Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

just wondering on the optimal time to plunge on the argies ew at 4/1.  It's a bit of a risk/reward game going as late as possible wihtout losing the 4/1 1/2 1,2 place terms

[Chompy]

If Brazil qualify at the expense of Chile, they'll be around 5/2 outright, maybe a bit shorter if they're impressive? Would that be the end of 1/2 the odds a place iyo arbboy?

[redarmi]

If Brazil qualify at the expense of Chile, they'll be around 5/2 outright, maybe a bit shorter if they're impressive? Would that be the end of 1/2 the odds a place iyo arbboy?

Not sure why it would be...they have to play Colombia then Germany/France....doesn't make that much difference and if anything makes the other half a touch harder in terms of their win price.

[horseplayer]

If Brazil qualify at the expense of Chile, they'll be around 5/2 outright, maybe a bit shorter if they're impressive? Would that be the end of 1/2 the odds a place iyo arbboy?

Not sure why it would be...they have to play Colombia then Germany/France....doesn't make that much difference and if anything makes the other half a touch harder in terms of their win price.

they have to play Uruguay then Germany/Nigeria

fyp

[arbboy]

It will go if Brazil go out but I think most firms will keep it if Brazil go through for similar reasons as redarmi stated.  Brazil should be shorter than 5/2 if they win baed on dividing their outright  price by the to qualify price for the match around a 23/10 shot which given they are the first game should be allowed to be taken literally as nothing else will have changed

[arbboy]

Has the ew good thing in Irish derby been pulled out?  Tytytyytyt betway for closing my account to dust after one bet and only allowing me a bowl on ew

[claypole]

Not sure if anyone has out up, however £100 Neymar 1st goal
At 4/1 Ladbrokes with a free bet refund if Brazil win in 90 mins seems an auto click to me

[exstream]

Not sure if anyone has out up, however £100 Neymar 1st goal
At 4/1 Ladbrokes with a free bet refund if Brazil win in 90 mins seems an auto click to me

Way I'm reading this is, £100 max on Neymar at 4/1 however, £25 max free bet refund on the selected markets if Brazil win inside 90 mins.

[arbboy]

The name the finalists market and to reach the final markets on bf are showing some interesting inefficiencies. Taking theta reach the final prices on Brazil and Arg it makes them to reach the final as 6.8. Yet someone is very keen to get several thousand at 6.2 on the name the finalists market.   Obv the Argie price to make final could be artificially high because of arbers although it's impossible that Brazils to reach final price is for that reason. There. Has to be some value in here somewhere and I suggest it's the argies to final price which is too high even at under 6/4 even though you can get 2/1 place on a new bet on the argies. What are other peoples thoughts ? Is the 6.2 a good lay Brazil Arg final?  Coral are 11/2 Arg braz final which could easily be a bet for me given the artificialitly high Argie to final price from arbers and how keen big amounts of cash are to get matched on Arg Brazil final around the 5/1 mark on bf

[peejaytwo]

Bit of a random question and no laughing please.
My understanding of virtual racing that it's just a random number generator supported by graphics with the prices adjusted to factor in the profit margin for the bookmaker.
I find it hard enough to win on events where I think I have an edge so have never had a bet at Portman Park, but today I did.

Today I was in a Baldy shop and they boosted a 5/2 fav to 5/1 and later a 9/2 to 9/1, and my perception is that he hasn't enough profit margin built in and that these are loss leaders.
Can anyone confirm. Bookiebasher perhaps?

[arbboy]

Bit of a random question and no laughing please.
My understanding of virtual racing that it's just a random number generator supported by graphics with the prices adjusted to factor in the profit margin for the bookmaker.
I find it hard enough to win on events where I think I have an edge so have never had a bet at Portman Park, but today I did.

Today I was in a Baldy shop and they boosted a 5/2 fav to 5/1 and later a 9/2 to 9/1, and my perception is that he hasn't enough profit margin built in and that these are loss leaders.
Can anyone confirm. Bookiebasher perhaps?

Def floss leader to get you hooked on it if you are a mug unless bald knows the results there isn't enough margin in the book to push those prices that far I would suggest its a def bet. Being prepared to be flamed hard for this suggestion!  Would be betting bigger on the enhanced 5/2 shit than the 5/1 shot as the edge should be a lot bigger if it's straight

[peejaytwo]

Bit of a random question and no laughing please.
My understanding of virtual racing that it's just a random number generator supported by graphics with the prices adjusted to factor in the profit margin for the bookmaker.
I find it hard enough to win on events where I think I have an edge so have never had a bet at Portman Park, but today I did.

Today I was in a Baldy shop and they boosted a 5/2 fav to 5/1 and later a 9/2 to 9/1, and my perception is that he hasn't enough profit margin built in and that these are loss leaders.
Can anyone confirm. Bookiebasher perhaps?

Def floss leader to get you hooked on it if you are a mug unless bald knows the results there isn't enough margin in the book to push those prices that far I would suggest its a def bet. Being prepared to be flamed hard for this suggestion!

Well I was in for a couple of hours and just bet the dog boosts, those 2 virtuals and a shiitty ew in S Africa so he got no extra value from me. He boosted a dog at Crayford to 7/2 which was 11/4 on the machine. It drifted by the off but still won half the track.

[arbboy]

Bit of a random question and no laughing please.
My understanding of virtual racing that it's just a random number generator supported by graphics with the prices adjusted to factor in the profit margin for the bookmaker.
I find it hard enough to win on events where I think I have an edge so have never had a bet at Portman Park, but today I did.

Today I was in a Baldy shop and they boosted a 5/2 fav to 5/1 and later a 9/2 to 9/1, and my perception is that he hasn't enough profit margin built in and that these are loss leaders.
Can anyone confirm. Bookiebasher perhaps?

Def floss leader to get you hooked on it if you are a mug unless bald knows the results there isn't enough margin in the book to push those prices that far I would suggest its a def bet. Being prepared to be flamed hard for this suggestion!

Well I was in for a couple of hours and just bet the dog boosts, those 2 virtuals and a shiitty ew in S Africa so he got no extra value from me. He boosted a dog at Crayford to 7/2 which was 11/4 on the machine. It drifted by the off but still won half the track.

Was that the racing post nap at Crayford ? That was my biggest bet of the morning by a mile.  There were a couple of high staking mugs on the dogs on the machine this morning causing some weird moves. The Saturday morning dogs haven't seen levels of volume like today for years. Could only be mug money otherwise they would be there every Saturday morning. Sme huge drifters hosed up this morning in numerous races that should have been gambled

[claypole]

Not sure if anyone has out up, however £100 Neymar 1st goal
At 4/1 Ladbrokes with a free bet refund if Brazil win in 90 mins seems an auto click to me

Way I'm reading this is, £100 max on Neymar at 4/1 however, £25 max free bet refund on the selected markets if Brazil win inside 90 mins.

Yes you're right. £25.

They should be sued for ad in The Sun I was reading at time.

If we have clicked can lay on bf at 5.0

[peejaytwo]

Yep, I wrote out my "normal" bet and when they announced that it was the nap I used it as an excuse for a top up.
The staff don't seem to give a monkeys tho and didn't seem bothered that I only bet the boosts