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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13503196 times)
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71175 on:
March 14, 2014, 01:41:50 PM »
outstanding
1. Last one on Hills us good. Last Installment at 9/1. If Tighty has doubts on the first two, then each way is good too. Also helps if win and place beats Betfair. Suggest 25 each way.
2. Royal Irish Hussar in the first 7/1 in the first with b365. Just beats Betfair, and we get free bet if it wins in next race. Marginsl, but think it is worth a swift £25 too. Guess we won't get £25 though
3. On The Fringe 5/1 4pm with Hills. Use your mobile for free bet for 2nd.
to save tikay time
1 is about to run out of time
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My eyes are open wide
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I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71176 on:
March 14, 2014, 01:52:36 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 14, 2014, 01:41:50 PM
outstanding
1. Last one on Hills us good. Last Installment at 9/1. If Tighty has doubts on the first two, then each way is good too. Also helps if win and place beats Betfair. Suggest 25 each way.
2. Royal Irish Hussar in the first 7/1 in the first with b365. Just beats Betfair, and we get free bet if it wins in next race. Marginsl, but think it is worth a swift £25 too. Guess we won't get £25 though
3. On The Fringe 5/1 4pm with Hills. Use your mobile for free bet for 2nd.
to save tikay time
1 is about to run out of time
Ran good on that one, started 11/2 though.
Fairly sure prices have gone on the others.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71177 on:
March 14, 2014, 01:53:35 PM »
Cheltenham 2014
Day Four Result -£50
Race One -£50 (Plinth)
Race Two
Race Three
Race Four
Race Five
Race Six
Race Seven
Day Three Result -£9.07
Day Two result +160.18
Day One Result -203.89
Cumulative Cheltenham Result -£102.78
Free Bets to Use : Two x £25 William Hill
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71178 on:
March 14, 2014, 01:56:15 PM »
Hills are 33/1 Tiger Roll for the champion hurdle 2015. Absolutely sure that is a good use of a free bet. Horse very inexperienced and won that well. Can somebody kick Tikay fast.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71179 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:02:33 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 14, 2014, 01:21:26 PM
depending on your views on the 240 chelt Scud looks a big price at 8/1 to be top jockey at ladbrokes. His key mount of the day is currently a heavily backed 3/1 poke for the 240. If that wins ruby's most likely winner of the day obviously won't win. recommend £25 at 8/1 on ladbrokes. People are asking for under 8/1 on a not tight bf market.
Walsh out for the rest of the day
You've had a result there (assuming he ends up ok) arbboy
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
Tal
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71180 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:02:42 PM »
Last year's winner, Flaxen Flare, is 22/1 to double up in the County Hurdle. Patrick Parr gives you five places for 11/2. I can't have that being a bad bet.
Any chance we can oppose some former Ruby rides before the market catches up?
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71181 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:10:34 PM »
Quote from: Tal on March 14, 2014, 02:02:42 PM
Last year's winner, Flaxen Flare, is 22/1 to double up in the County Hurdle. Patrick Parr gives you five places for 11/2. I can't have that being a bad bet.
Any chance we can oppose some former Ruby rides before the market catches up?
20/1 PP, 26/1 Betfair, you gain about 10% on the place due to 5 places, but slightly worse odds. It probably isn't a bad bet tho.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Tal
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71182 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:13:45 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 14, 2014, 02:10:34 PM
Quote from: Tal on March 14, 2014, 02:02:42 PM
Last year's winner, Flaxen Flare, is 22/1 to double up in the County Hurdle. Patrick Parr gives you five places for 11/2. I can't have that being a bad bet.
Any chance we can oppose some former Ruby rides before the market catches up?
20/1 PP, 26/1 Betfair, you gain about 10% on the place due to 5 places, but slightly worse odds. It probably isn't a bad bet tho.
I took 22/1 about five mins ago. Sky bet 22/1 too
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71183 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:16:56 PM »
Been unavoidably Offline for a couple of hours, sorry.
Missed the early stuff (would we have won?), but can action stuff now.
What do I need to get on urgently?
Arrboy - great spot on the Top Jock thing, but too late now, after Ruby's sad demise.
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71184 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:20:19 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 14, 2014, 01:56:15 PM
Hills are 33/1 Tiger Roll for the champion hurdle 2015. Absolutely sure that is a good use of a free bet. Horse very inexperienced and won that well. Can somebody kick Tikay fast.
Bump for Tikay.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71185 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:31:05 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on March 14, 2014, 02:20:19 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 14, 2014, 01:56:15 PM
Hills are 33/1 Tiger Roll for the champion hurdle 2015. Absolutely sure that is a good use of a free bet. Horse very inexperienced and won that well. Can somebody kick Tikay fast.
Bump for Tikay.
Done, details to follow.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY
(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71186 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:36:45 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on March 14, 2014, 02:02:33 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 14, 2014, 01:21:26 PM
depending on your views on the 240 chelt Scud looks a big price at 8/1 to be top jockey at ladbrokes. His key mount of the day is currently a heavily backed 3/1 poke for the 240. If that wins ruby's most likely winner of the day obviously won't win. recommend £25 at 8/1 on ladbrokes. People are asking for under 8/1 on a not tight bf market.
Walsh out for the rest of the day
You've had a result there (assuming he ends up ok) arbboy
Cracking lay now on bf. maximum lay for me for the thread. Ruby Walsh to be top festival jockey. Only way he can be beat is if Scu or Bazza get a win today (or johnson wins 2 or ap wins 3 - these are unlikely so we will exclude them from calcs)
So if we add up % chance of all scu an Bazza rides for the rest of the day to win it comes to 91% which makes them a 1/10 shot to win (ie Ruby 10/1 shot to win) u can currently lay under 4/1 for decent money. I have already laid a monkey udner 4/1 in last 10 mins. Suggest thread puts up asap £200 at 5/2 on bf and see if you get matched before the 240pm chelt race. If not take it down as the price changes massively in the 240pm race.
To put it in simple terms we are getting around 2/5 about a 1/10 shot if we get matched prior to 2.40pm
«
Last Edit: March 14, 2014, 02:41:15 PM by arbboy
»
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Tal
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71187 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:46:16 PM »
Quote from: Tal on March 14, 2014, 02:13:45 PM
Quote from: Doobs on March 14, 2014, 02:10:34 PM
Quote from: Tal on March 14, 2014, 02:02:42 PM
Last year's winner, Flaxen Flare, is 22/1 to double up in the County Hurdle. Patrick Parr gives you five places for 11/2. I can't have that being a bad bet.
Any chance we can oppose some former Ruby rides before the market catches up?
20/1 PP, 26/1 Betfair, you gain about 10% on the place due to 5 places, but slightly worse odds. It probably isn't a bad bet tho.
I took 22/1 about five mins ago. Sky bet 22/1 too
Snuck in fifth
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71188 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:46:32 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on March 14, 2014, 02:36:45 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on March 14, 2014, 02:02:33 PM
Quote from: arbboy on March 14, 2014, 01:21:26 PM
depending on your views on the 240 chelt Scud looks a big price at 8/1 to be top jockey at ladbrokes. His key mount of the day is currently a heavily backed 3/1 poke for the 240. If that wins ruby's most likely winner of the day obviously won't win. recommend £25 at 8/1 on ladbrokes. People are asking for under 8/1 on a not tight bf market.
Walsh out for the rest of the day
You've had a result there (assuming he ends up ok) arbboy
Cracking lay now on bf. maximum lay for me for the thread. Ruby Walsh to be top festival jockey. Only way he can be beat is if Scu or Bazza get a win today (or johnson wins 2 or ap wins 3 - these are unlikely so we will exclude them from calcs)
So if we add up % chance of all scu an Bazza rides for the rest of the day to win it comes to 91% which makes them a 1/10 shot to win (ie Ruby 10/1 shot to win) u can currently lay under 4/1 for decent money. I have already laid a monkey udner 4/1 in last 10 mins. Suggest thread puts up asap £200 at 5/2 on bf and see if you get matched before the 240pm chelt race. If not take it down as the price changes massively in the 240pm race.
To put it in simple terms we are getting around 2/5 about a 1/10 shot if we get matched prior to 2.40pm
Are you absolutely sure? you should be multiplying not to win for each race not adding up horses to win.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
horseplayer
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #71189 on:
March 14, 2014, 02:48:37 PM »
The maths for the Ruby bet are not correct
around 5/2 is about right based on the rides left for the two challengers today
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