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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16091589 times)
Peter-27
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« Reply #96855 on: March 15, 2015, 07:57:18 AM »

According to the bwin rules:

"If a driver does not start the race, all bets for this driver become invalid. Drivers who do not start the race are understood to be classified as "DNS" in the official race results."

I think this will be the case, we'll have to see when the FIA publish the official results :-)
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tikay
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« Reply #96856 on: March 15, 2015, 08:00:02 AM »

It may have been mentioned before, If so apols. But just listening to RTB on ATR about the F1.

He suggested Vettel to podium, which seems to be 6/4 across the board, yet with Scuy and Betty SB he is 25-1 ew 1,2,3.

Am I missing something?

Think it was this post which sparked the debate, & Vettel did finish 3rd at monsta odds, so well done. Not sure how I failed to get on the EW Vettel, as you posted this & then Doobs backed it up. I blame Tighty, obv.
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tikay
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« Reply #96857 on: March 15, 2015, 08:04:11 AM »

According to the bwin rules:

"If a driver does not start the race, all bets for this driver become invalid. Drivers who do not start the race are understood to be classified as "DNS" in the official race results."

I think this will be the case, we'll have to see when the FIA publish the official results :-)

Well let's hope so, yes.

Enjoyed the betting discussion, though the race was a somewhat processional, drab, affair, with just 15 starters.

Incidentally, we have a dedicated F1 thread, which I'm trying to "work", to get some of the day to day F1 goss off Fred, please feel free to keep us updated as & when you hear general F1 stuff. (I'm quite interested in the developing Alonso story).

It is here....

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=64905.0
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Peter-27
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« Reply #96858 on: March 15, 2015, 08:06:32 AM »

Guys, take a look at this:

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

You can still sell McLaren at 130 points?

Just to clarify in my own mind, if I sold at £1 - and McLaren only scored 10 points all season, my profit would be £120?
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Peter-27
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« Reply #96859 on: March 15, 2015, 08:08:05 AM »

According to the bwin rules:

"If a driver does not start the race, all bets for this driver become invalid. Drivers who do not start the race are understood to be classified as "DNS" in the official race results."

I think this will be the case, we'll have to see when the FIA publish the official results :-)

Well let's hope so, yes.

Enjoyed the betting discussion, though the race was a somewhat processional, drab, affair, with just 15 starters.

Incidentally, we have a dedicated F1 thread, which I'm trying to "work", to get some of the day to day F1 goss off Fred, please feel free to keep us updated as & when you hear general F1 stuff. (I'm quite interested in the developing Alonso story).

It is here....

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=64905.0

I did see that briefly last night, but I tend to only use this thread because it is pinned on my browser. Are you telling me I HAVE to post all my bets on that thread? I'd rather stay here because I check it every day  Tongue
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tikay
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« Reply #96860 on: March 15, 2015, 08:20:05 AM »

According to the bwin rules:

"If a driver does not start the race, all bets for this driver become invalid. Drivers who do not start the race are understood to be classified as "DNS" in the official race results."

I think this will be the case, we'll have to see when the FIA publish the official results :-)

Well let's hope so, yes.

Enjoyed the betting discussion, though the race was a somewhat processional, drab, affair, with just 15 starters.

Incidentally, we have a dedicated F1 thread, which I'm trying to "work", to get some of the day to day F1 goss off Fred, please feel free to keep us updated as & when you hear general F1 stuff. (I'm quite interested in the developing Alonso story).

It is here....

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=64905.0

I did see that briefly last night, but I tend to only use this thread because it is pinned on my browser. Are you telling me I HAVE to post all my bets on that thread? I'd rather stay here because I check it every day  Tongue

No no, if you have any bets for Fred, put them on this thread, please.

The other thread is for general F1 goss & interest, & for betting purposes for those who prefer not to use Fred.  

There's a bit of a backstory to having that F1 thread separate to Fred. There were some grumbles & chunters - perhaps quite reasonably - that the sheer size & volume of Fred was stifling blonde debate generally, & there are those who do not want to be part of Fred, quite reasonably too, as well as a few who just dislike Fred & prefer not to post on it, due to it's sheer size. We have to bear in mind, too, that Fred might well cease, we have an issue or two, & I need some contingency in place for blonde if it does, as some 15% to 20% of all blonde posts are on Fred. Right now, if blonde lost 20% of it's post-count, it's pretty much curtains. 

So, as of January, after blonde activity generally had hit a 10 year low in December, we have been trying to re-energise blonde, give the Members what they want, start more threads, those sort of things. It's working (so far) we have increased activity by almost 50% since then.

You are the sort of chap that could really bring that F1 thread to life, (for non-betting stuff), it's beeen a bit of a dud so far. Not my first dud, to be fair, & it sure won't be my last. Wink

FWIW, general sports natter interests me greatly, whereas I could cease betting today & not bat an eyelid, I only bet for Fred purposes really.
« Last Edit: March 15, 2015, 08:24:19 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #96861 on: March 15, 2015, 08:26:23 AM »

I've never been an F1 fan, but interest been stirred from reading posters here...  Great insight from Peter in particular!

Shouts to Doobs and Adzy for their bets this morning also



Amen to all that. Quite looking forward to the next one now, Malaysia. 
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T_Mar
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« Reply #96862 on: March 15, 2015, 08:31:11 AM »

Guys, take a look at this:

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

You can still sell McLaren at 130 points?

Just to clarify in my own mind, if I sold at £1 - and McLaren only scored 10 points all season, my profit would be £120?

Pretty sure your understanding is correct Peter.... Out of interest, to my untrained eye, the line has moved seemingly significantly since  last week (Joe's bet was a sell @ 153).... Do you think 130 is still value or are they more in line now?

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Peter-27
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« Reply #96863 on: March 15, 2015, 08:35:08 AM »

Guys, take a look at this:

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

You can still sell McLaren at 130 points?

Just to clarify in my own mind, if I sold at £1 - and McLaren only scored 10 points all season, my profit would be £120?

Pretty sure your understanding is correct Peter.... Out of interest, to my untrained eye, the line has moved seemingly significantly since  last week (Joe's bet was a sell @ 153).... Do you think 130 is still value or are they more in line now?



I can't see McLaren getting more than 50 points absolute maximum this season. Wouldn't be surprised if they score under 10 to be honest.

This is not an over-reaction to this weekend. They will develop their car, but it's their powertrain that is limiting their performance relative to others. Powertrain development is massively restricted under regulation. Put it this way, the gap between the Ferrari and Mercedes engines last season was closer than McLaren to Renault now .. Mercedes still had a massive gap at the end of the season, likewise Renault will have a massive gap this season.
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« Reply #96864 on: March 15, 2015, 09:01:46 AM »

It may have been mentioned before, If so apols. But just listening to RTB on ATR about the F1.

He suggested Vettel to podium, which seems to be 6/4 across the board, yet with Scuy and Betty SB he is 25-1 ew 1,2,3.

Am I missing something?

Think it was this post which sparked the debate, & Vettel did finish 3rd at monsta odds, so well done. Not sure how I failed to get on the EW Vettel, as you posted this & then Doobs backed it up. I blame Tighty, obv.

I realised last night that I had got thirds and fifths mixed up, so my maths was rubbish on the Vettel bet.  Didn't stop it coming in though, so well done Adz.  Thanks for the Hulkenberg tip Peter.   



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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #96865 on: March 15, 2015, 09:03:10 AM »

Guys, take a look at this:

http://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points

You can still sell McLaren at 130 points?

Just to clarify in my own mind, if I sold at £1 - and McLaren only scored 10 points all season, my profit would be £120?

Pretty sure your understanding is correct Peter.... Out of interest, to my untrained eye, the line has moved seemingly significantly since  last week (Joe's bet was a sell @ 153).... Do you think 130 is still value or are they more in line now?



I can't see McLaren getting more than 50 points absolute maximum this season. Wouldn't be surprised if they score under 10 to be honest.

This is not an over-reaction to this weekend. They will develop their car, but it's their powertrain that is limiting their performance relative to others. Powertrain development is massively restricted under regulation. Put it this way, the gap between the Ferrari and Mercedes engines last season was closer than McLaren to Renault now .. Mercedes still had a massive gap at the end of the season, likewise Renault will have a massive gap this season.

Sounds like I better go an open an SI account  Cheesy

Cheers
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« Reply #96866 on: March 15, 2015, 09:05:57 AM »

It may have been mentioned before, If so apols. But just listening to RTB on ATR about the F1.

He suggested Vettel to podium, which seems to be 6/4 across the board, yet with Scuy and Betty SB he is 25-1 ew 1,2,3.

Am I missing something?

Think it was this post which sparked the debate, & Vettel did finish 3rd at monsta odds, so well done. Not sure how I failed to get on the EW Vettel, as you posted this & then Doobs backed it up. I blame Tighty, obv.

I realised last night that I had got thirds and fifths mixed up, so my maths was rubbish on the Vettel bet.  Didn't stop it coming in though, so well done Adz.  Thanks for the Hulkenberg tip Peter.   





Place terms were 1/5 3 places..... And podium finish was 6/4ish... So was good EW spot, no?
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Doobs
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« Reply #96867 on: March 15, 2015, 09:16:48 AM »

It may have been mentioned before, If so apols. But just listening to RTB on ATR about the F1.

He suggested Vettel to podium, which seems to be 6/4 across the board, yet with Scuy and Betty SB he is 25-1 ew 1,2,3.

Am I missing something?

Think it was this post which sparked the debate, & Vettel did finish 3rd at monsta odds, so well done. Not sure how I failed to get on the EW Vettel, as you posted this & then Doobs backed it up. I blame Tighty, obv.

I realised last night that I had got thirds and fifths mixed up, so my maths was rubbish on the Vettel bet.  Didn't stop it coming in though, so well done Adz.  Thanks for the Hulkenberg tip Peter.   





Place terms were 1/5 3 places..... And podium finish was 6/4ish... So was good EW spot, no?

My maths was based on a third 3 places as I had just been looking at 1-2 bets.  Schoolboy error. Think the bet paid 2/1.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #96868 on: March 15, 2015, 09:33:12 AM »

It may have been mentioned before, If so apols. But just listening to RTB on ATR about the F1.

He suggested Vettel to podium, which seems to be 6/4 across the board, yet with Scuy and Betty SB he is 25-1 ew 1,2,3.

Am I missing something?

Think it was this post which sparked the debate, & Vettel did finish 3rd at monsta odds, so well done. Not sure how I failed to get on the EW Vettel, as you posted this & then Doobs backed it up. I blame Tighty, obv.

I realised last night that I had got thirds and fifths mixed up, so my maths was rubbish on the Vettel bet.  Didn't stop it coming in though, so well done Adz.  Thanks for the Hulkenberg tip Peter.   





Place terms were 1/5 3 places..... And podium finish was 6/4ish... So was good EW spot, no?

Correct, you were getting 2/1 for your money with the added bonus of the win part if the front two had a disaster.
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« Reply #96869 on: March 15, 2015, 10:09:20 AM »

It may have been mentioned before, If so apols. But just listening to RTB on ATR about the F1.

He suggested Vettel to podium, which seems to be 6/4 across the board, yet with Scuy and Betty SB he is 25-1 ew 1,2,3.

Am I missing something?

Think it was this post which sparked the debate, & Vettel did finish 3rd at monsta odds, so well done. Not sure how I failed to get on the EW Vettel, as you posted this & then Doobs backed it up. I blame Tighty, obv.

I realised last night that I had got thirds and fifths mixed up, so my maths was rubbish on the Vettel bet.  Didn't stop it coming in though, so well done Adz.  Thanks for the Hulkenberg tip Peter.   





Place terms were 1/5 3 places..... And podium finish was 6/4ish... So was good EW spot, no?

Correct, you were getting 2/1 for your money with the added bonus of the win part if the front two had a disaster.

Yeah, it def paid 2/1. For my unrestricted sky account Smiley Cheers Adz
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