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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 14373959 times)
Tal
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« Reply #27495 on: January 21, 2013, 06:53:55 PM »

So long as he doesn't end up playing on special teams next season because he can't get past Mark Sanchez (as happened to last year's much hyped QB Tim 'it's Tebow Time' Tebow).

Although I'm assuming that won't happen here. SF seems to be a more forward-thinking outfit than the NY Jets.

Comparing Kaepernick to Tebow, is like comparing George Clooney to me in attractiveness.

Rex Ryan would still pick Sanchez over him (he has a tattoo of his wife in a Sanchez shirt!).

But point taken Wink
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« Reply #27496 on: January 21, 2013, 06:54:55 PM »

So long as he doesn't end up playing on special teams next season because he can't get past Mark Sanchez (as happened to last year's much hyped QB Tim 'it's Tebow Time' Tebow).

Although I'm assuming that won't happen here. SF seems to be a more forward-thinking outfit than the NY Jets.

Comparing Kaepernick to Tebow, is like comparing George Clooney to me in attractiveness.

We wouldn't insult you like that Keith.
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« Reply #27497 on: January 21, 2013, 07:02:58 PM »

Think you're missing, esp whoever asked about the unders, that if Deng is injured Kobe will have an abs field day. Deng is one of the best defenders around and would be guarding Kobe throughout the whole game (Deng normally plays over 40 of the 48 mins) and is a really, really good man on man defender. If he stays out - which look likely, he missed the last game and sat out today's shootaround - Kobe will have a far easier time. Loads of games today for MLK day
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« Reply #27498 on: January 21, 2013, 07:04:14 PM »

Kaepernick porn



How can we hedge against this?

Confirmed all time hero.



Keith I asked before Sunday's game if backing Kap at 4/1 for the SuperBowl MVP was value, u didn't seem to think it was, bout right price, Neil really liked it. Who was right?
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tikay
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« Reply #27499 on: January 21, 2013, 07:15:45 PM »

Think you're missing, esp whoever asked about the unders, that if Deng is injured Kobe will have an abs field day. Deng is one of the best defenders around and would be guarding Kobe throughout the whole game (Deng normally plays over 40 of the 48 mins) and is a really, really good man on man defender. If he stays out - which look likely, he missed the last game and sat out today's shootaround - Kobe will have a far easier time. Loads of games today for MLK day

A what, Jeff?
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« Reply #27500 on: January 21, 2013, 07:20:06 PM »

Kaepernick porn



How can we hedge against this?

Confirmed all time hero.



Keith I asked before Sunday's game if backing Kap at 4/1 for the SuperBowl MVP was value, u didn't seem to think it was, bout right price, Neil really liked it. Who was right?

It depends!

Neil thinks that it's 1/3 that the MVP will be the QB of the winning side.

If that is right, he is right and 4/1 is a good bet.

I think it's more like 4/6, which would make 4/1 roughly the right price.

Unless they play 500 Superbowls in the next couple weeks to overcome small sample bias, I don't think either of us were right or wrong.

Opinions are like arseholes, everyone has got one.

« Last Edit: January 21, 2013, 07:22:51 PM by The Camel » Logged

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« Reply #27501 on: January 21, 2013, 07:26:03 PM »

Who would have won MVP in last nights games?
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« Reply #27502 on: January 21, 2013, 07:29:09 PM »

Think you're missing, esp whoever asked about the unders, that if Deng is injured Kobe will have an abs field day. Deng is one of the best defenders around and would be guarding Kobe throughout the whole game (Deng normally plays over 40 of the 48 mins) and is a really, really good man on man defender. If he stays out - which look likely, he missed the last game and sat out today's shootaround - Kobe will have a far easier time. Loads of games today for MLK day

Fair point, as i said in my original post i dont really know much about basketball.  I thought i read Deny was a top scorer in one of the posts.  This made me think without him there is have a chance of scoring less points, rather than conceeding more as I knew nothing of his defensive ability.  From reading the post by TL900 about the bulls being solid in and the lakers not playing so well with Kobe misfiring, added to the fact this guy might be out, i thought maybe unders could have been abit of value, but i guess it's already factored into the price, especially as its gone from 196 to 194.5.  

Quick sport change, anyone have a lot of knowledge on Spanish football? Tonights la liga game see's Real Betis, who occupy 4th spot face Bilboa who sit in 15th.  Betis's away form is  impressive, having played 9, won 6 , drawn 1 and lost 2.  Their home form is a little more hit and miss , played 10, won 5, lost 5. Bilboa on the other hand have a poor away record, having played 9 games, they've won 1, draw 2, lost 6.  Betis are in decent form having won 4 from the last 6, the 2 losses in the last 6 both game at home, one at the hands of Barcelona, losing 2-1 and the other losing 2-1 vs Mallorca.  Bilbao on the other hand have won 2 from their last 6, losing 4.

The Head 2 Head for these teams shows Bilboa have won the last 3, but lost the 2 before that.

Obviously all of this form is factored into the price already, so what i'm wondering is why they are odds against with BetV @ 21/20?  Personally i'd have them as slight favourites, as most bookies do at 10/11.  Is there any value here and if so is it enough to take a shot at?

Bare in mind i've been sports betting for years, and im definately an 'ice cream' but since reading this thread from the start I do beleive i've improved.
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tikay
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« Reply #27503 on: January 21, 2013, 07:31:10 PM »

Think you're missing, esp whoever asked about the unders, that if Deng is injured Kobe will have an abs field day. Deng is one of the best defenders around and would be guarding Kobe throughout the whole game (Deng normally plays over 40 of the 48 mins) and is a really, really good man on man defender. If he stays out - which look likely, he missed the last game and sat out today's shootaround - Kobe will have a far easier time. Loads of games today for MLK day

Fair point, as i said in my original post i dont really know much about basketball.  I thought i read Deny was a top scorer in one of the posts.  This made me think without him there is have a chance of scoring less points, rather than conceeding more as I knew nothing of his defensive ability.  From reading the post by TL900 about the bulls being solid in and the lakers not playing so well with Kobe misfiring, added to the fact this guy might be out, i thought maybe unders could have been abit of value, but i guess it's already factored into the price, especially as its gone from 196 to 194.5.  

Quick sport change, anyone have a lot of knowledge on Spanish football? Tonights la liga game see's Real Betis, who occupy 4th spot face Bilboa who sit in 15th.  Betis's away form is  impressive, having played 9, won 6 , drawn 1 and lost 2.  Their home form is a little more hit and miss , played 10, won 5, lost 5. Bilboa on the other hand have a poor away record, having played 9 games, they've won 1, draw 2, lost 6.  Betis are in decent form having won 4 from the last 6, the 2 losses in the last 6 both game at home, one at the hands of Barcelona, losing 2-1 and the other losing 2-1 vs Mallorca.  Bilbao on the other hand have won 2 from their last 6, losing 4.

The Head 2 Head for these teams shows Bilboa have won the last 3, but lost the 2 before that.

Obviously all of this form is factored into the price already, so what i'm wondering is why they are odds against with BetV @ 21/20?  Personally i'd have them as slight favourites, as most bookies do at 10/11.  Is there any value here and if so is it enough to take a shot at?

Bare in mind i've been sports betting for years, and im definately an 'ice cream' but since reading this thread from the start I do beleive i've improved.


horsey knows Spanish Football inside out, (he specialises in niche markets) but he's not Online at the moment.
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« Reply #27504 on: January 21, 2013, 07:37:45 PM »

So long as he doesn't end up playing on special teams next season because he can't get past Mark Sanchez (as happened to last year's much hyped QB Tim 'it's Tebow Time' Tebow).

Although I'm assuming that won't happen here. SF seems to be a more forward-thinking outfit than the NY Jets.

Comparing Kaepernick to Tebow, is like comparing George Clooney to me in attractiveness.

Rex Ryan would still pick Sanchez over him (he has a tattoo of his wife in a Sanchez shirt!).

But point taken Wink

I've heard Mrs Harbaugh has a picture of me wearing a Colin Kaepernick shirt on her left buttock.
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Tal
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« Reply #27505 on: January 21, 2013, 07:40:22 PM »

So long as he doesn't end up playing on special teams next season because he can't get past Mark Sanchez (as happened to last year's much hyped QB Tim 'it's Tebow Time' Tebow).

Although I'm assuming that won't happen here. SF seems to be a more forward-thinking outfit than the NY Jets.

Comparing Kaepernick to Tebow, is like comparing George Clooney to me in attractiveness.

Rex Ryan would still pick Sanchez over him (he has a tattoo of his wife in a Sanchez shirt!).

But point taken Wink

I've heard Mrs Harbaugh has a picture of me wearing a Colin Kaepernick shirt on her left buttock.

She asked for George Clooney.
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« Reply #27506 on: January 21, 2013, 07:41:37 PM »

Who would have won MVP in last nights games?

First game, coinflip between Kaepernick and Davis. Probably just favour Davis. He had one long catch called back by penalty, if that had stood, he definitely have won it imo. Gore would get votes too.

But if Atlanta had scored a td on their final drive and held on to win, I think Julio Jones would have walked it.

Second game, Flacco for certain.

« Last Edit: January 21, 2013, 07:53:42 PM by The Camel » Logged

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« Reply #27507 on: January 21, 2013, 08:04:46 PM »

Who would have won MVP in last nights games?

First game, coinflip between Kaepernick and Davis. Probably just favour Davis. He had one long catch called back by penalty, if that had stood, he definitely have won it imo. Gore would get votes too.

But if Atlanta had scored a td on their final drive and held on to win, I think Julio Jones would have walked it.

Second game, Flacco for certain.



I only watched the 9ers game but that was my reading of it as well albeit from a relatively novicey pov. I thought Jones was fantastic for Atlanta.
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« Reply #27508 on: January 21, 2013, 08:07:51 PM »

Who would have won MVP in last nights games?

First game, coinflip between Kaepernick and Davis. Probably just favour Davis. He had one long catch called back by penalty, if that had stood, he definitely have won it imo. Gore would get votes too.

But if Atlanta had scored a td on their final drive and held on to win, I think Julio Jones would have walked it.

Second game, Flacco for certain.



I only watched the 9ers game but that was my reading of it as well albeit from a relatively novicey pov. I thought Jones was fantastic for Atlanta.

It is slightly stupid that the MVP is almost exclusively a player on the winning team.

I don't think there is any doubt Jones was the most impressive player on the field.

His second touchdown catch was one the best I've ever seen. Nearly had me throwing the tv out of the window.
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« Reply #27509 on: January 21, 2013, 08:09:19 PM »

So long as he doesn't end up playing on special teams next season because he can't get past Mark Sanchez (as happened to last year's much hyped QB Tim 'it's Tebow Time' Tebow).

Although I'm assuming that won't happen here. SF seems to be a more forward-thinking outfit than the NY Jets.

Comparing Kaepernick to Tebow, is like comparing George Clooney to me in attractiveness.

Rex Ryan would still pick Sanchez over him (he has a tattoo of his wife in a Sanchez shirt!).

But point taken Wink

I've heard Mrs Harbaugh has a picture of me wearing a Colin Kaepernick shirt on her left and right buttock, and a bit round the side.....


FYP
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