Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Postscript to the Blue Square story last night, when I got restricted on a small NFL Bet.

I am pretty sure it was just an overnight thing, or the specific Market, but I wanted to test it.

So today, I placed a regular bet with them, & it was readily accepted.

Hope the same applies to horsey & reds.

[horseplayer]

tbh i very very rarely use them day to day as there racing prices are unattractive in the main

probably not helped my last 8 bets with them have been in low £ markets

[Junior Senior]

Been told St Johnstone have 7 Players down with a virus and training was cancelledthis morning.
Celtic -1 @ 5/4 won't last long once the news breaks.

I managed to get a bit better - 13/10! -  thank you.

We have £40 @ 13/10 with Stan James, Celtic -1.

ON
 St Johnstone v Celtic : Match Handicap +1 Celtic -1 13/10
Total stake £40.00
Estimated return £92.00

6/5 with laddies if restricts.

On.

[ACE2M]

ITV4 - some nice pictures going through the peaks at the minute Tikay. Gun hill  coming soon.

[tikay]

ITV4 - some nice pictures going through the peaks at the minute Tikay. Gun hill  coming soon.

Our chap there or thereabouts?

[ACE2M]

ITV4 - some nice pictures going through the peaks at the minute Tikay. Gun hill  coming soon.

Our chap there or thereabouts?

he's in the main group i think. They are hunting the leader, its all going messy though. will know once they get over gun hill.

[Tonji]

Our mans team, Endura have put some pressure on Cavendish & Sky & have split the peloton. Need to ride hard to Gun Hill for our man to attack there!

[The Camel]

Clearly all handicaps in the NFL are not created equal. You get 7 points for a TD (represents around 74% of scoring). You get 3 pts for a field goal.

 Games are way more likely to be won by 3 or 7 points than any other score. Games are unlikely to be won by 5 pts.

 The total points are way more likely to add up to 37 than any other number. 40 and 43 are other popular numbers.

 I value Bobby1's opinion on many things but on this one I am not too sure that buying the hook was a great bargain. It was OK and it probably was just cost-neutral, but I'm surprised that a shrewd guy like him didn't just take Packers -4.5 on Monday or Tuesday. I am not being too aftertime as I did not do this but it was pretty obvious that the public would bet this one up. Everyone loves the Packers at hiome, they can't see them losing their 1st two games, they are one of the nation's most popular teams, it's on national television on a day when there is only one game (that makes it 95% likely the favourite will get bet up just on that fact alone - most people back favs, everyone is betting on the game).

 I would say this one was always going to be a game where Packers backers need to be in early and Bears backers should wait until near the end.

 Myself I love the under in this game. It's gone from 48.5 to 50.5 already and the weather will be ok so I shall bet late and bet under. Anyone have thoughts?

I like the Bears

The Green Bay defense was slap last in the NFL last season, and week 1 Alex Smith, helped by a fantastic OL and a weak secondary looked like Joe Namath. Joe Namth he is not

Cutler comes in with Marshall who he will throw it too all day and an emerging rookie Alshon Jeffery and the defense has to respect Forte and the running game too

I think the Bears should score a lot of points. Of course the history of the last couple of years suggests that no matter how many the opposition score, Rodgers will lead the packers to a few more.

However this Packers team is more one-dimensional than ever. Perennial Carthorse Cedric Benson is the running game, and if the Bears defense can at a minimum ensure the long passing game to the wide receivers is at least challenged then I like their chances

The spark for the Packers comes from Randall Cobb, did last week, and in my opinion the unusual plays in his direction are the threat to a Bears win

All things being equal it should be overs, but I think at 50-51 that's in the price

Bears with the spread for me

I call plagiarism!

[ACE2M]

Our mans team, Endura have put some pressure on Cavendish & Sky & have split the peloton. Need to ride hard to Gun Hill for our man to attack there!

he's all over it. go on lad.

[TightEnd]

Clearly all handicaps in the NFL are not created equal. You get 7 points for a TD (represents around 74% of scoring). You get 3 pts for a field goal.

 Games are way more likely to be won by 3 or 7 points than any other score. Games are unlikely to be won by 5 pts.

 The total points are way more likely to add up to 37 than any other number. 40 and 43 are other popular numbers.

 I value Bobby1's opinion on many things but on this one I am not too sure that buying the hook was a great bargain. It was OK and it probably was just cost-neutral, but I'm surprised that a shrewd guy like him didn't just take Packers -4.5 on Monday or Tuesday. I am not being too aftertime as I did not do this but it was pretty obvious that the public would bet this one up. Everyone loves the Packers at hiome, they can't see them losing their 1st two games, they are one of the nation's most popular teams, it's on national television on a day when there is only one game (that makes it 95% likely the favourite will get bet up just on that fact alone - most people back favs, everyone is betting on the game).

 I would say this one was always going to be a game where Packers backers need to be in early and Bears backers should wait until near the end.

 Myself I love the under in this game. It's gone from 48.5 to 50.5 already and the weather will be ok so I shall bet late and bet under. Anyone have thoughts?

I like the Bears

The Green Bay defense was slap last in the NFL last season, and week 1 Alex Smith, helped by a fantastic OL and a weak secondary looked like Joe Namath. Joe Namth he is not

Cutler comes in with Marshall who he will throw it too all day and an emerging rookie Alshon Jeffery and the defense has to respect Forte and the running game too

I think the Bears should score a lot of points. Of course the history of the last couple of years suggests that no matter how many the opposition score, Rodgers will lead the packers to a few more.

However this Packers team is more one-dimensional than ever. Perennial Carthorse Cedric Benson is the running game, and if the Bears defense can at a minimum ensure the long passing game to the wide receivers is at least challenged then I like their chances

The spark for the Packers comes from Randall Cobb, did last week, and in my opinion the unusual plays in his direction are the threat to a Bears win

All things being equal it should be overs, but I think at 50-51 that's in the price

Bears with the spread for me

I call plagiarism!

all my own words.

[Tonji]

Our mans team, Endura have put some pressure on Cavendish & Sky & have split the peloton. Need to ride hard to Gun Hill for our man to attack there!

he's all over it. go on lad.

Plan coming together to smash the race apart. Just needs to break the last group.

[The Camel]

Clearly all handicaps in the NFL are not created equal. You get 7 points for a TD (represents around 74% of scoring). You get 3 pts for a field goal.

 Games are way more likely to be won by 3 or 7 points than any other score. Games are unlikely to be won by 5 pts.

 The total points are way more likely to add up to 37 than any other number. 40 and 43 are other popular numbers.

 I value Bobby1's opinion on many things but on this one I am not too sure that buying the hook was a great bargain. It was OK and it probably was just cost-neutral, but I'm surprised that a shrewd guy like him didn't just take Packers -4.5 on Monday or Tuesday. I am not being too aftertime as I did not do this but it was pretty obvious that the public would bet this one up. Everyone loves the Packers at hiome, they can't see them losing their 1st two games, they are one of the nation's most popular teams, it's on national television on a day when there is only one game (that makes it 95% likely the favourite will get bet up just on that fact alone - most people back favs, everyone is betting on the game).

 I would say this one was always going to be a game where Packers backers need to be in early and Bears backers should wait until near the end.

 Myself I love the under in this game. It's gone from 48.5 to 50.5 already and the weather will be ok so I shall bet late and bet under. Anyone have thoughts?

I like the Bears

The Green Bay defense was slap last in the NFL last season, and week 1 Alex Smith, helped by a fantastic OL and a weak secondary looked like Joe Namath. Joe Namth he is not

Cutler comes in with Marshall who he will throw it too all day and an emerging rookie Alshon Jeffery and the defense has to respect Forte and the running game too

I think the Bears should score a lot of points. Of course the history of the last couple of years suggests that no matter how many the opposition score, Rodgers will lead the packers to a few more.

However this Packers team is more one-dimensional than ever. Perennial Carthorse Cedric Benson is the running game, and if the Bears defense can at a minimum ensure the long passing game to the wide receivers is at least challenged then I like their chances

The spark for the Packers comes from Randall Cobb, did last week, and in my opinion the unusual plays in his direction are the threat to a Bears win

All things being equal it should be overs, but I think at 50-51 that's in the price

Bears with the spread for me

I call plagiarism!

all my own words.

Don't think I could be with GB.

Their pass defense made Alex Smith look like Joe Montana for a while and Cutler might just have a field day with all his new toys to play with running free in the Pack secondary.

This has got shootout written all over it, can't see Rodgers being as hassled as he was against the Niners either.

Was hoping to see the total posted at 49.

51.5 is a big number, but I couldn't play under.

[TightEnd]

Great minds and all that.

The Joe Montana reference was better than mine, more accurate!

[bobby1]

On the NFL thread, Bobby1 wrote this......


"....Ive had a small bet on Green Bay minus 5 at 10/11 by buying the 1/2 pt with Pinny....."

What exactly does the enboldened part mean insofar as how it affects his bet, & price? What did he actually do?

Hi mate,

The Pinny price for Green Bay -5 1/2 was 1.975 at that time, so buy buying the hook (the half point) and taking the line of Green Bay -5 you pay by getting a smaller price. Around the big crucial numbers you pay a premium because the diff between plus 3 and plus 3 and a half is much bigger than getting 5 instead of 5 1/2.

[Tonji]

Tiernen Locke making his move now. Go on son!