditor

Why Lab. MPs think they can win seats:

1. Local reputations.
2. Corbyn can't become PM.
3. Preventing Tory super-majority.
4. Tribal loyalty
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« Reply #8008 on: April 28, 2017, 09:18:48 AM »
"Everything May says absolutely hits the G-Spot of of the electorate as far as Brexit is concerned"

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/theresa-may-labour-supporters-general-election-lend-me-their-vote-brexit-success-eu-tory-leader-a7706096.html
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« Reply #8009 on: April 28, 2017, 09:19:58 AM »
and just to finish off the morming round up

from the times

EXC: Labour figures are planning for worst case scenario of winning just 110 seats, based on private party polling

expectations management perhaps?

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/labour-tries-to-shrug-off-poll-warning-of-a-landslide-m7h2gl3jw
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