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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13329931 times)
samj19
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« Reply #81690 on: June 29, 2014, 07:23:22 PM »

I'm no entirely sure if this is a bet or not its just something I noticed while scouring markets before. Using bet everyday they have first half stoppage time to be 3+ minutes at 4/1. If the cooling breaks are to be used in this game is this a bet? They also have 4+ minutes at 1/2 in the second half so I'm presuming they add these breaks on to the second half? Even still if these cooling breaks happening 1/2 is a bet?
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Doobs
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« Reply #81691 on: June 29, 2014, 07:26:08 PM »

Thanks, chaps.

Does he have a realistic chance of winning or is it solely reliant on injury/mechanical issues/medical results for the big two? He's a good allrounder, isn't he? Quintana must be one of the best "number twos" in the field, too.

If 3/1 for top three were available, would that be a better bet than 16/1 each way?

I would say so.  16/1 is well behind betfair, 3/1 ahead.  Don't think there is any chance of 4/1 with that money lined up on Betfair.   Not sure why you have mentioned it at 18/1 on the cycling thread and bought it here after it has gone 16/1.  If you weren't sure enough to put it here at 18/1...

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
FUN4FRASER
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« Reply #81692 on: June 29, 2014, 07:27:46 PM »

Taking RVP off at 1-0 down?

Brilliant and brave (when it works) by LVG

thought that was the first game the European team was really disadvantaged by the heat, and they pulled through. bullish for the dutch, you have to say

Two goals at the death to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.

They'll never accept that at Old Trafford

Hehe   Smiley
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Tonji
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« Reply #81693 on: June 29, 2014, 07:28:11 PM »

Thanks, chaps.

Does he have a realistic chance of winning or is it solely reliant on injury/mechanical issues/medical results for the big two? He's a good allrounder, isn't he? Quintana must be one of the best "number twos" in the field, too.

If 3/1 for top three were available, would that be a better bet than 16/1 each way?

Quintana not in the Tour squad, he'll be at the Vuelta. Team will confirmed in a few days I believe.

Probably needs Froome & or Contador to be beset with problems, not beyond the realms...but certainly is on a level below them.
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« Reply #81694 on: June 29, 2014, 07:31:27 PM »

Thanks, chaps.

Does he have a realistic chance of winning or is it solely reliant on injury/mechanical issues/medical results for the big two? He's a good allrounder, isn't he? Quintana must be one of the best "number twos" in the field, too.

If 3/1 for top three were available, would that be a better bet than 16/1 each way?

I would say so.  16/1 is well behind betfair, 3/1 ahead.  Don't think there is any chance of 4/1 with that money lined up on Betfair.   Not sure why you have mentioned it at 18/1 on the cycling thread and bought it here after it has gone 16/1.  If you weren't sure enough to put it here at 18/1...



To be fair, it was me who brought it here at 16/1. Tonji just mentioned on the thread that he happened to have bet the same bet at a slightly better price.

Academic if 16/1 is still good. I don't have 18/1.
« Last Edit: June 29, 2014, 07:33:05 PM by Tal » Logged

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« Reply #81695 on: June 29, 2014, 07:33:03 PM »

I'm no entirely sure if this is a bet or not its just something I noticed while scouring markets before. Using bet everyday they have first half stoppage time to be 3+ minutes at 4/1. If the cooling breaks are to be used in this game is this a bet? They also have 4+ minutes at 1/2 in the second half so I'm presuming they add these breaks on to the second half? Even still if these cooling breaks happening 1/2 is a bet?

samj19, altho a professional league of legends player is a wise tipster
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horseplayer
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« Reply #81696 on: June 29, 2014, 07:39:32 PM »

plenty made money on the water break today not me i missed it

good spot if you did

If you think something is a good bet at 18/1 there is no way you shouldnt back it at 16/1
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samj19
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« Reply #81697 on: June 29, 2014, 07:45:07 PM »

Seems I was a bit slow on this one. Been told weather isnt as "good" for tonights game. Maybe keep it for the 5pm games Smiley
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« Reply #81698 on: June 29, 2014, 07:49:04 PM »

Seems I was a bit slow on this one. Been told weather isnt as "good" for tonights game. Maybe keep it for the 5pm games Smiley

Maybe I was too hasty:

It's gonna be very humid in Recife so could be a bet after all.
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McSnort
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« Reply #81699 on: June 29, 2014, 07:49:54 PM »

Man United later on 365 are 4/5 at home. I know theyve had problems at home but surely this is a good price?

I'm no entirely sure if this is a bet or not its just something I noticed while scouring markets before. Using bet everyday they have first half stoppage time to be 3+ minutes at 4/1. If the cooling breaks are to be used in this game is this a bet? They also have 4+ minutes at 1/2 in the second half so I'm presuming they add these breaks on to the second half? Even still if these cooling breaks happening 1/2 is a bet?

after that man utd tip you owe me, so this tip better be right m8
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« Reply #81700 on: June 29, 2014, 07:50:26 PM »

Seems I was a bit slow on this one. Been told weather isnt as "good" for tonights game. Maybe keep it for the 5pm games Smiley

Maybe I was too hasty:

It's gonna be very humid in Recife so could be a bet after all.

When these two come together, these brilliant minds, it's going to be a good bet.
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cheapwetsuit
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« Reply #81701 on: June 29, 2014, 07:52:03 PM »

realistically, with a week to go, are we likely to see 4/1 the podium finish mr wetsuit?



Oops. Hadn't noticed that all the bookies had priced it up already. In answer to your question: No. Probably definitely not. 16/1 e/w looks a steal given Bet Every Day Of The Year's stingy 11/5 podium price.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #81702 on: June 29, 2014, 07:58:18 PM »

A cooling break can be called by the referee once temperatures go over 89.6F (32°C) in the stadium.

These breaks can only be call after the 30th minute and 75th minute mark in a match respectively.

The match clock will not stop, however, if such a break is called.

This is the first World Cup where cooling breaks are allowed.


5pm uk time mon France v nigeria, Brasilia

5pm tues argentina v switzerland sao paolo

8pm germany v algeria won't be hot enough in port allegre, coastal, temperate

8pm usa v belgium  in salvador


heading to http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/Brazil.htm

plug in monday pm for the city required

brasilia 29c

sao paolo 21c (on the coast)

plug in tues pm for

salvador 29c


so unlikely to be any water breaks

review for quarter finals

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TightEnd
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« Reply #81703 on: June 29, 2014, 08:11:53 PM »

realistically, with a week to go, are we likely to see 4/1 the podium finish mr wetsuit?



Oops. Hadn't noticed that all the bookies had priced it up already. In answer to your question: No. Probably definitely not. 16/1 e/w looks a steal given Bet Every Day Of The Year's stingy 11/5 podium price.


best podium price is 5/2 http://www.oddschecker.com/cycling/tour-de-france/top-3-finish

i can get 18/1 top 3, (20/1 at boyle, sjames) coral

e/w 1/4 1,2,3

Alejandro Valverde18/1Outright 2014 - 05/07/2014
£15 Each Way
Stake £30.00
Estimated Return:£367.50
Total Stake: £30.00
Potential Return: £367.50

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« Reply #81704 on: June 29, 2014, 08:16:26 PM »

The One drop starts in an hour

a reminder of our funkees

all updates welcome

WSOP One drop   Ole Schemion   80/1   6.25
WSOP One drop   Vanessa Selbst   66/1   5
WSOP One drop   greg merson   100/1 5
WSOP One Drop   Dan Smith           50/1   2

Is Ole playing, i wonder...
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