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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16554232 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #118020 on: June 03, 2016, 11:20:49 AM »

Morning Tighty.

In recent weeks we have backed Andy Murray to beat Nadal and Djokovic when he was the under dog. Today he is favourite to beat Wawrinka and I think that is wrong. Wawrinka has won all 3 times they have met on clay, although none have been recent and Murray has changed his game a lot. But Wawrinka is the defending champion, completely outplayed Djokovic here last year, and he has looked the best player, to me anyway, this year. As long as he is mentally OK, never a certainty for Wawrinka, then I expect a 4 or 5 set win.

Suggest £20 Wawrinka @ 6/5 with Betvictor or Paddy Power

Stan Wawrinka Stan Wawrinka v Andy Murray Winner
6/5
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Returns: £44.00
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« Reply #118021 on: June 03, 2016, 11:30:26 AM »

can anyone help with any part of Somehow in the Oaks at Bet365 or betfair sportsbook please?

up to £30 e/w at 8-1

--

Coral would only lay 50% of the request at 13-2 Skiffle and all the other 13-2 places  are off limits

Skiffle Epsom 16:30 Winner
13/2 Each Way (3 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £30.80
Potential Returns: £155.92

-

Architecture the existing bet is £25 e/w. as its at the current price we can take it on here

the Oaks EPSOM - Ante Post 2016 Horse Racing Outright - Race    Architecture    14/1    EW1/4 1,2,3    None    Unsettled
Bet ID: 60514201700 12:05 Bet Type: Single Stake: £ 50.00


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« Reply #118022 on: June 03, 2016, 11:38:21 AM »

can anyone help with any part of Somehow in the Oaks at Bet365 or betfair sportsbook please?

up to £30 e/w at 8-1

--

Coral would only lay 50% of the request at 13-2 Skiffle and all the other 13-2 places  are off limits

Skiffle Epsom 16:30 Winner
13/2 Each Way (3 Places at 1/4 Odds)
Total Stake: £30.80
Potential Returns: £155.92

-

Architecture the existing bet is £25 e/w. as its at the current price we can take it on here

the Oaks EPSOM - Ante Post 2016 Horse Racing Outright - Race    Architecture    14/1    EW1/4 1,2,3    None    Unsettled
Bet ID: 60514201700 12:05 Bet Type: Single Stake: £ 50.00




Somehow 30 e/w at 8/1 quarter booked
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #118023 on: June 03, 2016, 11:43:30 AM »

Have got 15 e/w Skiffle at 13/2 quarter first 3 too.  Confirm if you want it.
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« Reply #118024 on: June 03, 2016, 11:46:32 AM »

Can't blame Coral for being careful. Tinpot race round a gaff track after all.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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« Reply #118025 on: June 03, 2016, 11:49:19 AM »

Have got 15 e/w Skiffle at 13/2 quarter first 3 too.  Confirm if you want it.

thanks for both

can i do a rain dance now?
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« Reply #118026 on: June 03, 2016, 12:12:00 PM »

Architecture  now 16/1 with Corals for those not on yet.  Not sure why as betfair hasnt chamged much.  Beats betfair on win and place.   They didn't lay me much, as I must be at my limit.   
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #118027 on: June 03, 2016, 12:49:28 PM »

Televised T20 blast tonight, Lancashire v Yorkshire. recc £20 on over 10.5 sixes with Choral @19/20. They aren't listed on oddschecker market, so no link.

full write-up:

http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting-tips/cricket/T20-Blast/T20-blast-Lancashire-v-Yorkshire-Over-10-5-match-sixes/70220
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« Reply #118028 on: June 03, 2016, 01:10:59 PM »

Your bet has now been placed
Single

Over 10.5
19/20
Lancashire v Yorkshire - 03/06/2016
Stake £20.00
Estimated Return:£39.00
Total Stake: £20.00
Potential Return: £39.00

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« Reply #118029 on: June 03, 2016, 03:57:16 PM »

Are e/w bets on the next at Epsom best cashed out for a 5% loss now its gone 1/4 1-2?
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« Reply #118030 on: June 03, 2016, 04:03:48 PM »

Are e/w bets on the next at Epsom best cashed out for a 5% loss now its gone 1/4 1-2?

Think it would depend on the odds you took.

Edit.  Should compare with betfair rather than sp.
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« Reply #118031 on: June 03, 2016, 04:21:04 PM »

It didn't win so I made the right decision cashing out Tongue

The ev of the win bet is unaffected I believe (otbe). But the e/w part is decimated.

Bet placed at 7/1, was 4/1 at the off. The place was evens on betfair for 3 which I would now be getting for 2 so think cash out is correct.
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« Reply #118032 on: June 03, 2016, 04:27:50 PM »

Are e/w bets on the next at Epsom best cashed out for a 5% loss now its gone 1/4 1-2?

Think it would depend on the odds you took.

Edit.  Should compare with betfair rather than sp.

Sorry a bit too late, but for the future, you can work out the value of what you have with this each-way calculator - you can use the betfair 2 place market in the "place odds" field, (it should be liquid enough close to the race) and remember to deduct a rule 4 if applicable to get the right odds for the "bookmakers win odds" field.

http://www.sportspreadsheet.com/eachwaycalc2.html

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« Reply #118033 on: June 03, 2016, 04:37:35 PM »

It didn't win so I made the right decision cashing out Tongue

The ev of the win bet is unaffected I believe (otbe). But the e/w part is decimated.

Bet placed at 7/1, was 4/1 at the off. The place was evens on betfair for 3 which I would now be getting for 2 so think cash out is correct.

If you have backed a horse at 7/1 and it is still 7/1 on betfair, I'd be cashing out.  If it was 4/1 on betfair, I'd say that cashing out would likely be bad.
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« Reply #118034 on: June 03, 2016, 04:51:59 PM »

It didn't win so I made the right decision cashing out Tongue

The ev of the win bet is unaffected I believe (otbe). But the e/w part is decimated.

Bet placed at 7/1, was 4/1 at the off. The place was evens on betfair for 3 which I would now be getting for 2 so think cash out is correct.

If you have backed a horse at 7/1 and it is still 7/1 on betfair, I'd be cashing out.  If it was 4/1 on betfair, I'd say that cashing out would likely be bad.

How big was the rule4 for Arod?
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