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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16387840 times)
doubleup
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« Reply #86340 on: September 05, 2014, 11:11:02 AM »

Let's just preface this by saying I know nothing about Golf, but it seemed to me there was some decent e/w value about in the BMW with Rory being such a short priced fav.
I looked through the leaderboard and really liked Horschel 33-1. As I understand it nearly all players are unfamiliar with the course yet he has shot very decent amount of birdies and may improve on the holes that caused him difficulty in the first round. He has decent all round stats and recent form. He also has a good strokes gained putting stat which may be significant due to the way the greens are playing. We get great place terms and don't give up anything against Betfair on the win part.
Have also punted Fred fav Spieth @ 16-1 who is one of the few with decent previous experience of the course, and Matt Every, who seems to be exceptional in strokes gained putting in his first round,as my banzai @ 100-1
Hope this make some sense, if not blame insomnia.

I hope Speith can put some sort of run together to get us a top 3 finish in the FedEx standings, but he doesn't seem an each way kind of guy.  

Just thinking out loud, but Furyk is stand out with beteveryday at 40/1.  He has been in contention on round 3 a lot recently, but has developed a habit of fading in the last round.   I think that means the place is more likely than first right now.  So if 40/1 is value, and he is 36/38 on Betfair then the place terms must be good (10/1).  I don't think thread can get much on, but might be worth a tenner each way and guess we can get that much.   If you are a couple of quid short, I am sure I can match that.




which of these should we be getting on? if any?





 I would def bet Furyk if I could get on at 40-1.  He hits a lot of fairways and the rough is penal on the course.

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TightEnd
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« Reply #86341 on: September 05, 2014, 11:11:52 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/racing-specials/long-term/2014-british-flat-jockeys-championship/winning-jockey

Already a move for Hughes today

If this happens then Hughes is a great bet at current prices, if it doesnt then you have a bet at very close to the right price anyway

Suggest £50 on Hughes

https://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/ryan-moore/ryan-moore-exclusive-my-thoughts-on-the-jockeys-title-and-my-end-of-year-plans-040914-368.html

i was out last night so had no chance to do this. Don't think tikay saw it either

1/4 now so thoroughly missed

on something breaking like this where you know we'll get on you can always do it and we'll settle up when online

Fred can have £55 of my 8/11 to win £40 I got at ladbrokes if you want.

yes please thank you and booked
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horseplayer
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« Reply #86342 on: September 05, 2014, 11:13:36 AM »



Love this picture, the legend that is Bielsa having a massive rant he didnt get the player he asked for in the transfer window. Check out the press officers reaction

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TightEnd
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« Reply #86343 on: September 05, 2014, 11:14:04 AM »

Let's just preface this by saying I know nothing about Golf, but it seemed to me there was some decent e/w value about in the BMW with Rory being such a short priced fav.
I looked through the leaderboard and really liked Horschel 33-1. As I understand it nearly all players are unfamiliar with the course yet he has shot very decent amount of birdies and may improve on the holes that caused him difficulty in the first round. He has decent all round stats and recent form. He also has a good strokes gained putting stat which may be significant due to the way the greens are playing. We get great place terms and don't give up anything against Betfair on the win part.
Have also punted Fred fav Spieth @ 16-1 who is one of the few with decent previous experience of the course, and Matt Every, who seems to be exceptional in strokes gained putting in his first round,as my banzai @ 100-1
Hope this make some sense, if not blame insomnia.

I hope Speith can put some sort of run together to get us a top 3 finish in the FedEx standings, but he doesn't seem an each way kind of guy.   

Just thinking out loud, but Furyk is stand out with beteveryday at 40/1.  He has been in contention on round 3 a lot recently, but has developed a habit of fading in the last round.   I think that means the place is more likely than first right now.  So if 40/1 is value, and he is 36/38 on Betfair then the place terms must be good (10/1).  I don't think thread can get much on, but might be worth a tenner each way and guess we can get that much.   If you are a couple of quid short, I am sure I can match that.




which of these should we be getting on? if any?





 I would def bet Furyk if I could get on at 40-1.  He hits a lot of fairways and the rough is penal on the course.



i can get £2.50 e/w at 40-1 with Bet366

if anyone wants to top us up there to £10 e/w please let me know
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horseplayer
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« Reply #86344 on: September 05, 2014, 11:24:07 AM »

Most may have seen this but its a good one, from Laytown yesterday

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #86345 on: September 05, 2014, 11:25:06 AM »

Let's just preface this by saying I know nothing about Golf, but it seemed to me there was some decent e/w value about in the BMW with Rory being such a short priced fav.
I looked through the leaderboard and really liked Horschel 33-1. As I understand it nearly all players are unfamiliar with the course yet he has shot very decent amount of birdies and may improve on the holes that caused him difficulty in the first round. He has decent all round stats and recent form. He also has a good strokes gained putting stat which may be significant due to the way the greens are playing. We get great place terms and don't give up anything against Betfair on the win part.
Have also punted Fred fav Spieth @ 16-1 who is one of the few with decent previous experience of the course, and Matt Every, who seems to be exceptional in strokes gained putting in his first round,as my banzai @ 100-1
Hope this make some sense, if not blame insomnia.

I hope Speith can put some sort of run together to get us a top 3 finish in the FedEx standings, but he doesn't seem an each way kind of guy.   

Just thinking out loud, but Furyk is stand out with beteveryday at 40/1.  He has been in contention on round 3 a lot recently, but has developed a habit of fading in the last round.   I think that means the place is more likely than first right now.  So if 40/1 is value, and he is 36/38 on Betfair then the place terms must be good (10/1).  I don't think thread can get much on, but might be worth a tenner each way and guess we can get that much.   If you are a couple of quid short, I am sure I can match that.




which of these should we be getting on? if any?





 I would def bet Furyk if I could get on at 40-1.  He hits a lot of fairways and the rough is penal on the course.



i can get £2.50 e/w at 40-1 with Bet366

if anyone wants to top us up there to £10 e/w please let me know

Booked.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #86346 on: September 05, 2014, 11:59:53 AM »

Tighty,

All these bets other folks kindly put on for Fred - is there a mechanism on the Spready that keeps track of them?

I'm afraid I'm inclined to forget what I may owe, & to whom.

I have "running arrangements" with sonour & Marky already, & they help me keep tabs, but I keep seeing folks put money on for Fred, & I'm scared I'll forget to settle up.

Anyway, Fred owes Argueboy £55, is that right? Settle up after, that OK?

Do I owe anyone else? Think I might owe Doobsy a few bob too, not sure. The money just goes round & round....

Pardon me for forgetting.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #86347 on: September 05, 2014, 12:01:44 PM »

i note on each relevant line of the spreadsheet who has placed what.
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« Reply #86348 on: September 05, 2014, 12:03:09 PM »

Tighty,

All these bets other folks kindly put on for Fred - is there a mechanism on the Spready that keeps track of them?

I'm afraid I'm inclined to forget what I may owe, & to whom.

I have "running arrangements" with sonour & Marky already, & they help me keep tabs, but I keep seeing folks put money on for Fred, & I'm scared I'll forget to settle up.

Anyway, Fred owes Argueboy £55, is that right? Settle up after, that OK?

Do I owe anyone else? Think I might owe Doobsy a few bob too, not sure. The money just goes round & round....

Pardon me for forgetting.
 

settle up after event is fine.  you have been added to an unsecured debtor on my balance sheet!
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« Reply #86349 on: September 05, 2014, 12:05:34 PM »

You owe me a whole British Ten pounds

Just keep it on tab sure something else will come up in time
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tikay
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« Reply #86350 on: September 05, 2014, 12:14:17 PM »



Thanks Tighty, John & Argue. Appreciated, don't forget to nudge me if need be.
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« Reply #86351 on: September 05, 2014, 12:36:30 PM »

Don't think you owe me anything other than the 15 from today.  If you do, don't worry I have forgotten it too.
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tikay
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« Reply #86352 on: September 05, 2014, 12:37:58 PM »

Don't think you owe me anything other than the 15 from today.  If you do, don't worry I have forgotten it too.

Thanks David.

Go Furyk!
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Marky147
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« Reply #86353 on: September 05, 2014, 01:11:21 PM »

Tighty,

All these bets other folks kindly put on for Fred - is there a mechanism on the Spready that keeps track of them?

I'm afraid I'm inclined to forget what I may owe, & to whom.

I have "running arrangements" with sonour & Marky already, & they help me keep tabs, but I keep seeing folks put money on for Fred, & I'm scared I'll forget to settle up.

Anyway, Fred owes Argueboy £55, is that right? Settle up after, that OK?

Do I owe anyone else? Think I might owe Doobsy a few bob too, not sure. The money just goes round & round....

Pardon me for forgetting.

I barely remember my own bets, and I don't put anywhere near as many on as Fred!

I'll send you an up to date list over the weekend, so you know how many DYMs need crushing to get you out Wink
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« Reply #86354 on: September 05, 2014, 01:17:32 PM »



I barely remember my own bets, and I don't put anywhere near as many on as Fred!


I call.
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