Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

I don't think Fred has a Spreadex account but I'll stick this up anyway as they are ool. Rabchenko to win on points against Pryce is 11/4 (15/8 biggest elsewhere).  They fought two years ago and Rabchenko won a comfortable decision on points. Since then it's fair to say Rabchenko has improved and at 32 Pryce has gone in the opposite direction.  

However In recent years Pryce has become a lot more durable and hasn't been stopped since 2009.  He also went the distance with BJ Saunders and Eubank Jnr despite not winning a round so has shown an ability to survive despite being outclassed (which will probably happen here). Granted neither of those are big punchers but they are both natural middleweights whereas Pryce is a natural welterweight (two divisions lower). I'd have been interested at 2/1 or bigger so 11/4 is nice.

How to forecast a fight, by Bazza.

Thanks Bazza, perfectly to plan.

[Doobs]

I had to go out this afternoon, so couldn't post the result.  TimesRemembered managed a 2nd earlier, so we have a free bet to come.

Tikay, you haven't added the side action you have with me on Ashley Someone to the post that you filed under Novelty Shite in the official thread. 

This obvuiously isn't shite, it is genuine real man sport.



Bet he couldn't smoke a fag while twirling that cape around, and that is the proper test of true sport.  Can you say the same for what Ronnie O'Sullivan and Phil Taylor do?
 

[Longy]

Very very impressed by Winston today he basically made zero mistakes in the half he played. Florida state were so dominant that maybe it was too easy.

If he gets charged with a felony Florida state will instantly suspend him and I can't see him winning the heisman under those circumstances. He loses this heisman off the field far more often than on the field at this point.

[Marky147]

Very very impressed by Winston today he basically made zero mistakes in the half he played. Florida state were so dominant that maybe it was too easy.

If he gets charged with a felony Florida state will instantly suspend him and I can't see him winning the heisman under those circumstances. He loses this heisman off the field far more often than on the field at this point.

See Mariota had a good game today, despite his knee injury.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on the Month £547.15*

Outstanding Bets £2982.51

Free Bets, ONE William Hill use by Saturday 23rd November

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=32

(* I think there is a small win to add from Oliver Banks yesterday, to follow when details go up)

A loss of £80 yesterday

Helping rescue a miserable day was Bazzaboy who correctly predicted a Boxing Points decision for +£57

Times Remembered finished 2nd on a Wm Hill offer so there is now a free bet to use by Saturday

That apart, losers

- De Jonge finished T7th in the APGA, four shots off an each way place  -£11

- Paddys Saltantes -£4

- Ballynagour became quite a big position, wasn't in the frame and -£52

- Richie McCaw -£10

- Stevenage and goalscorer -£35 as they were turned over at home 3-0 by the odious Mr Evans

On longer term positions

- Brett Morris 4 tries in the RLWCQF. As expected, Ryan Hall scored two last night for England so:

8 tries  England Ryan Hall

6 tries  Australia Jarryd Hayne
           Australia Brett Morris

5 tries New Zealand Roger Tuivasa-Sheck

- Tranmere drew 1-1 at home to Bristol City. Currently 21st, but 4 games unbeaten

- Sheffield United were turned over by Gillingham at home. Sheffield United's march up the table currently has the handbrake on. 23rd in the league and lost the last two

- Kidderminster beat Wrexham 3-1, and with Cambridge drawing at Barnet are two points closer to the Conference lead in 2nd. Must be well placed in the handicap, but don't know how to check the initial prices for the whole division.

- Of the various lower league goalscorers, Bamford's game was postponed. Wells plays on Sky today at home to Coventry. Assombolonga plays tomorrow night

- In the Heisman race, no change for Winston and Mariotta last night, both did well

In TV land. SCD went well, though Reid is looming up on the outside with half a mile of a 12 furlong race to go. Natalie 15/8, Reid 5/2 current best prices. 



Hannah Barrett is 5/4 favourite to be next X-Factor elimimation


Today we have the Chiefs, Bengals both live on British TV. Brees, Stafford and Ryan all three of our season QB bets play too

[Doobs]

Hills mobile offer is back at Cheltenham for channel 4 today.

Sire De Grugy in the 2.40 at 5/6 is obvious

Ted Veale in the 2.10 isn't so obvious, but he is abets price with Hills and I like the horse.  He has been backed for this too.  Suggest £25 Ted Veale at 11/4.

We should definitely have one of the top 2 in the 1.35, but 3 horse races void the offer, so people should back them close to the race.  Will probably back Sea Lord myself, but will be busy at that time and may not be able to post.

Cheers

[superwomble]

Tighty, I have a spready at work with all the starting Conf handicaps and current standings - is that what you're after?

[TightEnd]

Tighty, I have a spready at work with all the starting Conf handicaps and current standings - is that what you're after?

the BetVictor one with Kidd+7 at the start please

[tikay]

A belated Good Morning all.

Tighty, sorry I never confirmed the Banks Bet, will do so now.

The bet was £2.72 (Maxed) @ 13/2, with Paddy Power, & returned £20.40.

I was busy elsewhere yesterday, & several Football bets were put up just before the off, so I struggled a bit. 

[tikay]

Very very impressed by Winston today he basically made zero mistakes in the half he played. Florida state were so dominant that maybe it was too easy.

If he gets charged with a felony Florida state will instantly suspend him and I can't see him winning the heisman under those circumstances. He loses this heisman off the field far more often than on the field at this point.

Thanks Longy.

You'd never believe there could be so many twists & turns on such a straightforward bet!

Be a bitter pill if we got the right man, & the County Sheriff got the wrong man. Very original way of losing a bet, though.

[tikay]

I had to go out this afternoon, so couldn't post the result.  TimesRemembered managed a 2nd earlier, so we have a free bet to come.

Tikay, you haven't added the side action you have with me on Ashley Someone to the post that you filed under Novelty Shite in the official thread.  

This obvuiously isn't shite, it is genuine real man sport.



Bet he couldn't smoke a fag while twirling that cape around, and that is the proper test of true sport.  Can you say the same for what Ronnie O'Sullivan and Phil Taylor do?
 

Correct, thanks for the reminder, will do it now.

Well done - almost - on Times Remembered.

We must not forget we have a £25 Free Bet to use by next Saturday.

Do they REALLY dress like that in SCD? Good God. They dressed properly, like grown-ups, in the original Come Dancing. Proper TV, that.

[BigAdz]

Evening

Would like some opinions please, espec Neil/Chompy, as I think I may be looking through rose tinted's

I notice the Paddy Power market has been suspended and looks like Dynaste may miss it as it was last available at and no money to lay.

I thought Johns Spirit won rather well round C&D last week and could be a bit of value at 14s. I had a bit earlier in week at 16s, but I suspect if he gets in he will be a lot shorter on the day.

As I said, I may well think it won easier than it did, and would like some more objective opinions before I suggest a bet. Cheers

Morning.

Good to see Tal yesterday, and apologies to anyone who backed the Brooky horses. Sometimes its difficult to be objective when your so close to the whole set up. Will refrain from mentioning them on Fred any more, but if anyone does want any thoughts in future feel free to PM me.

Was a strange day because a close friend was out for the first time after overcoming a brain tumour and his daughter led out and brought in the two Fergal O B winners. Got all very emmotional!

Still, hope a few were on the other one

[tikay]

The strictly market has gone all weird.

Sophie Ellis Bextor no longer 2nd favourite, but is now 6th favourite!

Patrick has gone ahead of Ashley in the overall betting, but still behind in the best man.

Betway have Patrick at 11/4 for top man, he is 11/10 with Stan James.

If we have Betway, we should just get on and lay off later.  As much as we can.

Edit.  Gone. now best 9/4.  I have also backed SEB again at 9.6 to green the Betfair book.

The gazillion pounds you had on at 11/4 hasn't made the spreadsheet yet.  Some move that now 6/4 best for top man and 6/1 overall.  24 points awaits on Saturday.

Whoops, will sort that out later tonight, so that Tighty can do the Spready. I do remember it. Mostly.

Betway are still slow, 6/4 now when he is best priced 11/10 elsewhere.

Ashley now 13/10 best, which looks a bet to me, but I am on the other side which makes it more tempting obv.

You'll have to speak slowly, Doobs, I don't know what that means, are we suggesting a bet, & if so, on whom? I think we are already on Miss Gumball, too.

There has been a mighty gamble on Patrick to win strictly over the last week or so.  He has been backed from about 100/1 or so in to 13/2.  Hence why we should have backed him at 11/4 for top man.  I couldn't get any and had to settle for 9/4.  Guess you got none.  

Now I think the gamble has gone too far and we should definitely back Ashley at 13/10 to be top man in SCD.  I am sure others here have suggested he is a bit dull.  Patrick just isn't as good as him, and the market looks a bit false.  Ben isn't winning anything.

Suggest £20 Ashley to be top male at 13/10 bet365.

Gotcha, eventually.

Err, £3.85 was my Max, but t gives us an interest, & will alllw Chompy to make his regular Tiddlearse jibe.

BET PLACED

It is still 13/10 with bet365, I'll lay you the other 15, so long as you reply while it is still that price.  Cheers

Thanks Doobs.

BOOKED

BET PLACED

[Tal]

Adz, the chap I was with told me Fergal had gone 0 for 36 in October but 6 from 16 in November, so he backed both his winners yesterday for 8 for 18. Think that qualifies as a stable in form.

[tikay]

Hills mobile offer is back at Cheltenham for channel 4 today.

Sire De Grugy in the 2.40 at 5/6 is obvious

Ted Veale in the 2.10 isn't so obvious, but he is abets price with Hills and I like the horse.  He has been backed for this too.  Suggest £25 Ted Veale at 11/4.

We should definitely have one of the top 2 in the 1.35, but 3 horse races void the offer, so people should back them close to the race.  Will probably back Sea Lord myself, but will be busy at that time and may not be able to post.

Cheers

Thanks Doobs, we are on both, & we got 10/11 Sire de Grugy.

If anyone has a strong view on the 1.35 nearer the time, let me know please. As stated, it would NOT be an "OFFER" bet, though.

2 BETS PLACED