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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13333065 times)
maldini32
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« Reply #118965 on: June 24, 2016, 05:16:28 PM »

Maths guys.

Cricket match

Over 9.5 @ 10/11
Under 11.5 @ 5/6

Is it a bet?
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arbboy
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« Reply #118966 on: June 24, 2016, 05:18:32 PM »

Maths guys.

Cricket match

Over 9.5 @ 10/11
Under 11.5 @ 5/6

Is it a bet?

Yes for me.  You are paying 7% to scoop both.  So basically backing exactly 10 or 11 around the 14/1 mark to happen.  Too big a price.  Assume similar distribution to football corners which are around 10 or 11 a game.  EXactly 10 or 11 corners is around a 9/1 shot (10%).  Coupled would be a 4/1 (20%) ish shot so you are getting 14/1 about a 4/1 shot imo.
« Last Edit: June 24, 2016, 05:21:20 PM by arbboy » Logged
maldini32
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« Reply #118967 on: June 24, 2016, 05:22:58 PM »

Maths guys.

Cricket match

Over 9.5 @ 10/11
Under 11.5 @ 5/6

Is it a bet?

Yes for me.  You are paying 7% to scoop both.  So basically backing exactly 10 or 11 around the 14/1 mark to happen.  Too big a price.

Yes my thinking too.

There was no firm pricing up exact . With 10 and 11 you are bang in the mix.

Betfsb for the overs and 364 for the unders for guys that can
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maldini32
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« Reply #118968 on: June 24, 2016, 05:25:55 PM »

Edit ignore that the unders is 8/11, still OK?
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arbboy
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« Reply #118969 on: June 24, 2016, 05:29:55 PM »

Edit ignore that the unders is 8/11, still OK?

You paying 11% now so getting 8/1 about a 4/1 shot effectively.  Still a bet but for half the stakes the previous bet would have been as the edge is much smaller.
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maldini32
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« Reply #118970 on: June 24, 2016, 05:33:08 PM »

Edit ignore that the unders is 8/11, still OK?

You paying 11% now so getting 8/1 about a 4/1 shot effectively.  Still a bet but for half the stakes the previous bet would have been as the edge is much smaller.

Thanks for that, in at work so helps someone else doing the graft!
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JohnCharver
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« Reply #118971 on: June 24, 2016, 08:54:40 PM »

de sousa 4 winners vs moore 1 at newmarket
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« Reply #118972 on: June 24, 2016, 09:06:26 PM »

RyRy had one earlier, so 4-2 on the day. SDS so good on this sort of ground.

We're wasting a whole Saturday for one ride at the Curragh tomorrow. Sure if they'd know 12 days (which can't be appealed against) were coming, we'd be staying home and doing a double-header.

Be doing well to still be ahead come 12 July.
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« Reply #118973 on: June 24, 2016, 09:31:10 PM »

Whoever tipped up Steve Johnson for the Nottingham tennis, he is in the final playing against Cuevas, so ty!
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4KSuited
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« Reply #118974 on: June 24, 2016, 09:40:32 PM »

Whoever tipped up Steve Johnson for the Nottingham tennis, he is in the final playing against Cuevas, so ty!

yw

GL us
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« Reply #118975 on: June 25, 2016, 10:05:20 AM »

Well done on the cricket suggestion again!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #118976 on: June 25, 2016, 11:28:05 AM »

came across this on my timeline this morning

the last few lines made me chuckle

 Click to see full-size image.
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DropTheHammer
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« Reply #118977 on: June 25, 2016, 11:39:43 AM »

Our friends at Choral have set their sixes line very low in the Hampshire v Gloucester T20 match at 1:30pm.

Over 7.5 @ evens
Under 9.5 @ 1.88 at triple eight/Uni

^ is a ROI of -3.09% for the chance to scoop both bets if we see 8 or 9 sixes. Seems to be twice as good as the one arbboy priced up yesterday:

Yes for me.  You are paying 7% to scoop both.  So basically backing exactly 10 or 11 around the 14/1 mark to happen.  Too big a price.  Assume similar distribution to football corners which are around 10 or 11 a game.  Exactly 10 or 11 corners is around a 9/1 shot (10%).  Coupled would be a 4/1 (20%) ish shot so you are getting 14/1 about a 4/1 shot imo.

WORD OF WARNING - I have done three of these previous ones put up and our friends have referred me to the trader for the first time ever, and offered me less than the last one I put on (£300). Thankfully they held the line, and price at evens.
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« Reply #118978 on: June 25, 2016, 11:54:56 AM »

Our friends at Choral have set their sixes line very low in the Hampshire v Gloucester T20 match at 1:30pm.

Over 7.5 @ evens
Under 9.5 @ 1.88 at triple eight/Uni

^ is a ROI of -3.09% for the chance to scoop both bets if we see 8 or 9 sixes. Seems to be twice as good as the one arbboy priced up yesterday:

Yes for me.  You are paying 7% to scoop both.  So basically backing exactly 10 or 11 around the 14/1 mark to happen.  Too big a price.  Assume similar distribution to football corners which are around 10 or 11 a game.  Exactly 10 or 11 corners is around a 9/1 shot (10%).  Coupled would be a 4/1 (20%) ish shot so you are getting 14/1 about a 4/1 shot imo.

WORD OF WARNING - I have done three of these previous ones put up and our friends have referred me to the trader for the first time ever, and offered me less than the last one I put on (£300). Thankfully they held the line, and price at evens.

Coral dipped out already 1.83 Sad
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TightEnd
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« Reply #118979 on: June 25, 2016, 11:57:09 AM »

i was sent this last night by McGlashan

AJ bet rec (may cause a headache)
« Sent to: TightEnd on: June 24, 2016, 07:21:30 PM »
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Anthony Joshua makes the first defence of his world title on Saturday night against Dominic Breazeale. My fingers were crossed for Breazeale to be the chosen opponent as he is highly ranked with the IBF but is an over rated big stiff upright lump. He looks every bit the undrafted quarterback convert and is prime for getting stopped early. Bazza doesn't know how this will go 3 rounds and I was thinking more towards rounds 1&2. Whilst it's not a total slam dunk like the Haye spot, AJ has good form for making a mockery of the under odds.

For getting on the shouty red man has low vig and the highest limits. Rec £400 @1/2 on total rounds – within 3
A few non bookies including Russ Wiseman's lot are late entrants with a pick em line of 2 and a half rounds. It's a line I wish was more widely available at an earlier date.

--

£400 at 1/2? deep breath


i am out til 1pm but to double check if i do this

Under 3.5 Anthony Joshua v Dominic Breazeale Total Rounds
4/9

its the same bet, yes?

not sure how much i can get on yet
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