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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16591119 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #43035 on: June 12, 2013, 03:55:29 PM »

Pray for rain in Birmingham

1 point would be very nice for New Zealand

Why, how, what?

There is no match unless both sides bat 20 overs

NZ are 51-2 in reply

Off 15

so it is currently no result, 1 point each

that puts NZ on three, Aus on 1

and England win tomorrow then knocks Sri Lanka out

Australia would then need to beat Sri Lanka in the last game by a long way and hope England beat New Zeland becauss New Zealand have ALREADY got 3 points and a far superior net run rate (due to the sri lanka result when they won with 15 overs to spare)


So if its rained off

NZ 3 +1.05
Eng 2 +0.9
Aus 1 -0.7
SL 0 -1.05

Eng win tomorrow go to 4 points

then if Aus beat SL and Eng beat NZ it looks

Eng 6
NZ 3
Aus 3
SL 0

and it comes down to NRR where NZ currently have a big advantage

Simple
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« Reply #43036 on: June 12, 2013, 04:00:48 PM »

Completed match 1/4 still tho
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TightEnd
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« Reply #43037 on: June 12, 2013, 04:01:16 PM »

Dawn Approach is 7/4 for the St James's Palace Stakes after Jim Bolger's shock decision to enter him in next week's Royal Ascot race.

The 2000 Guineas winner had been expected to miss the Royal meeting after everything went wrong for him in the Investec Derby, but having come out of that race well he's now set to drop back to a mile.

Given that they didn't include him in previous antepost lists, Coral and Sky Bet have confirmed that bets placed prior to today will be settled without Dawn Approach, who now challenges 13/8 shot Magician at the head of the betting.

Richard Hannon's Toronado is next at 5/1 with Paddy Power and it's 25/1 bar.


After Epsom, I am surprised to see it as low as 7/4. Am I wrong, or should all be fine and dandy back over a mile on a flat mile next week?

ie tell me not to lay it....

3 part answer in my view

1, If had had not run in the Derby, what price would you lay him at?

2, Do you think he didn't stay the Derby trip, or was there was something amiss?

3, Jim Bolger tends not to be a cavalier trainer, and wouldn't report his steed as being great, if he wasn't


Basically....no idea!

Name me a star 3yo colt who flopped in the Derby then came back to carry all before him at Ascot?

Generally they are back for the Eclipse, Goodwood etc etc are they not?
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« Reply #43038 on: June 12, 2013, 04:01:24 PM »

Edit 1/3 after ramping by Commentators
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tikay
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« Reply #43039 on: June 12, 2013, 04:01:41 PM »


New Zealand v Aussue, thanks Rich.

Yup, exactly what I thought.
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« Reply #43040 on: June 12, 2013, 04:02:20 PM »

Grey, dull and wet in central Brummagem. The full Spitting Image John Major.

Nothing heavy from what I can see through the nearest window, mind.

Sunnier climes called for, methinks
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« Reply #43041 on: June 12, 2013, 04:02:59 PM »

Completed match 1/4 still tho

Yes, I was just indulging in some wishful thinking

this is also why batting second in rain matches is good

Duckworth Lewis if they get back on is NZ needing 28 off 5 to win (if they can only manage 5)

Far Simpler than 197 off 35 with 8 left and this batting line up.....
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« Reply #43042 on: June 12, 2013, 04:04:02 PM »

Doesn't work like that. The new target is revised and DL is therefore revised. They need 28 off 5 if its still a full allocation
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TightEnd
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« Reply #43043 on: June 12, 2013, 04:05:07 PM »

Doesn't work like that. The new target is revised and DL is therefore revised. They need 28 off 5 if its still a full allocation

fair enough.

the batting second under DL point still stands....
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« Reply #43044 on: June 12, 2013, 04:06:34 PM »

Yeah of course
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« Reply #43045 on: June 12, 2013, 04:06:41 PM »

I wouldn't ever go against a horse after just one bad run.  With a stronger pace the horse should be much easier to settle.  There must always be a price we are willing to lay, but I don't think we are there yet.

Think I will be watching, it looks like we have two very good horses at the top of the betting and Hannon likes his a lot too.  Could be the race of the week?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #43046 on: June 12, 2013, 04:15:41 PM »

US Open

I saw mention that Paddy Power are going SEVEN places, Mobile ONLY.

Note that several books are going SEVEN places, quarter odds, including BetVictor & JenningsBet.
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« Reply #43047 on: June 12, 2013, 04:16:28 PM »

Looks such a tough betting event. Have read 4/5 different write ups today and they must have listed 16-20 different players.
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« Reply #43048 on: June 12, 2013, 04:20:02 PM »

Felines and canines in Brum now.
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« Reply #43049 on: June 12, 2013, 04:20:53 PM »

Looks such a tough betting event. Have read 4/5 different write ups today and they must have listed 16-20 different players.

What would your view be on Garcia, Top European, @ 11/1?

Strong tip Posted for that a day or two ago (10/1 when tipped) & I am currently inclined to get on, as the bet owner tipped a 9,783,042-1 golf double last week. 
« Last Edit: June 12, 2013, 04:28:52 PM by tikay » Logged

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