UK General Election 2015

[The Baron]

Should have just done a locked thread with a poll on top.

[TightEnd]

Should have just done a locked thread with a poll on top.

why locked?

the whole point is to encourage discussion, air views

[The Baron]

Should have just done a locked thread with a poll on top.

why locked?

the whole point is to encourage discussion, air views

For the "blondepoker poll" to add to your list

[TightEnd]

gotcha. i shall add one. vote people. we'll do a scientific and wholly representative sample. ahem

[dakky]

I posted on TFT other day that I saw an old boy place a hefty bet on SNP winning Murphy's seat.  

Alexander going would be the icing on the cake, I can't stand that weasely little fool.  

My own Constituency MP refuses to come through my street because I follow him to every door and counter his lies but sadly, he will manage to keep his seat due to the boundaries.  

Kmac can you confirm how you saw this bet? Where when and how much was the bet?  Which firm and what price? I assume it was placed in a betting shop North of the border as you don't work in the betting industry.  You don't come across as the type who loiters in betting shops for hours on end so I am assuming it is another one of your mythical tales to suit your blinkered views.  Getting hefty bets on in betting shops on politics or anything full stop usually means you are a mug btw.  I am more likely to stick a needle in my eye than get a hefty bet on politics taken in a betting shop anywhere in the uk.

Who was the old boy?  Was it tony ansell?

It was Tuesday or Wednesday during my lunch.  Coral on Queen St Glasgow, older bloke, not from Glasgow I think possibly from Dundee I was at the window collecting and he asked for a price on SNP winning East Renfrewshire.  The lass behind the counter phoned it through she was on the phone for a few minutes she asked how much he wanted on he said £750 she was back on the phone and said 2/1 he haded over the cash and I couldn't help ask him why because I knew it was Murphy's seat.  He then told me he had been polling in the constituency and was very confident of SNP win in both Murphy and Alexander seats.  

lol @ Mythical tales.  No bother guru.  

lol at coral laying a £750 at 2/1 on that bet in a glasgow shop then holding the price for 3 days before the price caves in today.  You sound like a coral pr man.  Even they wouldn't make up stories like this as no one would believe them!  Looks like a lump on job at victor now then at 7/4. How much you had on? Old fella won't be getting many more bets on in that shop (nap)

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/renfrewshire-east/winning-party/bet-history/snp/today

well someone's either lumped on or the bookies are on top of this thread!

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/renfrewshire-east/winning-party/

[relaedgc]

Nate silver (http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver) is on panorama tonight about the UK election. BBC1 at 830.

Sounds like quite the shrewdie.

What was said? He has an impressive record with the U.S. elections, although there are significant differences.

[The Baron]

gotcha. i shall add one. vote people. we'll do a scientific and wholly representative sample. ahem

Still, interesting to see.

[arbboy]

What's everyone's views in red ed and brand having a cosy night in together?

[david3103]

What's everyone's views in red ed and brand having a cosy night in together?

Depends on whether that's Jo, Katy or Russel.

[neeko]

What's everyone's views in red ed and brand having a cosy night in together?

RB's audience are young, probably don't watch the six o'clock news, newsnight or anything else, and also less inclined to vote, if going on that shows makes a few of them vote for labour then it will be worth it.

His audience is larger then the channel 4 news or newsnight.

The median age of a register voter is 50, 3 years older than that of a potential voter. Only 55% of 18-24 year olds are registered, as opposed to 94% of over 65's!!! (https://www.opendemocracy.net/ourkingdom/craig-berry/how-growing-grey-vote-could-undermine-british-democracy

[AdamM]

What's everyone's views in red ed and brand having a cosy night in together?

RB's audience are young, probably don't watch the six o'clock news, newsnight or anything else, and also less inclined to vote, if going on that shows makes a few of them vote for labour then it will be worth it.

His audience is larger then the channel 4 news or newsnight.

The median age of a register voter is 50, 3 years older than that of a potential voter. Only 55% of 18-24 year olds are registered, as opposed to 94% of over 65's!!! (https://www.opendemocracy.net/ourkingdom/craig-berry/how-growing-grey-vote-could-undermine-british-democracy

What, all 1,088,752 subscribers?

[TightEnd]

Nate silver (http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver) is on panorama tonight about the UK election. BBC1 at 830.

Sounds like quite the shrewdie.

What was said? He has an impressive record with the U.S. elections, although there are significant differences.

the programme was only half an hour long and was necessarily superficial..visited a few constituencies, some vox pop etc

what wasn't made clear is that Silver, really the first celebrity pollster because of his success and profile in the US, isn't using his own forecasts for the UK

he partnerred with  http://electionforecast.co.uk for this election and didn't build his own model

so at the end when asked for his prediction the numbers he gives are theirs

(Latest forecast update: Con 280, Lab 270, SNP 47, LD 27, DUP eight)

Silver is obviously terrifyingly bright and very watchable though

[TightEnd]

NicolaSturgeon is the most popular politician in Britain - in all regions, age groups, with both men and women

http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/wider-political-news/poll-shows-sturgeon-is-now-the-most-popular-politician-across-britain.124601616

[bobAlike]

NicolaSturgeon is the most popular politician in Britain - in all regions, age groups, with both men and women

http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/wider-political-news/poll-shows-sturgeon-is-now-the-most-popular-politician-across-britain.124601616

Funny is that, everyone I know and have spoken to about her don't like her at all.

[Woodsey]

NicolaSturgeon is the most popular politician in Britain - in all regions, age groups, with both men and women

http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/wider-political-news/poll-shows-sturgeon-is-now-the-most-popular-politician-across-britain.124601616

Funny is that, everyone I know and have spoken to about her don't like her at all.

Seems a good politician, I hate most of the things that come out of her gob though lol.