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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 14845958 times)
Karabiner
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« Reply #103005 on: June 20, 2015, 03:43:14 PM »

Her majesty wearing salmon today, obviously follows Jeeves.
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« Reply #103006 on: June 20, 2015, 03:45:13 PM »

tal the e/w thief, wd.

noticed borderlescott runs there later, still running upto a mark over 90 at 13 over 5f. What a horse
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Chompy
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« Reply #103007 on: June 20, 2015, 03:46:51 PM »

Sort of like the idea of backing Swindon to get relegated, but not at 10-1. Would have been hoping for bigger tbh.

Also think Chesterfield will go sharply backwards and the general 8-1 for the drop is ok. Losing Cook and replacing him with Dean Saunders is lol. They've also lost Jimmy Ryan and Gary Roberts, and will do well to hold on to Darikwa and Morsy.

Whoever picks up Morsy will insta-improve imo. His incred!

In fact, let's flick in a pony at 8-1.


Hopes are not high around the town for next season.... Sad

Agree with my lolanalysis? Obv don't know all the ins and outs of Spireites but seems like a good spot to me. Any rumours about Morsy?
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« Reply #103008 on: June 20, 2015, 04:01:17 PM »

I quite like Educate in this next one at Ascot, any love for it or am I pissing in the wind?



I hope you were pissing downwind mate.
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
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« Reply #103009 on: June 20, 2015, 04:03:43 PM »

moore seems to be receiving the variance treatment so far, that can stop later
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youthnkzR
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« Reply #103010 on: June 20, 2015, 04:05:07 PM »

Sort of like the idea of backing Swindon to get relegated, but not at 10-1. Would have been hoping for bigger tbh.

Also think Chesterfield will go sharply backwards and the general 8-1 for the drop is ok. Losing Cook and replacing him with Dean Saunders is lol. They've also lost Jimmy Ryan and Gary Roberts, and will do well to hold on to Darikwa and Morsy.

Whoever picks up Morsy will insta-improve imo. His incred!

In fact, let's flick in a pony at 8-1.



Hopes are not high around the town for next season.... Sad

Agree with my lolanalysis? Obv don't know all the ins and outs of Spireites but seems like a good spot to me. Any rumours about Morsy?

Jimmy Ryan a huge huge loss. Chesterfield looking to offload whoever they can... seems like its only a matter of time for Morsy but who knows (I've not heard anything yet)... Apparently theres interest from elsewhere in Darikwa.

Saunders record speaks for itself in terms of relegations. Even the diehard fans on the chesterfield message board looking to get on the relegation :

http://www.thecfss.co.uk/forums/index.php?act=idx

I'm on (smallish).

On the other hand - apparently Roberts was on an obscene wage, which is now freed up, and the club apparently close to signing Giles Coke to replace Ryan (second hand info - could be b*llocks).
« Last Edit: June 20, 2015, 04:12:19 PM by youthnkzR » Logged
Karabiner
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« Reply #103011 on: June 20, 2015, 04:26:21 PM »

I'm fairly keen on my old friend Rivellino in the Wokingham today.

Ran a stormer to come 3rd in this same race last year carrying 3lbs more.

Worth a Lady Godiva EW @ 33/1 unless anyone vehemently disagrees.
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« Reply #103012 on: June 20, 2015, 04:33:01 PM »

Sort of like the idea of backing Swindon to get relegated, but not at 10-1. Would have been hoping for bigger tbh.

Also think Chesterfield will go sharply backwards and the general 8-1 for the drop is ok. Losing Cook and replacing him with Dean Saunders is lol. They've also lost Jimmy Ryan and Gary Roberts, and will do well to hold on to Darikwa and Morsy.

Whoever picks up Morsy will insta-improve imo. His incred!

In fact, let's flick in a pony at 8-1.



Hopes are not high around the town for next season.... Sad

Agree with my lolanalysis? Obv don't know all the ins and outs of Spireites but seems like a good spot to me. Any rumours about Morsy?

Jimmy Ryan a huge huge loss. Chesterfield looking to offload whoever they can... seems like its only a matter of time for Morsy but who knows (I've not heard anything yet)... Apparently theres interest from elsewhere in Darikwa.

Saunders record speaks for itself in terms of relegations. Even the diehard fans on the chesterfield message board looking to get on the relegation :

http://www.thecfss.co.uk/forums/index.php?act=idx

I'm on (smallish).

On the other hand - apparently Roberts was on an obscene wage, which is now freed up, and the club apparently close to signing Giles Coke to replace Ryan (second hand info - could be b*llocks).

Good enough for me, up it to a nifty please Tighty.
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« Reply #103013 on: June 20, 2015, 04:39:03 PM »

Sort of like the idea of backing Swindon to get relegated, but not at 10-1. Would have been hoping for bigger tbh.

Also think Chesterfield will go sharply backwards and the general 8-1 for the drop is ok. Losing Cook and replacing him with Dean Saunders is lol. They've also lost Jimmy Ryan and Gary Roberts, and will do well to hold on to Darikwa and Morsy.

Whoever picks up Morsy will insta-improve imo. His incred!

In fact, let's flick in a pony at 8-1.



Hopes are not high around the town for next season.... Sad

Agree with my lolanalysis? Obv don't know all the ins and outs of Spireites but seems like a good spot to me. Any rumours about Morsy?

Jimmy Ryan a huge huge loss. Chesterfield looking to offload whoever they can... seems like its only a matter of time for Morsy but who knows (I've not heard anything yet)... Apparently theres interest from elsewhere in Darikwa.

Saunders record speaks for itself in terms of relegations. Even the diehard fans on the chesterfield message board looking to get on the relegation :

http://www.thecfss.co.uk/forums/index.php?act=idx

I'm on (smallish).

On the other hand - apparently Roberts was on an obscene wage, which is now freed up, and the club apparently close to signing Giles Coke to replace Ryan (second hand info - could be b*llocks).

Good enough for me, up it to a nifty please Tighty.

done.
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« Reply #103014 on: June 20, 2015, 04:40:37 PM »

I'm fairly keen on my old friend Rivellino in the Wokingham today.

Ran a stormer to come 3rd in this same race last year carrying 3lbs more.

Worth a Lady Godiva EW @ 33/1 unless anyone vehemently disagrees.

Your bet has now been placed
Single

Rivellino33/15:00 Royal Ascot - 20/06/2015
Each Way
Stake £10.00
Estimated Return:£216.25
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Return: £216.25

bonus points if you can name this rivellino team kit (no googling!)

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Karabiner
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« Reply #103015 on: June 20, 2015, 04:42:01 PM »

I'm fairly keen on my old friend Rivellino in the Wokingham today.

Ran a stormer to come 3rd in this same race last year carrying 3lbs more.

Worth a Lady Godiva EW @ 33/1 unless anyone vehemently disagrees.

Your bet has now been placed
Single

Rivellino33/15:00 Royal Ascot - 20/06/2015
Each Way
Stake £10.00
Estimated Return:£216.25
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Return: £216.25

bonus points if you can name this rivellino team kit (no googling!)



It looks like one from AndrewT's wardrobe.
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« Reply #103016 on: June 20, 2015, 05:06:41 PM »

Think Glass Office finished sixth, after coming through the field.

Worthy winner. Wes Welker must be delighted
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« Reply #103017 on: June 20, 2015, 05:07:34 PM »

A few going 4 places on 15 runner 4-20

That's a great spot.  Not sure what it means though.  Are they still 4 places if 14 runners, or 13??

No matter Brazen Beau at 9/2 beats Betfair and you get 4 places when 3 would be fine just seems an easy bet.  Tighty please confirm if you want 20 e/w in next 15 mins or so.  Australian sprint monster at Ascot.  Should be disadvantaged as 3 years old carrying 4 year old weights, but suspect it is still good enough. 

you got some 9/2?

i can get 4 places but only 7/2

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ascot/16:20/winner

so yes if you have it

Booked.  I sent a PM letting you know I took it on thread's behalf.  Must have been a price match to an offer elsewhere.

Nicked a couple of quid.  Thought we had it for a while.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #103018 on: June 20, 2015, 05:14:35 PM »

Peter, I just had a thought, you do realize that £20 a point is a little out of sync with your normal fixed odds bet sizing reccs?

Do you consider this a max/max/max?

To be able to buy at 53 is crazy, they should (and I'm sure will) score way more than that. I bet as much as I could afford without impacting my lifestyle/savings.

It's pretty clear that sporting index haven't considered the impact of the new car coming at the next race. The team would get close to 53 points with their current car, let alone their proper 2015 challenger ..

I have a question on the back of this, do spread betting companies ever limit accounts?

What's the liability and profit on his exact bet?

They're currently on 21, I bought at 53, so I make that a liability of £640 after I bought at £20. Profit .. really depends on how many points they score! I'm predicting 125 points as a minimum, but let's say 100 to be safe. That would be a profit of £940.

Interestingly, since I posted my views on here, the buy value has gone up to 62 .. is that really just due to TFT's influence?!  Shocked Grin



It's because the quote was updated after they both were in top 10 after 2nd practice.

I checked straight after 2nd practice and it was 54. Now 62.

It was 62 when Joe posted yesterday.  So the price moved between 2nd practice and Joe's post?  

No doubt you move the prices on these markets, especially the thin ones.  I have seen some very big moves this year. I am not sure about what happened here though.

Yeah, bit of a weird one. It's very interesting monitoring the prices Smiley

Alonso needs a new gearbox, so another five-place grid penalty to add to the 20 places he already has

Button a 25 place penalty

think we can run the Mclaren position!

i would be tempted to double up Force India for TfT, i must say. £2 a point with (worst case) downside of 62-21=41 points seems reasonable

I have £20 on, that's how strongly I recommend this bet. £640 liability .. eek!  Tongue

I'm gonna look through the F1 markets now, will post up some bets in like 15 mins if I see anything.

Nothing at the moment, but the market is still forming.

Will look again at 12:30 Smiley

The markets are well priced today, sadly for us.

I do like the look of exactly 0.15-0.25 on this market though:

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/austrian-grand-prix/qualifying-winning-margin

I suggest £10.

Hah, this bet landed bang on in the middle! 0.20 seconds  Smiley

Nice one Peter Smiley
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Pete2504
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« Reply #103019 on: June 20, 2015, 05:19:29 PM »

No real idea on the true price, but if anyone is interested BMU and Hills are 20/1 on Swindon for League 1 when its generally 12/1 most firms.  Worth backing even with the plan to lay back at a later date?

Losing Luongo and Gladwin to QPR will hurt them massively, and they have an ordinary bunch of strikers. It's a weaker league this season but I'll be looking to take them on in match bets.

Appreciate that Chompy, as I said no idea if it really represented a worthy price, never mind the ins and outs at the club so far etc.   I just wanted to make those with the knowledge aware in case we should be taking advantage.  Anyway showing how great this thread is, as a result I am now on Chesterfield to be relegated instead.
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