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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13442923 times)
Tal
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« Reply #21915 on: November 29, 2012, 01:37:45 PM »

Tycoon's Reflection in this next race at Newbury looks v interesting to me.

Not a Fred bet, but worth a shilling or two at 16/1.

25-1 on betfair. 6-1 the place for 123
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« Reply #21916 on: November 29, 2012, 01:40:31 PM »

Tycoon's Reflection in this next race at Newbury looks v interesting to me.

Not a Fred bet, but worth a shilling or two at 16/1.

25-1 on betfair. 6-1 the place for 123

Ran like it would as if I was riding it.
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Nakor
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« Reply #21917 on: November 29, 2012, 01:55:41 PM »

I work with Barry McGuigan's brother and yesterday we had a chat about the upcoming Flintoff vs Dawson fight.

Dan (the brother) has been in contact with both Barry and Shane (Flintoff's mentor and trainer) regularly.  Although they are very happy/proud of how Flintoff has trained and describe him as in amazing shape, they are not confident he will win.  The conversation centred on Flintoff's ability to take a body shot and it was thought Dawson's limited experience (both professional and amateur) should be enough to see him home.  I was also assured that Dawson was not a "set up" opponent, although he was described as a "novice" fighter.

Apparently Flintoff can deliver some astonishing poundage with his right hand but has real issues in delivering it properly and consistently, for this reason was described as having no better then a "punchers chance".  Also I believe the bout is only 4 rounds so might be possible for them to dance around each other for that long without it actually getting into a boxing match.

Looking at the info and the odds http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/andrew-flintoff-v-richard-dawson/winner its no bet unless a load of sentimental money pushes Dawson out on the night I guess.

My first ever bit of real inside info for Fred and all I can suggest is No Bet.
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Shit post Nakor, such a clown.

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« Reply #21918 on: November 29, 2012, 01:58:08 PM »

On the basis of that info surely Dawson is a bet at Evens no?
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Nakor
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« Reply #21919 on: November 29, 2012, 02:03:21 PM »

On the basis of that info surely Dawson is a bet at Evens no?

In that he is more likely to win then lose - yes its a bet at evens and a good one.  Just wasn't sure it met Fred criteria, not exactly oozing value. 
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Tonji
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« Reply #21920 on: November 29, 2012, 02:34:36 PM »

On the basis of that info surely Dawson is a bet at Evens no?

In that he is more likely to win then lose - yes its a bet at evens and a good one.  Just wasn't sure it met Fred criteria, not exactly oozing value. 

Is there more value in the Round Betting or Method of Victory?
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« Reply #21921 on: November 29, 2012, 03:03:38 PM »

Why are people desperate to have a bet on this Flintoff fight?

It's going to be hard to know what is going to happen, and if it is even a legitimate sporting contest at all. Surely better off looking for something else to gamble on?
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #21922 on: November 29, 2012, 03:10:31 PM »

Why are people desperate to have a bet on this Flintoff fight?

It's going to be hard to know what is going to happen, and if it is even a legitimate sporting contest at all. Surely better off looking for something else to gamble on?

Because the bookies have just as little information as we do, they are much more likely to price this wrong than for example any Premier League game. So it makes some appeal as a betting medium, having said that I havenĀ“t seen anything to compel me to have a bet.
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tikay
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« Reply #21923 on: November 29, 2012, 03:12:00 PM »


I really appreciate the info on the Flintoff Fight thing, thanks, but it's not really something I totally trust, (the fight, not the info!) if I'm honest.

Please don't me put anyone else off backing on the fight, but I think we'll stay in our corner for this one.
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« Reply #21924 on: November 29, 2012, 03:13:57 PM »

Heffron v Vassell over 7.5 rounds at 11/10 with Sportingbet is simply wrong. On phone at the minute so can't explain fully but price won't last.


Meh already 5/6. Still a bet. Should be 1/2

Uncanny how these things seem to pop up when I am offline!

The price is 4/7, so unfortunately, we jolly well missed the boaty thing big time.

Incredible spot by Bazza thoiugh, thanks bud.
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« Reply #21925 on: November 29, 2012, 03:54:28 PM »

Wolves are rated at parity despite being away at Bristol City on Saturday.  Slightly surprised at that I must say?  Wolves have been diabolical and City have shown brief glimpes of life recently.  A team being priced on pre-season expectations rather than reallity?   I think Bristol City are worth a small stakes poke at 13/8.  Any thoughts?
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« Reply #21926 on: November 29, 2012, 04:38:47 PM »

Wolves are rated at parity despite being away at Bristol City on Saturday.  Slightly surprised at that I must say?  Wolves have been diabolical and City have shown brief glimpes of life recently.  A team being priced on pre-season expectations rather than reallity?   I think Bristol City are worth a small stakes poke at 13/8.  Any thoughts?

Suggested this too, I am in support of it, has been knocked by Aaron on Fred tho.
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« Reply #21927 on: November 29, 2012, 04:51:14 PM »

Would appreciate feedback on QPR price this weekend.  To my money they are close to the worst team in the Prem at the moment.  Surely the Harry factor is being overrated slightly?  Just dont see how they are evens at home to anyone at the moment even if Jose Mourinho was managing them with Fergie and Wenger as his deputies.
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« Reply #21928 on: November 29, 2012, 04:55:55 PM »

Nothing scientific, but I just really fancy them to beat Villa this week.  Harry smiling from the dugout, on the front foot straight away with Hoillet and Taraabt buzzing around.  Wouldn't touch them at evens, but don't fancy opposing them either.
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« Reply #21929 on: November 29, 2012, 04:57:11 PM »


A bit of inside info.....not sure what to make of it or reccommend!

A good friend who's a teacher, spent yesterday escorting Mrs Beckham and two of the eldest boys around a private school in west/south west London.

So presume they are looking to move to the area?....does that mean a London club for Becks?....or just a good base for commuting?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/david-beckham-specials/next-club
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