blonde poker forum

This thread is for recording of my racing thoughts.

Bets are a on 5pt scale of 1pt to 5pts.

The record of bets so far is available for all to see online here :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdHE4dnc4MjBYbjlJVERnZDdqd29ERUE#gid=0

Thanks to Mere Novice (vince) for all of his help with the spreadsheet

Sunday 19/05/2013

Like 3 today at Ripon.

3.40

Memory Cloth (nap) 3pts win at 4-1 general

result unplaced at 7-2

Purely a handicapping thing this one. It is very rare that a horse who finishes 7/24 in a big handicap like the spring cup at newbury is racing from 5lbs later after one start since. That start was on firm ground at newmarket which the horse patently hated. The horse is now racing from 90 which is now its lowest mark for a year despite appearing to be in good form.

4.10

Aegeus 2pts win at 9/4 general (5-2 still with spreadex fixed odds)

result unplaced at 9-4

I have this slightly shorter in my tissue. Beaten odds on at lingfield on return but can improve from that. All of the pedigree suggests that the horse should improve with racing. This is a beatable field for something progressive.


4.40

Haajes 2pts win at 4-1 (stan james and hills)

result second at 7-2

A real old veteran sprinter not the type i usually look at but seems in great form at present. Won a seller last time which was the first time it's won on fast ground aged 9 so still has ability, the penultimate run in a much better race was better though i think, this is a poor contest, he should get a lovely trip just off the speed in this. The penultimate run has already worked out well (dorback finished 3rd in a class 4 at ascot next time, 6lengths back to third has run well since, 4th just got touched off in a handicap couple of days ago.)

Great to see this back horsey.

Your previous thread showed over a thousand pounds profit in quite a short period, and I followed it daily.

In the modern Internet parlance, "subscribed".

I'm on.

Spooky timing horsey, was just thinking this morning that we needed a specialist horseracering thread.

Re: Memory Cloth, 4-1 tight enough now? Was 8-1 with Ladbrokes last night.

One of my list horses runs on Tuesday, Arc Light 4.00 Newcastle. Oi oi!

Sub to the scribed

booo the wrong progressive one.

Clon Brulee on the bridle.

Now Richard Whittaker gets one home on the bridle against us!

struggle to get a worse start tbh

memory cloth was very well backed late and just never fired

Aegaeus appeared to have a problem and was soon pulled up (almost)

haajes ran the race expected just beaten by an unexposed one


will update details every sunday evening re profit and loss

Really pleased to see this thread back horsey.

I hope it means that things are looking a little better on the home front.

I'll be following with interest and possibly suggesting one or two although I am mainly a jumps man when it comes to having strong opinions.

GL

thanks kara much needed boost that post

thinks are settled but no better i am looking for part time work at present to tide me over

all the best any opinions appreciated

Here's a question- how do you tell a horse hates the ground? Can you see it when you watch the race, or do you just base it on them never doing well when it turns up good to soft, or what?

For me it is generally just based on previous history when running on that ground.

Though in hindsight today maybe memory cloth either jarred itself up at newmarket or for whatever reason took more out of itself in the spring cup.

You do have to be very careful though, especially over recent years with excessive watering of courses by some clerks a good to soft at one course is not the same as a good to soft elsewhere, just to make life a bit harder :)

If the horse has never faced heavy ground for example then i would always look at the stats of the sire for some clues. As long as the sample size was relevant i would take this into some account though of course each horse is an individual and might not fit the trend.

The larger the sample size for that sire and the more positive or negative the a/e return (actual over expected based on market position) the more i would be confident in my thoughts on the horse handling the ground.

for the purposes of this thread i am only taking the price if at least two bookmakers are offering the odds.

this will make life a bit tougher but i like a challenge

oi oi the arc!

Will contribute to this thread too, shame it wasn't open last week, studied hard for all 3 days at York's Dante meet. I tend to only punt big if I've had a lot of time to really study a card hard, mainly when I go to the races (York, Ripon, Wetherby, Thirsk, sometimes Donny/Ponte) or big race days.

Got a lot of horses in my "nag me alerts" for the summer already, optimistic.

Good luck with the thread, pleased to see it back.

horsey's previous thread is here.....

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=59189.0

Sadly, due to some quite dreadful real life issues he had to quit the thread & move home to look after his Mum, who became very ill.

He has been incredibly helpful & supportive to me, personally, & so I hope this thread, with horsey & a few other experts chipping in, will be a success. 

thanks tikay

nothing today southwell looks good but very competitive

tommorow looks very promising

Their was an  absoulte filth ew Race tonight at Leicster.
1/9 fav, 10/1 2nd fav
2nd fav was 4/5 for a place (1st 2) and won the Race in a Photo.
Noseda is 0/15 with Horses returning from 100+ Days break

Knowing nothing about horses but being bored on betfair, I saw that the 1/10 favourite had not raced for a year so I laid £10 :D.

Good luck Horsie.

Bookies got hammered on Hughes double last night Midnite Angel and Thunder Strike

Returned 2.41 but Hughes told Mat Chapman they would be bitterly disappointed if they got turned over.

ty

Tuesday 21st May

Like two so far today

5.00 Newcastle

ALMOST GEMINI 1PT WIN 4/1 (general) (non runner)

MASON HINDMARSH 2PTS WIN 16-1 (coral or sportingbet)

result non runner and unplaced at 10-1

This is a poor race and although there is no doubt Mason was lucky to win last time (clear leader dropped hands) it still showed the horse was coming into form and has been treated by the handicapper as finishing 3rd (raised a 1lb). Usually improves with racing so should be another good performance from this mark.

Has a low draw and prominent running style at a speed-favoring track as well.

It looks like an over-reaction to it being a lucky winner last time, and therefore it was somehow a 'fluke'.  If it'd finished 2nd beaten 2 lengths it'd be 8/1 here and in my tissue is around 10-1.

Almost Gemini i do not particularly like as an animal so far but was clear fav in my tissue (about 5-2) is unexposed after two narrow wins on the all weather when well backed both times.

Looks very quirky but crucially did battle on well last time in the end. It has a good running style for this race and a good draw.

Fingers crossed horsey. I'm on.

also like

LIL SOPHELLA 3.30 newcastle 20-1 2pts win bet365 skybet and one other

result dead heat 3rd 25-1

A few positives here,

Showed first sign of ability last time in a seller. The formbook states will need to show improvement from that into a handicap. I could not disagree more this is a glorified seller with a bunch of market leaders out of form or running after wins in even worse contests last time.

Ran last time as if this trip will be ideal (tired late on after travelling fine) and also its action suggests the soft ground today will be a help (backed up by the pedigree of indian haven)

Ok the trainer hardly knocks them in for fun but is in some kind of form of late and the horse has a good draw. At 20-1 enough positives in a shocking race.

on both (almost gemini nr now I see)...good luck us :)

That was a nice touch for us e/w backers

Thanks keep em coming

Good work spotting that trainer Sherlock! N1

lovely stuff chompy

Forgot that one fmi

WD

a non runner a dead heat for third and a poor run today

Tuesday 22nd May

3.00 Lingfield 2pts win HURAKAN 11/4 general

The favourite is very vulnerable here i think. Its form on turf is pretty awful as is indicative with its pedigree which suggests an all weather horse or soft ground on the turf. I just cant see it liking a firmish surface at lingfield.

Hurakan is by far the most solid of its rivals, down in grade conditions fine and usually starts to peak on 3rd comeback run onwards (which is today)

Double Cee is way out of form, Steely is capable but not running well and Foxhaven is a good old stick but 70 on the turf is a tough mark.


3.30 Lingfield BRAMSHILL LASS 6/1 general 1pt win

not the most genuine of animals but a few positives today.

gets a 3lb pull for being narrowly beaten by the likely favourite kayef at goodwood last time. That is the danger but this is nearly double the price. The fact the selection seems better in blinkers and they are back on today is another small positive.


4.20 Southwell Caledonia Prince 10/1 general 1pt win

a cracking race with a field of proven southwell lovers. Surprised this horse is 10-1 as simple as that is about 7-1 in my tissue and has a better chance than 10-1 in this.

What weight do you give to a situation where a jockey only has one runner on a card?

Hutchinson and Scudamore have one each at decent prices at Huntingdon today. Neither for their normal trainer. Appreciate they're not being sent to Ayr or something equally far away, but interested to hear your views on that general situation.

O

I think in general it is one of those things in racing that when somebody with one ride wins it is highlighted and when they do not it is not mentioned.

Much like the "outsider of 3 always wins" that berks like Thommo chuckle when the outsider does win failing to mention or realise that backing the outsider of 3 blind will mean you do your money more than pretty much any other strategy.

Thanks, chaps.

In unrelated news...would anyone like to buy a lucky 15?

[/b]

There was an article in the Racing Post a few months back on the outsider of three and the figures suggested you would make a profit , not much , but a profit .

http://www.thefreelibrary.com/It's+official%3A+you+can+make+money+backing+the+outsider+of+three%3B...-a0319173442

nice link thanks

he seems a bit vague though in that saying his results only include the times there is a "clear outsider"

will check my stats later and see what i get as that just does not seem correct to me

Ignore that Jim, it was probably wroted by Chompy.

Yeah I was surprised by it as well.

Presume he means he didnt include races where one was a clear fav and the other

two were joint second favs.

Not me, I much prefer the outsider of four, especially when it's ridden by the pin-up girl. Ho ho.

right tal rather than me guessing here are some stats on the above

best i can do is days when he has one ride, this may mean on days where he's had two they've been at different meetings but won't be many cases of this.  these are also going to be last 5 years for both, so as to avoid times when they weren't established/apprentices:

scudamore: 39/308, -122 to SP
hutchinson: 27/286, -82 to SP

well done tal!

I see no mitigating circs for Mr Scudamore, but as Chairman of the Wayneo fan club, during this time he has been second string for Alan King for the majority of the time, so his figures will be schewed by having to travel all over the place for singles rides that probably have next to no chance.
If he gets the jig at Kings as stable jock, I expect these figures would look a lot different in the next 5 years.

Would you agree Horsey?

Bad logic. Great result.

:D

no idea tbh

i am a massive fan of hutchinson as a jockey

the stats are just for when the jockey has one ride at a meeting i would doubt there would be any jockeys who showed a profit under that criteria over a decent sample size

I daren't imagine how enormous your database is, horsey! Amazing stats.

not mine mate courtesy of proform that one

Thought you were like Bearders for a moment, then; an encyclopaedic resource of all horse racing since hooves first clip-clopped at your fingertips.

I was going to ask you what ROI you get from jockeys wearing mainly orange in low numbers at York on odd-numbered days. Don't think I'll bother now.

Bramshill Lass should have won, not like Crowley to be caught sleeping.

first two well backed and bramshill could/should have won

no chance for Caledonia


in shock news betting eddie looks in big trouble. If you have time this report is well worth a read.

http://www.britishhorseracing.presscentre.com/Press-Releases/Result-of-a-Disciplinary-Panel-hearing-Neil-Clement-Eddie-Ahern-Martin-Raymond-and-Paul-Hill-3d8.aspx

a couple in the 5.00 lingfield

no idea why kinglami is 5/2 here has a chance but that is to short.

2pts win 9/2 poetic lord c + d ideal no chance last time over to far a trip on the turf

1pt win 14/1  avertis profilic winner to short last time missed break and never got to the front which it needs to

both bog

 

Im halfway through it and it staggers me that people can be so inept at being a little deceptive.

Thanks for the link ;)

I think that this goes on a lot more than people think.

Only the idiots get caught but a professional outfit can get away with laying horses to lose
quite easily.

The idea that you can make money by laying a horse/athlete/sportsman to lose does mean
 the integrety of a lot of sports is undermind by those willing to make serious money cheating.

It's far easier to make money laying something to lose than backing something to win.

Betfair is here to stay so I don't see the situation improving over the years.

considering he has had the nickname betfair eddie for at least ten years it was hardly a big shock :)

as ever did not take long for the spoof video to come out

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0jrCDjxKRqw

Brilliant ..... rotflmfao rotflmfao rotflmfao rotflmfao ;hattip;

Fell for it again.

I am never ever watching another of those, they're just not funny.

Agree in the main but the Cheltenham Festival 2013 one is

Ok, you've suckered me in, but unless I laugh at least 3 times, that avatar of yours will be you with me holding the gun.

You've been warned.

Can't find it. Link?

With Camel here, woeful effort this one.

yes it is pretty poor but a rush job

the cheltenham 2013 one is funny even if you dont like them

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q9-Zm1me1Es

I must be easily pleased. Did laugh at "stop crying Hayley , arselicking wont

get you Ahern's rides "

Lets look at the Cheltenham one then....

Cheltenham one is the best, but still wouldn't call it funny.

it is in time, the words kind of match up with the speech and it is in parts funny

compared to the rest its genius

It was funnier the day after the festival, the bit about the foxhunters and in time unlike so many others

The woman reassuring the crying woman that Tidal Bay had franked the form was the best moment.

Thursday 23/05/2013

2pts win PORCINI 7/1 (3 firms) 7.45 Salisbury

A tight betting race but this horse is unexposed over this trip on the turf. Hopefully it can show its improved all weather form on the turf tonight. I think it can win or at least go close from this mark.

The ian williams horse is the danger but the very long break is a question mark and i cant see any value in it at current prices. The rest look poorly handicapped or out of form.

4.20 Goodwood

1pt win each

ASTROMAGICK 14/1 GENERAL

ROCKFELLA 16/1 (3 FIRMS)

back tonight

The 7.45 is very, very trappy horsey and I wish you well. The Racing Post got their best tipster on the case to sort it out...

4/1 the field, seven runners. The shrewdies were on Spice Fair at big prices last night :)

Porcini has never done much on turf and is handicapped the same as on the AW. Newcombe doesn't chuck money away and interesting to see Dunhoy so strong.

REALLY like Gift Of Silence at Yarmouth tomo, list horse nap, oi oi!

Seaside plunge, near to home, and celebrate with an ice cream and a go in the arcade eh Chompy. Look forward to that.

Was quite keen on Cosimo de Medici, but Horsey got two to beat it, so not so happy now :(

Hmmm. I think he might just have won had he not given away 15 lengths at the start. Sigh

yes good shout adz

unfourtantley the utter burke coc of the course could not resist watering the track every day and it is now slippy as anything

being a coc (how apt) is one of a few jobs were no matter how bad you are you keep your job

spice fair still looks a lb or two to high to me (bit like myself)

goooooooooooo the list horse

Aye

Saw an interview with Seamus Buckley as he went round the other day. Hardly an inspiring individual.

a case of who you are or were you went to school rather than having an aptitude for the job

no matter what the ground he will without fail always tell ruk it is "good"

another poor day

goodwood one ran well enough to get 3rd one slipped early on

Thought Porcini ran well there tbh carson tracked hughes throughout but that one folded quicker than it looked and just did not have the pace at the finish was staying on well again after looking likely to finish last 2 out

You're in the ballpark. Just a matter of time.

Im going goodwood on Saturday, Stagdoaments do you have any tips? I suck at horse racing bets so any help would be good ty :)

Ran good in past when went, but no method either name or jockey/trainer combo. Be nice to sweat a long shot if you have any

I see the amusingly named Getaway Car has probably just won Gerard Butler one of his last chances before I'm sure he gets banned.

i will have a look friday night and post something then

i specialize in long priced losers

have a good day lovely track to visit just aslong as one of the blazer brigade dont grab hold of you

abit of rain forcast tomorrow, not sure how much it will affect the ground, but if it goes good to soft, or soft will it still suit?

Thank you i shall check in on phone in morn :) dont get that last part lol the blazer brigade?

the old boys in there blazers that guard the entrance with there life

have a good time

Quite a bit of rain forecast, yuh. I don't like betting at Yarmouth at the best of times, let alone when it's soft.

Her half-brother Milton's Keen was fine on soft ground and Cadeaux Genereux's are ok on it too, even though he never ran on it himself. Good to soft wouldn't put me off at all.

If there's a lot of rain it will be oi oi for Olney Lass, Masquerading and One Kool Dude.

Toooooooo late for me now, piled in last night at 4/1

Managed to get 9/2 and did it ew for the dead eight, only to find now 7.

Same applied to one I fancied Tariq Too. Backed with 8, now 7........sigh

I see dear old Violet is punting Brown Pete vs Chompy.

She knows her onions(for a bird, of c)

FRIDAY 24TH MAY

just one bet today

PLATINUM 7.45 MUSS 10-1 1pt win (12-1 with skybet if you can but 10-1 recorded)

I am not a fan of the market leaders here. Northside Prince does not appear to do a lot wrong in its races but has not won since i was a boy, Rocktherunway grabbed the rail at donny and made all i am slightly wary in writing that of as dods seems a different trainer this season in that he is following up wins with exposed horses. Knightly Escapade may win a race for ellison but its attitude is not great under any pressure.

Hopefully it'll improve for firm ground first time, it's got a decent action and good ground breeding, might be able to skip clear off a low weight.  it';s got enough back class and hurdles runs suggest it still has enough ability to win a race on the level.

Done my conkers on Knightly Escapade a few times last year, so will be funking against him. He did show a bit more resolution last time after getting checked. Hoping Ellison can wait a race, cos Kirby doing good things since his move. GL

think gary Moore's has a good chance in next at goodwood, Shamahan, 4/4 in a maiden losing 10l to fireship and tartiflette on unsuitable ground is decent form in this, decent comeback run and looks a likely sort to improve off just 77, had small e/w bet

meh

I often use betty place market in such instances

Chris Wall not had a winner before today. Gets off the mark with a 'trick

If my horses weren't losing ten lengths at the start each time, I might have a chance....

early one for

SATURDAY 25TH MAY

1PT WIN BOGART 25/1 ladbrokes/hills 2.55 york

good track form, good draw races up with pace should get excellent route into race drawn next to confirmed pace setter judge n jury

N1.

First time in a handicap, back at best dist. Mahoosive price. GL

big support for platinum, horsey.  Back at 17 on betfair 30 min ago, currently 10.5 just before the off.

Bang. There you go Horsey. Matter of time.

N1

Booom! very nice mate. thanks again, i love your work!

Yes!

Well done horsey, great stuff.

Thanks Horsey.   :)up

thank you all

quite a decent performance that kirby is really proving a bit more than a short term wonder as a trainer

young gun re goodwood

looks a very difficult card to me

4.40 the old boy docofthebay is possibly worth an interest. handicap mark fine course form fine draw very good ground being soft not ideal but id rather have a horse who has ran well here before which he is

will he fancy it? not a clue but this might spark him up and if he does fancy it he should go close at around 20-1?

have a good day

Very interested in what Mr O'Meara is up to today.

He has put Doc Hay in the Temple Stakes. He was well beaten by Sole Power et al in the Palace House last time. He was however hampered at the start and then had no cover, but ran on steadily to his credit. He was however behind stable mate Elusivity who finished a noteworthy 6th on his first start for stable.

Now today we find Doc Hay in the Group race and Elusivity is back into handicap company(sadly vs Bogart, who he beat comfortably at Newmarket. Gives 4lb for 9 lengths). Seems to me Mr O'Meara has one of these in the wrong race. I fancy with a bit of money for Elusivity, a saver is in order?

had it ew but thanks :)

Nice one horsey, great shout!

Aftertiming obv, but it's the first one in thread I haven't backed :D

and me :)

bit behind today might be some more later might not

Ha, you & me too. I backed all the others & missed that bugger. But no matter, I'm just pleased he has got back on the winning trail.

Because he only backs long-shots, you just have to be patient & accept the losing runs. The occasional 10/1 shot pays for a good few losers.

sort of day were you could do your brains with views in lots of races

3 bets for me today

14:30 CHESTER MODERNISM   20/1    general 1pt win
This is a weird handicap, if you had not told me the distance i would have guessed this is a 7 furlong or mile affair with at least half of the field not proven over this trip.

The bet does not look to be in form, however watching the last run again here it patently hated the swampy ground fallon took the horse wide throughout and the horse was quite harshly knocked a couple out whilst still battling away.

With so many having stamina doubts at 20-1 a small bet is in order.
15:05 GOODWOOD COUSIN KHEE    5/1   1pt win general

Competitive race but dont think many if any of these are ahead of the handicapper, this horse surely is a raise of 2lbs for a fairly easy win last time is rare and i hope it can take advantage is this.

14:20 YORK ADDRESS UNKNOWN    7/2   2pts win general (hills just gone 4-1)

Improved for the trainer switch last time, i dont really like the favourite despite the form of the stable (its uk form last year is nothing special) and address is more solid to me. I also have a slight doubt the favourite will stay.

Yep, only need one to pop up and you're freerolling.

No pressure today horsey, Chester Modernism to hose up and we're all gravy  :)up

Oh dear David Bergin

Roffle! They never learn.

Machin's puns are getting beyond tiresome.

Here's one...imo J K Fanning is the best front-running jockey we've ever seen in this country.

Obv names like Cauthen are gonna get thrown around but I'd take Fanning any day.

LOL. I wish someone would tell him that when I back him.

Total Jonah for me.

Sole Power my nap today.

hmmm is there any jockey that gets more practice?

5/4 is stingy. Must have taken a lot of money.

Lovely to see the Native come back ;bigadz;, but think Swiss Spirit will be the horse that gets the money rest of the season. Lost loads at start.

Standard ::)

Whats standard?

 ;bigadz;

Especially I posted "sole power is my nap today" lol

I could have said the second I saw it was your nap, I laid it for everything in betfair.......but I didn't :kiss:

Bless...

Somehow managed to stay ahead today. Might need some tips from you on the chariot racing in late June :)

poor day

no excuses the koooookash thing received a wide all the way ride so i will be keeping it in mind despite finishing last today


Sunday 25th May

Hanky Panky 3.55 curragh (1000 guineas) 20-1 general 1pt win

Rare i have a bet in a classic but i like this filly.

Seemed to not improve but show a much better attitude last time in the hood and with slightly better ground. Having watched its first few starts she hated the heavy ground and was not going through it at all. Tommorow should be ideal on that score she has a nice us pedigree and it all screams good or even firm ground. The ground will be nearer firm tommorow. The booking of Ryan Moore is of some interest as is the fact ladbrokes have been constantly ducking her the last few days (14-1 there)

Nothing stands out in this to me and i am hoping some of the fillies with better form react badly to the firmer ground they have not faced.

A full review tommorow evening of the first week

Best price 14/1 now

Hey Horsey, Thanks for the tip was a close one came 2nd.

Overall i ended up £100 as i won 3/7 races, mainly luck no skill but hey ho cant complain. Great day out, nice place and plenty of talent about  ;yippee;

well done mate seemed plenty of late money for the old rogue

glad you had a good day mate

additional bet for today

was not sure the ground would be soft in france today but it looks like it is and that is good news

les beaufs 3.10 longchamp 4-1 (3 firms) 2pts win

this horse is a different beast on soft ground should be able to grind these into submission.

On this ground is a 5/2 shot for me

Fingers crossed you can end the week with another winner.

On.

GL Horsey.

3.35 Leicester. Reset City

Just been moved to Johnston. Ran 5 days ago and came second. Roger wouldn't let any of his horses run again that soon unless the Trainer had given him more than just a bit of encouragement to do so. Its a maiden after 16 goes, but has hit the woodwork often enough to think its genuine, but based on this I think a decent ew bet is the sensible option if you play.

I remember youuuuuuuu... On obv :)

will update soon apologies not today

working on a spreadsheet which will be view able to all make life easier


(thanks to vince aka merenovice for his kind help with this)

I see Noel Chance has given up the ghost at last and packed it in.

I would love to know what this guy did to upset the establishment. Won two Gold Cup and a Tingle Creek, yet struggled for owners for years. I have spoken to him a couple of time over the years. Nothing in depth, but always seemed a really nice fella, and approachable. He can obviously train too.

Sad when you see some people have fortunes thrown at them and they do nothing significant, and here is a real horseman, unable to get his rewards.

Sad day

Ruby left Nicholls.

Monday 27th May

4 bets

2.50 Redcar 1pt win Halfwaytocootehill 13-2 (2 firms)

a lovely bank holiday maiden handicap, i do not like the bell horse which looks like being favourite looks devoid of a trip to me. The selection ran well last time retains the tongue tie and has just as good as form with potentially more to come.

5.05 Redcar 1pt win Summerlea 16-1 general (18-1 with sportingbet if you can)

The market leaders are the usually suspects for the class 6 northern handicaps. Another patrick holmes trained animal (gulp) but they are still running above market expectation. Ran well under a very inexperienced rider last time after a long break on that cant beat the second favourite here but the jockey change bridges that gap a bit more for me. On back form is well handicapped to go close and this is by far the weaker division of this.

5.00 Windsor 1pt win Al Emirati 14-1 general (again sbet 16-1 if you can)

This is purely a stats bet, the sire is good on turf and awful on the all weather. That goes a fair way to explaining the run on first start for Botti last time, take that away and i feel you can then the horse would be around 8/10-1. Tough little race but overpriced if the last run was as i hope it was.


5.30 Windsor 2pts win Break Rank 13-2 (two firms)

Circled the whole field last time on british debut and was drawn 13 at chester. Covered a lot more ground than most that day and tired late after the massive middle effort. I am surprised and happy dropped a 1lb for that run which is very fair. Has potential to be better handicapped than this, a few dangers but i dont feel they have a few lbs in hand like this one could.

good luck today

first post updated with link to spreadsheet to track everything

big thanks to vince aka mere novice for his help, patience and basically doing it all for me :)

You're very welcome.
Good luck with the thread.

shocking ride from norton - no idea why johnston uses him - horse isnt a front runner but he tries to get to the front but can't get there.

Yes, not had call yet, but stuck in no mans land like that, rarely does the job. Stayed on again once swallowed by pack, which is most annoying.

as spreadsheet shows hardly flying along at present

the % price column is the difference between price taken and sp

from 23 bets 5 have returned the same price 3 have drifted and 15 have shortened (some quite a bit)

i have been happy with most of the bets made so far

3.10 Redcar Hussar Ballad 1pt win 14-1 general

7.10 Yarmouth Toga Tiger 2pts win 11-1 general

toga tiger a non runner (ground even though its won3  times on it!)

subbed in nimiety for 1pt win at 7-1 (2 firms) in same race

can improve more possibly was not fit last time dam liked fast ground

8.40 Yarmouth

1pt win Autumnus 8/1 general

1pt win Global Recovery 20/1 general

both qualify for my system in class 6 races of having never run in the bottom grade before

Nottingham 5.15 Bold Duke 2pts win 7/2 general (4-1 about)

down in class been running fine this season likes the track the more rain the better and appears to be a lot think it can win this comfortably.

Just had a quick look at race - like you're thinking and on, 4/1 with Sid James.  Going def changing hence we back Moonstone earlier when no plans to.  Gl us

ul, ran well and close finish

two more tonight

7.55 Kempton English summer 1pt win 7-1

8.55 Kempton Gladstone 1pt win 9-2

Leaving some of these a bit late Horsey. Even a lurker like me missed that one.

I known a few leave them later.

(http://www.personal.psu.edu/swf5158/blogs/aksm/Applause.gif)

KarabinerSocksOneOutOfThePark.gif

My Dad has a struggle letting the same joke go too.....

That Gladstone looks like a right rogue.

I've not set eyes upon BigAdz yet ;)

Need a change of luck soon.

I'm sure I will be able to tell you when it happens...

FYP

 ;bigadz;

errr, that WAS the joke Tal....note to self, put a smiley face or lol after so Tal understands ;)

Forever indebted.

Slow and loud, please.

Is it a genetic condition?

Ah, Mr Mere pops up to chuck in another dig.

Welcome Sir

Blimey, you boys are on form tonight, you are cracking me up here. Pack it in, I've had a shocker of a day, hospital passes galore, and I planned to be proper miserable tonight.

Sorry I missed all the bets today, been one of them days. Woud we have won 'owt?

Will catch up with everything in the morning.

Please Mr Tikay.

The usual bullies are out again, having a go, and all I was trying to do was help.

Make them go away

Can't help, just realised, I am on the wrong bloody thread. Got no authorita here, me.

Carry on, ignore me.

hahahah brilliant Ralph

Give Tikay a nudge. Think he's fallen asleep ITT...

 ;sleep;

Have been sent this blog from a friend whenever IM has a runner. The blogger, Terry Norman, is race planner for the stable Info has been pretty good, and he seems v confident. FYI

Wednesday, 29 May 2013
Shamaal Nibras at Sandown .........................................................
Shamaal Nibras - Sandown, Thursday

Normally when I look at a race, a bit like when you turn over your exam paper, you scan the field and panic over whom you don't think you can beat. It's not the case here.

I think Shamaal Nibras will win. The fact he is 10-1 is the only surprise. The horse hasn't been in the yard for long but there is much in his favour. A drop of 2lbs, from a promising run at Goodwood (fro an awful draw), enables him to run in a 0-95 for the first time in a while, he acts on the ground and the step up again to a 1m is definitely in his favour.

Shamaal Nibras is a lovely big horse so his stride will be used more tonight than has often been the case with him in the past. There will be plenty of pace in the race with Spa's Dancer, the market leader, the worst drawn in 13, unless they come across to the stands rails.

Plenty of horses in this contest want further and the same number wouldn't want any more rain. I love this horse and his attitude. He really needs to win to cement his place in the Hunt Cup (he is probably too well handicapped now), a race that he would have a chance in.
Posted by terry norman at 18:18 No comments: 

Price is dropping by the minute

Also fancy a real ew Banzai at Hamilton later. Potentiale 4.40.

It's a 9 yr old that has just moved stables(I know, I know) but I have have been watching this horse for a while, and the change to this uwardly mobile trainer maybe just what he needs in his twilight years.

He has an over 50% strike rate of reaching the frame, and always seems to run well after a long break, off much higher ratings to boot. Normally travels very well too, so probable chance to trade, if you feel inclined.

Concerns are the obvious move, and the lady jock, but the standout 16s with Spoilsports more than compansates in a very weak looking race.

Thanks

around 4/1 now!.......had a little bit on the F/C with Swing Alone running on for second .

Does anyone have a view on Candleford in 8.10 Wetherby - looks a big price to me. Decent e/w bet, what am I missing ?

Nice profit, but may have scooped the lot if we didn't have John Wayne's daughter on it......

Cheers Adz, had abit on that :)

Nice one, I obv got caught up next door and forgot  ::)

Not missing a thing mate. Strange race, but right result. VWP

yeah a few heart stopping moments in that race,  went off 9/2

Another crossbar. Difference, again the jocks, ex champ vs an apprentice(albeit a good one).

Nice pick simonatur, great result Unlucky Adz, you know what they say.....keep knocking on the door and eventually it'l open! In other words, keep them coming so i can keep having a more informed punt that my lucky pin.

very well done mate

always love a john hills leaver :)

the trainer is decent but his owner and pretty much only backer is absolutely obsessed with lady jockeys, unfourtantley he is also obsessed with booking the not very good ones a lot

Cant believe I am gonna suggest two nine year olds in one day, but I am!

Vainglory 3.20 Epsom.

Ran twice at Epsom in this race, Investec Mile, being placed both times, off higher marks. Form on the ground.

Normally as its owned by the trainer, he lets the apprentices ride it, but tomorrow he has put Lane up. Another good sign.

Ew the safe play at BOG 12s generally

Taking the lay side of a 12/1 is a bit meh but Vainglory is a non-winner for me these days, quite happy to follow the others round. Think I'd sooner back him for a place on the machine if anything.

You're probably right Chompy.
 
It didn't look off one bit last time under Laura Pike, who I think was having her first ride of the year, so suspect it is primed for this bearing in mind it's record in the race.

Hoping it's a safe conveyance for the ew, but understand the reticence

good point on pike who i am pretty sure semi retired in the winter put a few lbs on (relative obviously) had a change of heart and has been on a big fitness thing to get back to racing weight

i actually think the horse has a good attitude just been so used to being used as an apprentice ride for simcock just lost that will to win by being given to much to do so often.

Shame that Betfair don't have a market so I can lock it in http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/teams/wolverhampton-wanderers/10090090/Kenny-Jackett-is-expected-to-be-appointed-as-the-new-Wolves-manager.html

Friday 31st May

2PTS WIN DRUMMOND 6-1 general

Bath 7,25

superb stuff

well done adz very well done

Excellento!

Hopefully that was just the aperitif for Chompy's tip.

Then we can all go off to Bath!

Well played m8 ;hattip;

So caught up in the manager markets I missed it...

Yikes, well done Adzy.

Well done Adz, hope you had a little tickle yourself on Talent (sounds good don't it)

well done Adz, you certainly showed Chompy who is boss

Certainly did mate. I tend to put question marks after my selections as deference to the Elders. My money is down already, so I can't get talked out of it ;)

Not really.

Couple of lucky arrows.

lol

:D

LOL, I can get in enough trouble on my own....

Post of the week. Not even close.

Timing has set me up there, I was answering the question about backing Talent. Oh my.... ;marks;

lucky that was withdrawn would not have beaten that

i am puzzled as to why THANE OF CAWDOR is so big in the 8.30 BATH

2pts win 9-1 general (10-1 and 11-1 about)

slowly improved for this stable on the all weather, see no reason why the turf is a negative

Thane of Cawdor...that shalt be king hereafter

Love trying to solve the Dash at Epsom each year.

This year I really like Ajjaadd 3.15 @15-1 will hill ew

Course and distance form and seems to be on the improve.

Last time it won from a bad draw after settling nicely, early on. Willie Twister obviously knew he had loads under him as he sat still for a bit too long and the leaders almost got away, but he quickened nicely. The way he settled I think a stronger run race, which he is likely to get tomorrow, will only help. Good middle draw, is a positive.

Willie Twister is replaced by another decent apprentice in Kieron O Neill, so not ideal, but still happy.

If I'm on the right lines, I also like Right Step in the 4.50. A course winner, with a trainer and jockey in form, and almost a stone lower than when he last won here. 11s generally.

just a small bet in the dash for me today

1pt win JIROFT 33-1 few firms

no idea why this is the almost complete rag of the field. All of the pundits have been telling everybody all morning how you need to be drawn high, the last two years in handicaps on this course that is not the case at all. The horse is unknown but with top sprint connections and from what i can find on youtube from its italian form has plenty of pace.

High numbers haven't been best at Epsom since the 90s.

has not stopped the tired old stuff today from the usual suspects

most of the pace looks high but i cant have this being a very good renewal with captain dunne nearly favourite

Moderate baulk as he made his move, but never looked as happy early doors as he did last time.

Cant win em all.

happy with that

considering it went off 120 sp on betfair

the first two look group animals

A few firms paid 5 places. Nice e/w punt for some!

well done

hmmm last ten years shows still a slight advantage

Low       12   155   7.7%   21.9%   0.94   0.94   £-19.00   -12.3%
Middle   12   172   7.0%   23.3%   0.85   0.75   £-20.00   -11.6%
High      18   182   9.9%   30.2%   1.20   0.86   £-1.25   -0.7%

after two 9 year old this week, now gonna suggest an interest in a horse beat a total of 125 lengths in his first 3 outings.

The Potting Shed 5.15 Southwell, looks not to have been put into any of his races so far, but quiet rides have caught my eye. Seems a stiffish mark to start with, but as a gelding out of Presenting should relish the step up to 3 miles.

Could be anything, goes the hackneyed phrase.

1pt win Dance Moves 10-1 4.00 Chantilly (France)

Hi Horsey,  Question for you if you have a chance. Looking at 16.15 Leics today it appears Sofias Number One is 13/2 due to not acting on turf.  Would you rather be a backer or layer at 13/2 ?

at 13-2 just a backer i think but not by a great deal

i actually think the horse might drift some more, did last time at southwell despite the obvious form there very unsexy yard but he does well with this type.

like you say the turf is a big worry has to be.

thanks

Had a couple of small bets today:

Wiindsor   19.00   Victrix Ludorum 7/1 win
Chepstow 17.35   April Ciel           9/1 win

Nice, 2 out of 2 beaten into 2nd by a neck. Don't tell BadBeat but I greened out some profit on April Ciel it went off at 7/2.

As long as you pretend it was because you thought 7/2 was a touch too short, he won't mind ;)

been given the chance to do something for a week elsewhere will return to this thread all being well this time next week

happy punting all

Good luck with it m8, and see you next week hopefully  :)up

ty mate appreciate it

Not intending to spam my colleagues at Oddschecker - we share offices - but their racing tips seem to have improved of late, & they hit the jackpot yesterday, two tips, two winners, 16/1 & 8/1!

Racing Tips - 04/06/2013

Today looks mainly standard weekday fare with a few classier races at Ripon.

My first bet goes at Ripon in the 3.30 and is Suits Me at 16/1. Now this horse is nearly older than me but I feel has been underestimated by the early market today. It is a highly competitive race with plenty of in-form horses, but Ted Barron's charge returns on a handicap mark of 87 which is his lowest for nearly two years. More importantly the horse showed most of his old ability last season, running well around the 90 mark in even better races than this.

The horse has never had a long break before in its career so may benefit from the 235 day break today, the trainer has a better record first time out after a long break than most and the horse has plenty of form at Ripon throughout its career. The field looks to have plenty of horses who like to lead or race handily which is not ideal but a horse up with the pace is usually favoured at Ripon.
1pt win

The last race at Lingfield on the polytrack catches my eye. It is a typical class 6 mile handicap which fills the weekday schedule. The horse I like is Super Duplex, who has uninspiring form figures of 245080 but has been backed from 16/1 in to 10/1 this morning.

The horse is not the easiest to win with but in my opinion the last few runs can easily be ignored from the formbook. His last three starts have all been over too short a trip and ridden by inexperienced apprentices. The horse has been settled in rear in each start and never had the pace to get involved, and as a result the handicapper has very kindly dropped Super Duplex to a mark of 58. Now considering he ran a good race on Feb 13th over 10 furlongs here when finishing 4th to Understory in a class 5 (a much stronger race than this) I feel this is more than fair.

The horse is ridden by Ian Mongan today, who is the go-to jockey for the trainer and has been on board for all of the horses wins and most of its best runs. The dangers are numerous but I feel this horses recent form figures do not tell the whole story and I fancy it to go close at the very least today.
1pt win

^
post earlier pls

Call

I'm having a speculative e/w bet on Corporal Maddox @ 50/1 in 7.25 at Sandown.

Heading down to the Haydock meeting tomor, any tips would be greatly appreciated :)

A guy i follow posted this:

In form jockey Ryan Moore has ridden over 20 winners in the past fortnight at a strike rate of 29% and he travels to Haydock for just three rides.  One of his rides comes aboard MY PROPELLER, who is sent on a near 400 mile round trip as trainer Peter Chapple-Hyam's only runner of the day.  Ryan Moore has ridden seven winners for Chapple-Hyam in recent seasons for an impressive level stakes profit of £50.96.  My Propeller has won three of her 11 starts on turf, including at Listed level as a juvenile.  She won her final start as a 3-y-o and made a very respectable seasonal reappearance in April when 2nd at Bath in a Listed race (ahead of three of these rivals).  She was well beaten on her last start but that came in the Group 3 Palace House Stakes against the likes of Sole Power, Kingsgate Native and Tangerine Trees.  Conditions should be ideal as she handles good to firm ground and is a dual winner over 5 furlongs.

from http://www.chrisbakersportstips.co.uk

Any views on this adz or horsey?  I see horsey's pick the other day Jiroft is fav, and a horse Adz made an observation about (doc hay) is in it too.

Was it you who said Dazinski was worth keeping an eye on after a race the other week Horsey?

I see it's running in the 14:05 @ Haydock tomorrow with Callan on board.

No mate. Was me.

Looks an ideal race today. Last time out travelled well til got squeezed on rail, and in ground he hates, he was allowed to come home in own time. Stable were in dreadful form then as well.

Two pounds lower than last winning mark, on ideal ground, all his wins have been on G/F, and his only run at Haydock, he came second in a hot race.

Looks mighty fine ew bet at 20s today, even up against a Pricewise pick!

I remember now, good luck us!

All aboard the Marie Celeste!

Been watching this one for a while. Its with that little minx Violet Jordan, who seems to squeeze every bit of juice from her horses, but only on demand, and normally at good prices. Owned by the mysterious RAKEBACKMYPOKER.COM.....!

I have watched Amenable tumble down the handicap, from a high of 89 to its current mark of 58. It looked like it was running into form two races ago at Catterick, and was then made fav for an apprentice race at Southwell last time. I think it was the first ride in this country for a promising Irish jockey, but he managed to keep the horse in every bit of kickback going, yet still ran on steadily at the end.

In my notes I reckoned a stiff 5f was what was required. Today at Beverley, he gets that, and at around 10s worth a few quid. GL if you join in!

Trading @ 18 currently on betty Adz.

Bit of money for it now in to 12.5..

Traded at 1.8 and couldnt get run on rail.

Beaten length and a half and finished hard on the steel......grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

Correction. Beer money traded at 1.24........arrrrrgh

Nearly £1200 traded on it IR @1.3.

They must have been watching a different race.

With a run would defo have won, but 1.3 was short as never looked like getting the run

FWIW, i am on Reset City in 5.00 at Bev.

Johnston is running it for the 4th time in under 4 weeks, almost unheard of, but it keeps showing all the right signs at home, and no signs of taking the races badly. Last chance for him with me tho!

 :)up

Cheers Adz :)

Bit of a touch there. 7s earlier. ;bigadz;

I Thank You

Good shot sir, unfortunately I missed it :(

Two for tomorrow

Vandross 4.20 Yarmouth @9-1 VC

Given a gentle first ride of the season and flew at the end. Comes from a stable that loves Yarmouth winners, and never thrashes them first time out. Extra 2 furlongs and five pound turn around with current second fav should see him go v close I hope!

Lady Nouf 3.25 Newbury

Cant believe its 15/8 VC. Close second to both Oaks winner and second fav, giving both tough races. Almost looks too big a price! GL if you on!

on Luther !

gl us

Best things in life are free


Sadly this Vandross wasnt listening. Not quite sure why they stuck the blinkers on when he obviously hated them and didnt go a yard.

I shall give him one more try once they take them back off. Sorry bout that.

Lady Nouf. If they say something looks too good to be true, it normally is. Not sure making it into that headwind was great move but there we go.

Onwards

Looking through tomorrow's racing and wanted to try and find a horse with some sort of chance at a decent price in the 17.15 at York. Based on my extremely limited knowledge I picked out Song of Siren at 16/1 to back e/w with B365, seems to have some relevant form, advantageous draw according to Oddschecker, stable not without winners recently.

Welcome any feedback or alternative picks. If I get any encouragement I might go crazy and have another £2.50 e/w.

O'Meara, gotta have a chance with anything he runs.

Looks value enough at the price, only thing is the kid on it has only had one ride this year.

Race has a Chompy horse in it that has done me a couple of favours, Arc Light that looks to be an improving sort.

List horse entered twice next midweek, Barwick. Oi oi!

Carnage tomorrow

Fancy 3

Sam Sharp 2.40
Lady Rosamunde 5.05
Tatlisu 7.35

All ew prices. GL

Bet Tatlisu last time out at a big price, definately didnt get a clear run, i think it bumped into the horse infront atleast 3 times, fancy it tomorrow as well as long as it gets a clear run.

You got a mention in Laddies shops yesterday!

Went something like this:

Laddies drone 1 "Graham Wheldon in the Post goes for xyz in 4.15 at Wanga Wanga. I think he's one the Post's best tipsters"

Laddies drone 2. "Never heard of him"

LOL

Was Chompy doing the form for Cartoon racing?!

Booooooom!

Rivellino caught my eye last time out with what looked like very bad luck IR.

Runs today at York 3.50pm.

Looks a tough race but well-drawn in the kind of EW contest that would have sir senseialot drooling. I suspect it could be improving so a little ~12/1 EW seems fair enough.

More value pie. Lets hope we get to eat some

16s into 11/2

Hopefully between Adz/Hugh/Pricewise and Ben Linfoot the Vegas fund is getting topped up today... Leggoooooo!!

First one in

9-1(15/2)...... ;D

Freerolling the day, and the Olympic Garden is depending on you Adz ;D

Meh traded @1.5 IR then not ridden out for a place :(

Olympic Garden look out!

<3 Pricewise!

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

Get in you good thing....Oi Oi!!!!!

Strippers throughout Vegas will be giving thanks to you shortly!

Oi oi, nice work :)

Nice tipping , good to see my skybet balance looking a lot healthier :)

well done!

Top tipstering sir. Machin's yawnsome puns ruined an otherwise interesting card.

Would like to have a quiet one but its on my list.

Lutine Bell 4.40 Donc. Ran on late over 7 last time, and over 6 this, but with a clear run, last time, could have won at either. Ryan Moore up for small stable. Surprised its as big as 5s.

GL

Nice tipping yesterday Adzy, I missed the first race and let the RP put me off the other selections..

Must remember to back your picks blind next time, good luck today.

Non Runner. 8)

Ascot study day. Feels like I'm back at school, but fun school.

For the 3 maybe 4 of you that read my offerings, do you like the write up, or couldn't give a shit and just want the selections.

Now form an orderly queue, don't all rush ;)

write up is vital, please.

+1 write up pls,

Texts to remind me too pls boss ;)

Either way for me, just as long as I have time to read it and get on from work I don't mind :)

Write up please.
Soon as you like.

Has to be bet with PP

Sovereign Debt 16-1 ew. Best price and also qualifies for money back if AK wins.

Keen to take on Animal Kingdom as its yet to run over here/win over a mile/raced in Dubai/States, round tracks vs straight/grass etc, So at odds on seems worth trying to find one to beat him.

I have watched SD since his first race, due to connections, and seen him gradually improve with age/experience. He has v good course form, and ran his best race to date last time out to come second in the Lockinge. To now Spencer has ridden him and given him too much to do on plenty of occasions and he always appears too late on the scene.
Kirby took over last time and made a move a bit earlier and hopefully will learn from it.
With his improving profile and liking for the course I really am expecting a big run in what looks a weak field for the event.


The other one I fancy is a massive price(tend to leave the shorties alone. Like Horsey, I work on the basis you can miss a few times if you look outside the norm)
Apache 5.00. 40s with VC/Stan/365.
An O brien cast off, it was well touted early doors, but looked a bit slow. As a Gallileo he is crying out for distance races and last time he was finally stepped up to 2m, he travelled really well at Haydock in a decent enough handicap, running on nicely from a mile back to finish 5th. The last time he had been run over a similar suitable type of distance, was the 1.6m Melrose(a v strong York handicap later in the year, where he was well supported and finished like he wasn't stopping in 3rd)
With most of the field heading into unknown territory distance wise, he has the pedigree to relish the step up, and at 40s worth a chance. Stable hardly flying, but like the jockey, and its all factored in.

My notes said to back Swiss Spirit(3.05) next time out regardless after his last race, where he lost a lot of ground at the start, but with a real strong field against him, I shall leave it up to you! GL

Safe to say, I have had better days........ ;whistle;

we'll get them tomorrow.  Anyone see where chompys list horse is running yet?

Barwick not running this week :(

Shame, let us know if you have any more good things please.

Couldn't hit a barn door today

Gonna chuck two bullets at a couple of old stagers in the Hunt Cup. One each side of the draw

Premio Loco 40-1 BFred.
C&D winner and should love this drop into a top handicap with a good pace guaranteed. Almost a stone lower than his last winning mark and Baker knows how to get the best from him.

Directorship 33-1 365
Seems to be on the improve at 7. Last year seemed to continually be unlucky in his runs and this year under new pilot Dane O'Neill is 2-2, and last time beat a decent field where top 5 have all franked the form, but an easy 3 lengths. Again, needs a strong pace two come off.

Back em both ew 1,2,3,4,5.


Having a complete Banzai in the big one with a small ew on Miblish who can be backed at 100-1. Seems to be improving, which needs to, obviously, but ran a good race last time having stumbled badly from the stalls. Got Ryan Moore up, and every so often Barmy Brittain knocks in one of these supposed no hopers. Hope to see The Fugue come back with a win. My fav horse from last year.

Nearly..... Premio Loco,  Ran a cracker, and glad didn't put all my "draw bias" eggs in one basket. Dictatorship, got murdered in the betting-backed into 14s....and on the track. Yet again proving value don't pay the bills.

Very pleased with the sweat Miblish gave as well. Sure didnt run like a 100-1 shot.

Getting there...

Sums up today for me, I could only get 40s with Betfred and the bald wanker would only lay me £4

love the loco

well done adz picking some pearlers

having a really busy time here at present be back on more soon (i hope)

interesting lads are still laying 11-2 No Nay Never in the Norfolk tommorow (been smashed in everywere else)

trainer has said all the time this is his best and quickest, his 20-1 shot lead everywhere but the line today and the speed figures of No Nay Never are miles better

I am sure he will lead and 11-2 looks more than fair

Come on back Horsey. Just keeping reins warm while you were away, and I leave for honeymoon next week for a month, so Your Thread Needs You!

Quite excited.

Two tracker horses at v nice prices for tomorrow

4.25 Red Avenger 40s generally

Ran in the Silver Bowl at Haydock and the write up doesn't reflect the race I saw. It certainly wasnt "pushed along 3f out, weakened one out" I saw more of a "squeezed when starting a challenge, stayed on when race over, never nearer" And I am not even talking through my pocket. Maybe thats why he is 40s. Great!!

5.35 Royal Skies 12s
In the notebook after it won a race at Ponte. Two words. "Royal Ascot". Needed a penalty to get in and since been bumped a heavy 13lbs but won again off new mark last week very nicely , and looks like the annual Johnstone RA winner to me. Always seems to get an improver here in top form.

Also impressed by Riposte in the second. Needs to make up over a stone on the ratings, but fancy it can, and would love to see a Cecil winner.

GL

People getting on your tips already probably know, but just incase - worth doing red avenger at betvictor with their promo.  Hughes on the fav for the race and if he places (top 5) and red avenger loses then you get your money back.

Any worries about the forcast rain Adz? 

Both only run on soft ground on their first ever runs mate. Neither beaten too far, so hard to draw any conclusions.

Would be less worried by Royal S, as has a lovely round action.

Just seen RS is also declared for the Queens Vase on Friday.....

What does this mean for its chances tomorrow?  My horse racing knowledge is limited.  If the ground doesn't suit tomorrow it will go non runner and go for friday?

Honestly not sure Ali.

He has a few entries in both and I can only assume because RS ran last week, they may feel he may need the extra day to get over his exertions.

He may of course be that good he can win both ;kev;

Fair enough, my money is down already anyway so whatever will be will be. Last note for those looking to back red avenger, drifted to 50/1 in two spots, and luckily one of those is betvictor (the other is bet365)  where imo its best to back him with the money back as a free bet offer if hughes places on the fav wentworth.

Good news on RA. Longer the better.

Not too worried about RS. He sure aint using tomorrow as a tee up race for Friday, so if he runs he's trying. If he doesn't -money back!

Had a great afternoon at Hamilton with the racing there and Ascot on the big screen.  They start the longer races in front of the stands so you can get this view

(http://img33.imageshack.us/img33/4080/3ifn.jpg) (http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/33/3ifn.jpg/)

Lovely pic mate.

Royal Skies out, Looks like he is out to spoil the Cecil party tomorrow....eek!

Oi Oi.

Nice One Sir Henry.

Both boys in form today so far  ;hattip;

Another strange day.

Nice winner for Cecil which paid for the day

Avenger. What a weird ride. Almost tailed off with two to go and finished about 9th abso flying down the near side. Gonna be one of them that costs me fortunes before finally winning when odds on I expect, but for now he shall stay in the book. Apols.

Edit. If backed with VC, should get your money back tho( if placed £25 or less), thanks to Wentworth placing!!

Bricked the 4.25 completely, not even a sweat.

Surely the bookies was getting a hammering before this race?

Profit again so best keep bashing on.

As Johnstone loves to farm the Queens Vase at 5.00, I have to stick with Royal Skies. Looks a weaker race overall tbh, and if he stays looks great value at 12s again.

Not sure I shall be going mad on it but shall be investing in Dick Doughtwylie 4.25. In his last couple of races he has made a good fist of things against the like of Al Kazeem, Danadanna, Thomas Chippendale beaten not very far in two races. Looks cracking ew shout at 10s.

Finally. The Buckingham Palace looks the hardest race this week, with several fancied Hunt Cup horses that missed the cut turning up here. However Shamaal Nibras ran an eyecatching race first time out for his new stable with the young jock on top, not exactly riding his heart out, looking to me like the prize was another day. At 33s I shall be getting stuck in at 33s with PP ew first 6!

GL

Loving the top 6 each way on PP for the last race,  Shamaal seems to prefer the softer ground so im hoping for abit of rain!

Not sure if he has avoided GF ground, not been much around last year or so!, but sire won on Firm, so hoping its not a concern.

Time will tell. One thing for sure I think 33s is great value at 6 places for this horse.

Not a great one for laying horses, but fav in first  tomorrow with Frankie up top got to be worth considering. I know Fahey loves it but Frankie riding so bad he looks like he needs the full allowance again.....

Maybe worth backing Joyeus the second fav then on hills or lads with the money back if 2nd offer.

Hills a point better.

Is it Ipad/Moby only offer?

Yeah hills one is mobile/ipad only.

Just got my royal skies bet on, hopefully just finish work intime to catch the races and get the weekend off to a good start!

N1.

Lets hope Frankie is having a "big " nite ;)....lol

I'd worry Adz, you might have problems because I had backed Doughtywylie earlier and it can't be healthy picking the same horses I have!

I'll have to see if I can get C4 Racing in the Nugget sports book at 6am Saturday. However, hopefully by then Tikay and I will be freerolling our expedition to Glitter Gulch on some nice results tomorrow ;D

Good luck everyone!

Probably the worst name for anything ever anywhere.

Not sure about that, I'll have a think while I'm flying tomorrow and I'm sure I've got a few in the memory bank worse...

Obviously secondhand information though, never frequented such establishments myself ;)

...is the correct answer.

Get ready for adverts like this:

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CquP3VGCeEE

Just going to throw a random big priced one out there for today in the 3.45.

Lovely Pass at 40-1 with Victor looks too big for a horse with C&D form - beautifully bred too - fresh too, so I think should be more of a 16-1 shot. With the Hughes money back offer too I just think it's a big price.

just jamesie for me today small eway with 5 places in the 5.35 at 20-1

likes ascot, the watered and rain sodden ground is an unexpected bonus, ran perfectly well last time over a mile at the curragh last time looked like a prep run and probably was

It'll be interesting to see the effect this rain on top of the watering has on the draw.

High was definitely favoured on the first day but the last couple of days have seemed pretty even. Will soft ground favour high draws again?

Who'd be a clerk of the course?

The forecast rain didn't arrive yesterday leading to quite a few withdrawals so he takes the fairly obvious decision to water last night, now it's raining on top of that..

the bha directive is to aim for good to firm ground

however as soon as the ground goes firm for some reason connections panic

stickels loves the watering can todays ground could be anything

With all of Hughes whinging about the draw in the Coronation, could resist looking harder at the race.

After looking at all the collateral form of the big 2, I can't help but think Maureen has been very unlucky in her last two races, both the 1000Gs. Finishing 6th in both, in Ireland she was knocked from pillar to post and in England Pesslier gave her far to much to do. prior to that she was a comfortable winner of the Fred Darling, again, overcoming some interference.

Cant help thinking 16s is really quite a good bet....oh no....it has Frankie on board. Still, if he wins on Sandiva I am probably wrong about his "losing the plot". Happy to be proved wrong, if it gives this one a better chance!

Frankie swerve worked. Wrong horse but done ew so no damage.

Next!

LOL @ Hughes. Moaning moron..

Still money back all round after another example of Frankie being a shadow of former etc...

Think its fairly clear Mr Johnstone made a mistake.

Skies cruised into lead round the bend and then just fell in a heap. Should have left him in the 1.4miler for sure.

Lesson learnt...probably not.

stickles worked his magic again

Shamaal gives another profitable day. Not magic but keeping our head above water.

NAP runs tomorrow.

Nice work Adz, i'l load up on the nap when you post it.

Just me and you left Bluffy!

Been keeping close tabs on this one since he moved from Meehan(Rubbish) to O'Meara(Genius).

Elusivity 4.25 Nap. Run a couple of lovely races in good company and not been terribly lucky, but that keeps him nicely placed to go well in the handicap. Should travel into the race nicely, as he can hopefully get plenty of cover and good booking with Quealy up. 28s ew with SJ first 5 tonite, but maybe some first 6 concessions tomorrow.

Another one that has actually beat Elusivity at Ascot a couple of years ago(race worth watching), I fancy to run a big ew race in the 3.45.
Sirius Prospect ew 50s generally. Again, seems to be running back into form after a year or so in the doldrums(cliche city).

Hope to see my Fav flat horse of the moment Mont Athos win, but suspect he needs a little further, and all eyes seem to be on another challenge for Melbourne. GL

Probably won't be short of finding backers for sirius prospect on here.  When i first came across this forum i saw a thread titled 'this could pay for xmas' sirius prospect was the tip then and judging by the length of it, alot of people got on.  Anyway i'm on both, good luck us!

Yeh goes back to 2010.....and a few times after!

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=50540.0

LOL, fun read.

I think me putting it up at 50s seems a touch fanciful now!

Convinced there is some value to be had in the last race today.

Stand out fav in Shawaardi, has my old mate Frankie on board. Horse is top rated, based mainly on his second last year when an unfancied 33s shot. A close look at the race will show he was not far ahead of the Ralph Beckett trained Seaside Sizzler, who 3 out was travelling as well as anything. with a few lengths between them and both having been targeted at the race, the value has to lie with SS at 20-1 vs 3-1 for the Frankie ride(and I have done to death my thoughts on him....LAY LAY). Not too many will truly stay. SS will. Good ew bet.

Also, for those that already think Im nuts, I shall offer up a few quid on Riptide. Also ran in the race last year and finished just behind SS. A jockey change to Paul Mulrenhan  this year has seen this moody fella look a bit happier and has run two cracking races at Ponty this year. At 100-1, or 150 on the machine I have to mention it.

GL all

Adz, you mentioned you don't think mount athos will win, so do you think betting ektihaam on hills with the free bet offer if second is a good bet?

Hi mate.

I have backed him, but more in hope, and am not backed anything to beat him, but all reports today would suggest he has been primed. My concern is Chester and Melbourne were the designated targets at start of year and Cumani is normally meticulous.

If I really thought/knew this was a target I would chance a bigger bet as I think he is the dogs.

Love Krypton Factor 345race ascot today. 25/1 four plcs paid Skybet great value IMO.
 This is a serious sprinter make no mistake. Ok Fallon drops to ride the quirky fav who we have already beaten last year in this very same race. Last year the ground was not right and we didn't have the best of draws. Different proposition today being draw/ ground. Can't blameFallon for deciding to ride the fav today but we have a decent replacement booked to ride. In fact I would say a better jockey than the current Fallon.
This horse has always run well and I see a very big run today. Gl to those that get on ! : )

good luck today gents

ascot looks to hard for me today like a couple at Redcar

2.40

Favourites trainer has hit form and demands respect. however has a 10lb penalty for winning a race on its 21st start last time which looks harsh. i like MASKA PONY at 8-1, still a flat maiden but won a few over hurdles love the jockey booking and hart likes to get on with it from the front this trip should suit better.


6.10

piekeroog (first time hood might calm it down a bit but still a nutter of late), light the shitty, blue top, uncut stone, all want the lead i am hoping this helps a cliff horse of mine SHIRLS SON SAM a long standing maiden who often pulls like a mad thing. It was patently obvious all of last season that Kelly Harrison was not strong enough to win the battle with him, despite this was often well backed and has shown glimpses of ability.

I am hoping the underused Barry Mchugh can switch him off if he cant settle and race properly off this probably fast pace he never will win a race. The current 12-1 is just about acceptable

  Was at the gym when I got a message society rock 11/2 , get back and obv missed it, only lasted 15 minutes!

N1 Horsey.

Good to have the thread owner back on form!!!

thanks adz

was a long last 3 furlongs

looked a 1.01 shot and then a 25-1 shot everytime they switched the camera angle

Nice ride from Hart did not panic

Comes back, posts, wins, easy game!

wish it was!

thanks a

Horrible race there. Sad ending.

As for MA, ran as I thought he might, although Calamity Spencer showing again what a liability he is in amongst horses, getting squeezed at critical point then running on, defo needs further but could have won IMO. LOL at Mike Cattermole who was v disappointed...clown.


Johnny Murtagh. What a Don of the saddle. Pure genius, and will be a loss when he hangs up his saddle soon.

Overall pleased with Kryptons run there . Had nice few bob on the place : )

Gutted. Needed covering up and was battling to find any cover with just a few horses staying stands side. Still managed to finish 7th and sure its money lent.

Obv the second any one of my fancies gets mentioned on TFT, thats the  :-*of death for it too.....lol

yeah wasn't too far of.  Hopefully one of Neils picks comes in in the next, epecially art scholar :), also hughes has changed ride to laahag, shorter odds than his original ride and therefore better for the betvictor promo id imagine.

Decent run by Sizzler to nearly save the day, but decent place return. Never seen Riptide travel so sweet til he got chopped up round top bend.

Have to wonder how Cattermole keeps any job. Comments on both the above, were I wonder how they will cope with a trip this far. If he ever looked past the top three in the market he would notice they ran in it last year. Idiot.

Anyway, no damage done this week, and plenty of ifs and maybe, but personally come out a smidge ahead somehow.

See you in a month. GL

Cheers for the tips mate, have a good honeymoon!

fancy a couple more tonight

Lingfield 8.35 STANDPOINT 4-1

still well handicapped it hacked up last time and is 9lbs lower than the mark it won off last year
12f probably not ideal but it's got the best 12f form, the focail maith run, the stand guard run, the de rigueur form, even the illustrious forest form is better than the rest of these have (fave hates aw, second fave will bounce) and were achieved off marks in the mid 70s, right back to form now and still off 68
 

Lost its way when dore was out of form but looked right on form last time trip is a doubt but against these should be ok. Very strange handicapper only putting 2lb for the last win but nice of him


9.20 Haydock Livias Dream 14-1 open race back to right trip not to happy with jockey booking but cant have everything

Lovely. Got spot Horsey.

Sadly no chance of 14s on LD, had been a WD and some oddschecker prices not updated.

Fingers crossed for a nice double. WP

thanks

did not really stay but the handicapper only putting up 2lbs saved the day

much the best

ld was 14-1 when posted with lads and vcbet (most were 12-1)

obviously deductions if it wins but ill worry about that when/if it happens

a lot could go wrong really dont like the jockey booking but try not to worry about that to much bar a few

Unlucky there. Thought he was gonna nick it.

Not my fav jockey either, but thought he rode as good a race as possible. Just beat by an improver.

that was annoying

especially as i had a very rare treble with the two winners

no was a good ride exposing any stamina doubts in the others, the only improver won well in the end

i have been waiting for TARTAN JURA to go over a marathon trip for longer than i have been trying to lose weight

4.10 ponte tommorow forecast suggests ground should ease which it needs, this horse stays all day and then tommorow form figures suggest it is a dog its goodwood sole win tells me it probably isnt just needs a massive stamina test has no turn of foot at all

4-1 is a little shorter than i had hoped but i am still happy to have a decent bet at the price

LOL. Leave tomorrow, and only one I backed is Orsipus, naturally, in same race ;frustrated; More cos it is one of those big plus column horses.

Better have a saver!

love Orsipus one of my favourite stayers would never rule the old boy out of any race as loves to win

4-1 is no giveaway on mine i was hoping for a max bet at 6-1+ and a slightly weaker race this is a decent contest

Aye. Looks a goodie.

Be lucky. GL

thanks and you

when you of?

Tomorrow. Back in time for Goodwood!

have a good time

Compy's Arc light vs Adz's reset city tomorrow in the 4pm Beverley in a tight looking race.  I know Adz is on holiday,  but do you have any views on arc light chompy?

chompy is in Vegas

sure he will post any thoughts if he sees this though A

Ah ok, thanks for the headsup mate.  Any views yourself? I think at 15/2 arc light is a decent each way bet, however i know you aren't an each way backer yourself

sorry a missed that post


3.45 Muss today Burning Thread

Form figures awful but been poorly handicapped for a long time now, last semblance of any form was this time last year over this course and distance with a good 3rd. First time blinkers, lowest class race it has ever faced by a long way and this does not look a strong class 4 race. Bit risky but at 14-1 i have taken a small chance

No worries and good luck with your selection.  I've had a small bet on it.  Also my only other one today is one you posted up before 'jiroft' in the 7:45 at Newcastle.  I see Hugh Taylor has picked another in the race in magical macey stating that any more rain and it'l be a good thing.  Jiroft has won on good and heavy before tho so I don't think it's too much of a worry.

Burning Thread now non-runner

Mister mananaman on my tracker and come up on phone. internet is too poor here to look at video form of others but big price in gosforth i see. worth watchin his last race, maybe worth a small ew, but hoped for a lesser race tbh

tweet from the owner mate

Jiroft takes his chance tonight. Originally expected him to be placed at worst. But this change of ground was not wanted & is a big unknown

bah, stupid rain! i have to let it ride and hope for the best.

He knows his stuff I suppose!

just put it up on tft

really like STORM KING at doncaster tonight

also in a smaller way like BEE JAY KAY at lingfield, slowly progressive for steps up in trip despite breeding suggesting otherwise. Still looked a bit green last time and should at the very least get a good trip from the front here, its a race full of lightly raced horses if one of them is well in it almost certainly wont win but at 16-1 im having a small bet.

Good shout, I had Kakatosi, came 2nd, had a tip for it. Was slowly away but yours won by enough anyway. I should've done the forecast!

WP Horsey.

Just caught up with weekend racing and gutted/delighted to see Trading Leather win Irish Derby... My 200-1 bet on him to win our Derby, not quite so pleasing tho........ ;grr;

excuse the spam but i am covering the oddschecker free tips section again for this week only

nearly had a good start yesterday hopefully can find a winner today

cheers

If you do half as well as you did last time you did the Oddschecker stuff, that'd be enough.

Good luck!

Missed this, best of luck and how is it going so far horsey?

I've not been awake for most of the week (some may say for the last 20 years), so haven't bet on anything since getting home. Still, I am hoping that Newmarket can put a dent in the hole that Vegas created...

Fingers crossed the Messrs Linfoot, Taylor and Segal are on form!

two seconds so far this week at 10-1 and 14-1 by a combined beaten distance of about 1/2 length and the rest have finished last :)

good luck if you have a bet

More than a little unlucky with your last selection on oddschecker today Horsey,  still loved the writeups that went with them this week .

Very small word for Angus Glens in the next at Windsor (6.50)

Good each way heat, so maybe worth 5 bob ew at 25/1 or 20/1.

thanks Simon was one of those weeks

good luck keith

Argh.

Slow away, but still looked likely to place a furlong out but just ran out of it.

Will win races over further and with a bit more experience under its belt.

cracking run

Lutine Bell v big at 7-1 for the 8.05 at Sandown tomo evening.(Laddies)

Pricewise has just given his antepost picks for the Ebor and St.Leger if anyone fancies a punt

Ebor

1pt Well Sharp @ 14/1

1pt Stencive   @ 12/1


St. Leger

1pt Excess Knowledge @ 20/1

1pt Nichols Canyon  @ 50/1

Been waiting for Captain Cat to surface this year, and told a few people to get involved, but a mate just sent me a quite compelling stat (used to love the stat stuff, but feel the juice gets sucked out of the prices now, as everybody has easy access)

basically Charlton at Goodwood

Backing his 3-5yo male handicap runners over 6f – 1m1f that are 14/1 or shorter would have given you 6 winners from 7 runners and a LSP of +£35.00. They finished: 1191111.

I shall be going in again!!

World and his wife seem to have a view on the first race. me too.

He may well win, but just cant have LC as fav.

My selection First Avenue get 3lb from him yet is 15lb superior over hurdles. A different event admittedly, but a factor. The wet ground has gone in FAs favour and he was a nearest at finish in the Queen Alexandra, a race in which many of the fancied horses here ran in.

This race has been his main target all year, and the fact he did me a massive favour in the Imperial Cup, has nothing to do with me fancying him again! ;whistle;

At 20/18s ew first 5, looks a great bet


EDIT. I think I shall gracefully retire from making suggestions on blonde.  :redcard:

really like THORPE in the 8.35

has looked to need this trip both last starts personally i would have closer to the fav

They say you should always end on a high, so you have to keep going, and when you give winning tips you'l want to carry on anyway!  In other words, keep them coming :) that goes for anyone else too who feels like posting.  If i was good enough/ clued up enough about horses i'd defo put some fancies up, as it is I rely on you, horsey and anyone else who is brave enough to put up their views.

Sparrow please post any views/bets you have

You are shrewder than you give yourself credit for


I am told Radiator is very forward and smart and should win the maiden (4.20)

Very rare i bet in a maiden but the author of such news is somebody i respect

Just passing it on

Will do, i am more of a researcher of tips than one for picking them myself.  Football season is back soon though, and thats where i find i do best and have more confidence.  I've only really been into horse racing over the past year or so, and i've really got into it recently. I love taking the william hill mobile offers, the only thing is , I don't think ive had a winner with any of the free bets i've had. 

i am not saying this applies to you but i have a friend who is obsessed with the hills free bets

All well and good but he then does not put any time into what he uses the free bets on themselves

I can honestly say it at least semi applies to me.  I try to follow fred as much as possible, i also look for decent priced bets and dont split them into each way bets (basically as Doobs suggested), however i guess i see them as a free shot, which they are.  But i should take more care into how i choose to use that free shot.  I'm also guilty of using them too quickly, rather than waiting for a decent bet to come up (within limit as I think they expire after 7 days).

dont be to hard on yourself we all make mistakes

Angus McNae and Mark Johnson just agreed that French Ties is 'an honest sort'...

fancy a few today

      Balmoral Castle       3.55 Goodwood
                       6/1      
      Maybeme       4.05 Beverley
            10/1      
                Running Deer    4.50 Yarmouth
                       7/2      

sorry no time for reasoning

You are opposing HECTOR'S CHANCE? (3.55 Gooders).

:)

A very well handicapped horse in the 2.00 at Carlisle today.

Top weight Kuanyao.

Was useful reliable horse with Peter Makin and has shown little for Dandy Nicholls so far, but shown glimmers of form in recent runs and probably been teed up for something. Last and pretty much only time he ran on an uphill finish, like todays, he won at Newmarket

Normally avoid amateur races like this, but I have watched several vids of the jockey and he seems more compatant than most of these, and I think 8-1 is a nice little ew oppo in a race that wont take much winning.

Worth a little interest

good luck adz

Tough race the fav should win (somehow beat the bent easterby thing last time when it was 15lbs at least well in) but the jockey has looked very poor so far (only 3 rides so far)

She works for the stable so screams a little bit to me of trying to get her up and running. Silly Billy responds to plenty of driving not really a great traveller but game not sure she will suit him.

Having said that he is still well in based on that last win.

Like Nicholls in these type of races just seems to be on a general decline as a trainer these days

More worried about Lothair tbh. Sangster seems half decent and been some money for it, plus similar winning profile on uphill finishes.

Fingers crossed. Not a major investment and would be happier to see some late cash.

Get the impression DN is a real party animal. I suspect each winner signals a good party and results in taking the eye of the ball a little. I reckon he still has it, but I expect he needs this sort of barren spell to re-energise and refocus over the next few years.

He is too good and too shrewd to just lose it this quick, IMO

17117

Hab Reeh record in amateur riders' races

Also won last 3 times after a run within 10 days

This race looks more of a minefield the more i look

wish you luck adz

You're not wrong...half the fun tho!

Like someone thats prepared to stick their neck out

Good Luck

Second

Good call, unlucky

forecast adz

well done shame not other way round

ul I had a bit on in running when it got away well.

Got the right two, wrong order.

The cast should pay ok tho...!

the third is still well in i think hardly an inspired ride could barely steer it

Have backed Imperial Bond small at 16-1 last at southwell

very winnable race, improved from a very low base since joining Ward who is doing well with not a lot of ammo. Sire does quite well here major doubt is the mile (sire poor over a mile) but Ward must think it needs it hardly needs to protect its mark

Saved on throwing roses who won well last time again has good sire stats here and should be clear fav

good luck

also backed Hunting ground in the 7.20 at 13-2

street cry out of a dual g1 winner on dirt, up against two horses out of sadler's wells mares

simple really the switch from the boys in blue to mj is usually a + and mj is 5-9 in older age maidens here

Bit late to take that advice there Horsey...N1 tho

GL with the one in the last. Normally switched off by then if nothing stands out, but just looked and notice just how far Smokey Oakey has fallen. As a Lincoln winner it must surely be showing something at home for them not to have retired him.

Callan booked is the best jockey booking for almost a year and he has fallen over 20lbs. Back over fav distance too. As an aside,  last time Callan rode him was 7 years ago.lol

Cant resist a sneaky bet now you have flagged it up. GL

Five minutes before off only looked at race late sorry

Yes amazing to see that

Im sure Tompkins still thinks it will win another group race

Interviewed yesterday on RUK amazingly he has attracted more owners, must talk a good game

gd lk

For him to have attracted more owners he must have married his kids off to very rich folk.lol

As far as im aware he pretty much breeds all his stock from his existing line

No idea why when the majority are not very good

Used to have a couple I used to follow that never quite managed what they should have but at one time or another landed a decent punt on both Steenburg and Brushing. Probably his last winner....

missed the kempton card earlier

Like Sohar in the 8.20

still a maiden but it's not done much wrong/had much chance for over a year.  

ran well behind john louis, outclassed in listed company.  then the key run, 2nd to ardlui, looked all over the winner, just got outstayed but think on that evidence an easy 2m should be ideal.  needed first run, didn't stay at ascot but ran fine.  was facing the wrong way at the start last time and had no chance.
ardlui won again, they were 9 clear of lieutenant miller a very strong looking form line

its a cracking staying race but 8-1 is a smidgen big i think

Some performance there, or more likely shows how bad the rest are, to give that start away and win so easy from so wide.

Smokey hated the kickback........and racing...lol

never again with sohar utterly tripless

Sir Reginald ew

3.00 Chester. One of those horses that keeps catching my eye. Had a nice break. Well drawn, and Fahey remains in cracking form.

10 with PP and 365 looks mighty big as Laddies are 13/2.

GL

Interesting bit of bookmaking here

Sir Reg now into a general 7-1 yet Laddies have moved to market leader at a stand out 8-1!

11-2. Value..... please let me eat it!

Holy moly.

Typical Chester shocker ride. Still, small profit again. One day soon will eat a full slice of the Value Pie

unlucky Adz

Just watched it back now,  unlucky m8 :(

ul adz

had a small bet EXCLUSION at 5-1 in the 7.00 southwell

gd lk all

I shall be having a small wager on town mouse in this race as they have been messing about with it.

What about having racing on Good Friday? What a bad idea that is.

Been waiting almost a year to see this horse back at 5f, and finally get it today in the Beverley bullet.

Baileys jubilee showed fantastic speed last year and I was surprised they started the year over 7f. Not seen since, it has the draw and a long absence to overcome, but if it shows the speed it did last year, it has to be a player vs this modest bunch.

I think there is still some 20s on Betty. Don't go mad, but hopeful nonetheless. Gl

Silly me. Blind optimism that he could overcome that ridic draw was misplaced

Once again we see another Frank Spencer pearler.

[quote Once again we see another Frank Spencer pearler.
[/quote]

lol was a head in hands typical spencer effort, wp sir!

Dance and dance surely massive at tens. Curragh 4.45.gl

On already, got on last night, (thanks to a good friend) but where are you getting 10/1 Adz?


http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/curragh/16:45/winner

Betfred last nite and on phone about 10 mins ago


Edit. I may have moved the market ;)

Wow, well done you.

I got 9/1 last night & early (2am) this morning, but never saw any 10/1. Betfair were 9/1 (WIN) at the time, & just over 2/1 the place, first three only.

I wanted to get a bit more on this morning, & logged onto Oddschecker at around 7am, it was 8/1 best then. You did well.

Good luck anyway.

We both missed out. Looking at the graph on Oddschecker and Coral had him at 12s for a while.

GL us!

Bugger.

Not sure that horse will ever win again if they keep dropping him out 30 lengths behind the pacesetters....hurumph

Like two in the same race today have backed them both win only

Had more on THE QUARTERJACK 5.20 CHEPSTOW at 16/1

Ground was too fast last time and probably doesn't like windsor, 2/2 left-handed bend on soft down in class a bit to. Enough positives for the price

Smaller bet on AFRO at 14/1

still unexposed excuses last time trainer in form last week and had a few backed at big odds

gd lk all

Pallasator wins the Ces imo if it's on the slow side. That was some comeback effort today.

Tigerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

Hmmmm. The fkr just won at 50/1 and I never spotted it today. Doh!

knew the horse rang a bell for some reason

ul sir

Got an email fromt he tote today saying its the biggest ever rollover on the pick 6 at Galway. Worth a shot? Any tips? :)

Like SPATS COLOMBO in the 5.00 at Redcar today at around 7/1

Progressive from a low level, main angle is the sire is a lot better on soft/heavy than anything else.

Should improve for the ground if it doesnt still has a chance fav look to short to me and not particularly worried about anything else in there.

PU something wrong there

I backed this too Horse, the only good thing is if I had seen your post before the race I would probably have had more on. I hope it was ok.

Yes me to did not look great :(

Want to put up a horse for discussion and hopefully get some views from more knowledgeable horse punters than myself.  I browse other sports betting forums and came across some strong support for Noble protector in the 4:50 at sandown tomorrow.  To paraphrase, won last time out very well, second won next time out, best prices 4/1 but only 9/4 with willhill, the WH price is beleived to be closer to the true price, good draw.

Obviously its unexposed as it is only its third run tomorrow, a new jockey in Queally is a positive to my eyes, up in class from its maiden, and also the horse who finished second in its last race than then went on to win only won a class 5, this is a class 4.  Won at this distance.

Personally I think tht 4/1 is a bit too big, im not convinced it is a 9/4 shot either though.  Anyway i've backed it, im not trying to pursuade others to back it just yet, considering it's not fully my own view.

got the best price anyway mate

looks a more than fair mark based on that maiden win to me think the handicapper has been pretty lenient with the mark maybe because it is a smaller trainer?

anyway good luck hope it wins for you

Not shortened as much as i thought due to a couple of others in the field shortening.  I guess there may be concerns over the ground, also being upped in class. Still i remain fairly positive and if i don't like it so much nearer the time and the price remains similar to now i can always lay it off. 

Also had a go on orpsie boy in the last at wolves, followed him for awhile (to my expense) but his mark keeps going down, pretty sure its going to pop up sometime soon, hopefully today will be the day.

No joy , went off at 5/2 in the end.  Didn't get to watch the race so not sure if it is worth following or not. 

Anyway i see an old one of Adz popped up in sir reginald at Doncaster.

Half interested in Milly's Gift at Bath (5.40) tomorrow. And very interested if there's any money around.

She hasn't done anything like as well in three turf starts as on the AW but fast ground probably wouldn't have suited and this is a much easier race. Cox has two in the race and Ryan Tate rides this one. Worth a look in the morning.

Was first under pressure then stayed on to look half dangerous before plodding on to finish mid div

Probably the ground and there is something there i think worth another go on a sounder surface if a fair price

Agreed, didn't have an ideal draw tonight either out in stall 10, i got on it at 10s and i think it went off around 5/1 so there was some support for it.  I dont see it being a huge price if it runs in the same type of race but i think it  has a win in it on this mark fairly soon.

So far on mr impatient tomorrow, well supported last time and likes soft ground, bit of money around for it today too it seems.

Will check on chompy's selection in the morning, and if anyone else has some some fancies we could try and get this thread going again.

If anyone can figure out the 2:40 at doncaster then please post. A few bookies going top 5 1/4 odds which has to be good if you can get top price with them on a decent horse.  I remember reading that Monsieur Chevalier used to have some useful form but hasnt been at his best lately after a break and could be a big sweat.  Other than that I quite like both the Omeara horses and i also beleive huge taylor put up magical macey previously on the basis it likes soft ground.

Pricewise put up Doc Hay  @ 12-11/1 and Angels Will Fall @ 25/1

Fair bit of support for both I see, prob have to throw a couple darts at this race and hope to hit! Looks like Doc hay is the most likely of the omeara two then, backed up with having tudhope on it.

Undecided on monsieur chevalier, won some class 1s back in the day, down to a mark of 96 and was rated as high at 115.  Doesn't seem like a positive jockey booking though and the draw isn't ideal.  Likes the going and the distance though.  Maybe best watched tomorrow but could be one for the tracker.

Edit: just read on the RP that Ogorman has a 40% strike rate with horses wearing blinkers for the first time, assume he is wearing blinkers for the first time or i'm not sure what they would have put that stat up!  Talking myself into it here abit lol

Anything he puts up gets hammered, not without good reason though.

id pay so much just to watch and listen to him go through a race

Best part of paying for the tipping in the RP is anything he posts/talks on.

FWIW he put your Leger pick up ante post.

Made for a good day for me and Marky....drift to tens was heaven sent ;bigadz;

Good would have been nice, but I was quite happy to be saved from the disaster that was Channel 4 Racing

The way Jim McGrath had poured scorn on its chances, I had already written it off. I suppose that's the owner's prerogative though, low expectations mean no disappointments...

Completely forgot about it, only noticed when i was browsing the results once i got in :(

Had a little play on Red Jazz, guy i follow pointed out he has form figures of 1212123 on ground good or softer and he felt 25s was over priced, at the time it beat betfair so i followed him in. (Doncaster 3:15)

I saw the post race stuff, and could not believe my ears. Fahey has always said that it has poor feet and sting out of the ground had to help it. Would be the first time JMac put us away on his own horses chances tho.

Whilst we are on about cliff horses, Al Muheer has perfect conditions at Chester today, and hopefully Elusivity will finally deliver in the Portland over what looks a perfect trip.

Be lucky chaps.

Does anyone have a view on the draw in the Portland, or Confessional's chances?

Easterby seems to have done a good job of getting down from a mark of 106 and then had to win a race it was pretty well backed for last week off 94 to get in here. Runs off 100 today but a view on the draw would be most welcome.

thanks

Looks like the price is slowly shortening, enough money to make you very interested or not mate?

Seems the draw bias is towards the higer number stalls.  No real view on confessional though.

thanks mate,  haven't seen a race all week there as I am away so a  pity the draw might be no good. Will have a smaller bet instead.

cheers

He certainly didnt win out of turn last week, and turned the race into a procession. Sometimes a win is all they need to go on a roll. If I was at the wedding last week, I would reinvest for sure, but I missed that so wont be on him this week.

From a pace angle, Bogart sure to be up there from 7. It always feels like something swoops from the wings in these massive fields but much of the field are finishers so it may play out differently, with a lurker like Confessional able to kick away before the rest get into gear...and each others way.

ive been backing leading light all week in the st leger only bits and bobs , i dont think hes the most talented animal to come out of o,brien's yard but ive got a sneaking suspicion he could be one of the toughest , a rounded action and plenty of heart is enough for me to have a bet ... posting really to say all his races are on atr and going through them has been an education in how to bring a horse on , hes obvs out paced in his 1st run under heffernan and gets pushed along every yard of the 1m 1f by manning on his maiden win when only his stamina really comes through at the end to win going away , as a 3yr old o briens lad takes the reins and teaches him to front run , the horse enjoys this , so he slows it to a near stop and then quickens away again for an easy win after these lessons he goes on to grp races and harder oppos and outbattles the others to win,eye opening way to teach a horse about almost every situation hes gonna face in his races. He might not win today but iv quite enjoyed tracking his progress

See there has been a few nibbles today, what you thinking Chomps?



Think Ali mentioned Mister Impatience a while back on here?

He is Paul Kealy's pricewise extra selection today

When last running on this track he sauntered away with a handicap on the opening day of the season on soft ground, and it's somewhat of a surprise that he didn't go on from that.

That said, he was second to subsequent Derby winner Rule Of The World at Chester over this trip and fourth in the Queen's Vase, but for most of the summer he has been racing on the wrong ground.

Despite the official description last time at York, the ground was nearer good than soft and Mister Impatience will love conditions today.

This is some way weaker than the Melrose he ran in last time and he gets a handy 9lb weight for age allowance from some fully exposed older horses. The danger could be one-time Derby fancy Greatwood, but to geld a horse who had such high aspirations only a few months ago smacks of desperation.

Put up at 6/1 and there is still a bit of 5/1 about.

Backed mr impatient last night at 13/2 :)

Good day today

Already backed mr red clubs last night as per tft

Like AJJAADD in the portland and a rare occasion when Hugh can put a horse up and its price drifts or at least stays the same

Personally i would have the horse close to fav really like the claimer booked as well. Been trying to cut out backing in these kind of events so only a small bet at 14-1

Good luck us ;D

Yes indeed, today is starting to get a little out of hand, think it might be time to get ouso i can't add to my portfolio of bets todays lol

Might have a little save on him.

Ted Powell bought this horse in 2009 with this race as the objective, having won it a couple of times in the past as an owner. Last year missed out by 1 when missing the cut and been its objective all year. Decent form to boot

I'm on Ancient Cross at a big price today. Would be nice.

I've taken the view that there's a bit more pace amongst the low numbers in the portland - so I've gone for burwaaz and confessional ew 5 places.

I got on Milly's Gift last night. Nice steady nibbling today. Definitely like her.

No draw bias in the Portland.

In the Portland, I seem to be on......

Confessional

Aajjaadd

Doc Hay

Secret Witness.

pity the jocks didn't think that  ;)

Pricewise gets up, hope you got some marky!

Same trainer as Red jazz in the next, 365 still hold 25/1 which beats betfair.  Hopefully get a decent sweat for my money in that one, MC didn't break well in the last so that was no fun to watch for me

F5ing at 1950 on a Friday, so I get them as soon as they're posted :D

Could be much less profitable uses of your time on a friday night! 

Red jazz dissapointing after some market support.  Thats my two long shots out the way anyway, hopefully reddie steady bets pick in the st ledger does the job.

Be a perfect end to the televised racing if he does, Segal banged him up at 20s back in July :D

I think Chompy is actually my hero, everything i back of his turns to gold! 

ty ty Mr Chompy

Incred scenes!

Just bigged you up on wrong thread.

Star man ;tightend;

Oioi Chomps  ;tightend;

The pain of Excess Knowledge erased immediately!

I have a laminated picture of him for special occasions like now.

Dare I ask why its laminated?

Pricewise for tomorrow if anyone is interested, all races at Longchamp -


13:30 Longchamp - Triple Threat  1pt win at 8/1

14:40 Longchamp - Tasaday 1pt win at 9/1

15:10 Longchamp - Mandour 1pt win at 12/1

You really ought to get your own bets on before posting those. Oh, wait.....

magic stuff with the beast at Bath Chompy.

great stuff.

Hopefully sharing will get me some karma points :)


Also, does anyone know a way to watch the racing at Longchamp?

I don't have access to ATR on Sky and the 'Bet & Watch' isn't available for these races.

http://tykestv.eu/streams/horse-racing/at-the-races/

Ha, I use tykes for ATR/RUK during the week and they're normally very good.

They're rarely on at weekends though and today it is down too unfortunately.

I'll just have to wait for the ATR replays to upload to the site, they're normally pretty quick anyway, thanks m8.

 Yeah it seems to be off more than its on at weekends and evening meetings.

Can't complain at a free service, but it does grate when the channel switches halfway through the last race at a day meeting, and leaves some random football match on :D

tough crowd ..... getting it quietly :)

Meant to congratulate you on your pick yesterday but clean forgot.  Loved the write up and the effort you put into tracking the horse, please keep them coming :)

well done mate, lovely winner.

Remembered someone here was on that horse, but thought it was Tikay after they posted in Fred, congratulations on a nice scoop!

I was gutted by the fact that Excess Knowledge ran more like the 20/1 shot that I backed him at, and that my smaller bet on Talent suffered a ride through the bumper cars on his run at LL...

Don't think it would have mattered, but it's par for the course to feel a bit sorry for yourself :)

Know that a few here aren't too fond of Mr Spencer, it seems Luca Cumani isn't either...

http://www.rsn.net.au/audioplayer/1379541031.mp3

LOL. Best news for ages was hearing that Frank wont be on Mt Athos in the Melbourne Cup.

How on earth did you find this Mark?

Someone tweeted the link to Hugh Taylor while I was waiting for the 5 minute warning this morning.

Dear punting gods, please let Mass Rally win the big race.

Yours expectantly.

Roll on the jumps season... that ride on saxo jack wouldve made Spencer proud.....grumble grumble

 :redcard:


Careful. Spencer bashing police will be after you :tikay:

That and Hoku about summed my day up :(

Read that this morning on the Sporting Life website, fair play to him.

How on earth do they pick those 5 out?

Sorry, missed this yesterday. I'm guessing he borrowed Tal's spider :)

Pricewise horses tomorrow are -

15:30 Hay - Demora (Paul Kealy's NAP too)

15:50 New - Educate and King George River

Like a few today backed them all most on Good Speech as per tft

Think Suegioo is overpriced today against some confirmed hold-up horses.  He's been held up himself the last twice, but it hasn't suited him and I fully expect Martin Harley to make more use of him today (he gave him a prominent ride the last time he rode him, and he has made the running this season).  Still think he's well handicapped and can gain a deserved win with the right ride if held up early i hate the bet

Good Speech has some excellent form to her name in 3-year-old handicaps, and can hopefully return to winning ways now she's back in against old horses.  72 under-rates her and the return to better ground will suit having looked to be hating every minute of the soft ground last time, running remarkably well in the circumstances in a better race under a poor ride.  She goes well here, is well drawn and should get the strongly-run 12f she needs - bold but i really expect her to win.

Have to back Vicky Valentine at 18/1+ at Chester tonight.  Lightly-raced, she won well enough last time and has proven herself in tactical affairs in small fields.  Edwyn Ralph was disappointing on his only start here, Eton Rambler might not settle off a slow early pace here and Gabrial The Master looks exposed.  Duke Of Yorkshire should be well suited by the demands of this contest too and looks worth a bet too, albeit at slightly less glamorous odds of 5/1.

Finally, Bantam paid the price for chasing an overly-strong pace set by Astonishing, but she showed how good she was the other day and there's no shame in that run.  She remains progressive and this track should suit her, unlike last time when she didn't look happy running downhill.

I seem to have backed half the field in the Cambridgeshire, one way & another.

Red Avenger

Belgian Bill

Prince of Johanne

Seek Again

Dance & Dance.

Easy game........

The Bookies took a right pasting on that, for sure.

They took a pasting on those two, hope some Blondes got on!!

Nero Emperor in 6f race at Curragh

Thanks mate, one from your tracker?  Whilst i went to oddschecker to find it, i saw one i had to bet on in the first 'sparrow' - after cockney sparrow did the job last weekend, this is must be a cert lol.

i dont know much about horses but while trying too get my ew lucky 15 on including sweet helena in the 16:30 at epsom today her price went from 15.0 into 7.5 in a matter on minutes

still some places offering 13.0 but price dropping on all the bookies according too oddschecker betfair price is 11.0

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/epsom/16:30/winner

Alll i know about Espom from some help Redarmi and Chompy gave me awhile back is that it suits a specific type of running, got to grab the rail and go from the front for the best chance.  Especially suits horses who have won at the track before and know how to ride it.  If you search Xinbama (running today in that race funnily enough) you should find the replies from the two shrewdies mentioned above which could be helpful in picking out horses at Epsom when you do your research.

 ;woohoo;

sweet helena odds are still baffling me difted to 13.5 on betfair but into 6.0 on 365 and at 13.0 on stan james
havent see odds so wide on a single horse before

that is another question who decides what the starting price is ?
ia it an average of all the major bookmakers ?

Booom, what a legend you are ! Cheers mate :) keep posting!

Xinbama at 22s or brockleback at 12d for the great escape this weekend now after adz's, unfortunately missed Markys posts yday :(

Oisin comes up trumps again! Some boy he is

Good lad. Glad someone got a bit. ;D

haha certainly did, made up for my useless picks! Sparrow got second earlier, shame he wasn't quite good enough to do the business. Now your horse has given me some back, ive whacked it all back on channings NFL, last chance weekend getout!  If only i had done the 3 horses marky and yourself posted :)

Pricewise horses for tomorrow...

Ascot

14:40 - Gospel Choir @ 6/1

15:50 - Ascription @ 8/1
           Shamaal Nibras @ 25/1


Redcar

15:30 - Trading Profit @ 9/1
            Omaha Gold @ 33/1


Longchamp

13:30 - Darbadar @ 6/1

14:08 - Siyenica  @ 14/1



1pt win advised for all selections

As it seems I am the only one left with a fully functioning PP account...albeit, the wifes, thought best post this one here, as wasted on Fred!!

Tadalavil 2.40 Ayr

12s with PP.

Also been waiting for The Potting Shed to go chasing. Better ground should also help.

Looks to be in a weak little handicap to start 2.30 Worc

8-1 365.

good luck adz

been nibbling away at a couple in the ces at the weekend

Old "friend" Brockwell is still fair value at 20's rarely runs a bad race looks big at nearly double price of oriental fox

Have backed Sohar at 50's today (Skybet going 5 places if you can) had excuses last twice not convinced it can win this but best career run over this course looks well handicapped from 80.

Will also add Moidore if rain looks like arriving friday evening, has no chance on good or quicker ground as is just a grinder but is well handicapped on earlier season form with a few near the top of the market

8/1 looking tidy now Adz!


Ben Hutton from the RP put up Sohar as an EW selection himself, along with Poyle Thomas too.

Anyone that doesn't have a Sky account can get 50/1 5 places with BMU

One out of two acceptable. Shed well punted too.

Tad lost before it started, as ground had dried out, and price reflected that.

Profit though for those that follow!!

Couple of those a week wouldn't go a miss, thanks very much Adz.  ;hattip;

well done, unf bet£3.65 won't play with me....    :'(

20 runner apprentice race over 7f. LOOOOOOOL, you gotta be kidding!!!

Oh dear.

Been waiting for Mon Brav to run back over 7f for ages.

Won over course, and seems to finish each 6f race like this will be ideal. At the general 14s available I just have to mention it. EW must

Nice win today Adz, i missed both unfortunately. 

Any views on oriental fox for the cesarewitch?  We know it stays and Murtagh is back on for the ride, he is in ridiculous form of late and i'm guessing he could have had any number of rides? so it's a positive that he is sticking with it after his last win.

Orpsie boy runs tomorrow in the 6:10 at wolves.  Career low mark, 22 races without a win.  I didn't think it ran well last race, but showed promising signs before that.  Last race was a class 5, back down to class 6 again today.  Same course and distance they keep trying it over.  Drawn low which is a positive, Luke Morris keeps the ride after last time which in my mind is another positive, must think it has a chance if he is back on board after last time? Obviously its long losing run is a negative, at 12/1 im happy to take a little punt.  If they can't get it to do the business tomorrow, I think its time to give up and forget about its falling mark and delete him from the nagme. 

Mr Sparrow.
These sound like ice creamy traits you have developed, falling in love with a horse etc and backing it til it wins.......tut tut( never expose yourself so publically, always keep it off blonde ;0)).

As a long time OB fan it has to be last chance saloon time. I thought he had everything in his favour last time tbh, and he never showed up, in all honesty I must question the wisdom.

OF very impressive last time. Sadly I rarely get Mark Johnno right, and feel lucky to have got a few bob from him last time when the maestro was on him. I won't be following up and will be hoping rain stays away as I am on Domination at nice prices.

GL mate

I don't think I'm developing ice cream traits, I've always had them lol.  Definitely improving on it though but you are right, I should not follow horses as often as I do, part of the learning curve that I haven't quite got over yet.  I haven't put any money on the fox yet, orpsie is carrying a few of my ££ though and it will be his last chance !

See, for all my good intentions I will have too now as well!!! Gl mate

well done yesterday adz

not sure i trust oriental fox to do it again on Saturday especially at a similar price to last time in a much tougher race?

As for orpsie boy think i said before never get Carr right so i leave her alone horse looks to have lost its spark though? Never put anyone of a double figure priced horse saying that

had pennies on JUSTONEFORTHEROAD today at York

Based on last run looks back in form, likes the track, the ever softening ground is a bonus, well handicapped and i really like Samantha Bell as a claimer (Seems to have settled in with Fahey now after a slow start)

small bet at 20's ish

Hugh has just put up Sohar as we;ll so at least should have a value loser tommorow evening :)

As he states looks like the rain will be hitting hq so i have had my final ces bet on moidore

Hugh has now put up Moidore as well :(

Hugh is definitely 'due' that's for sure. I've been following him for the last month and it's been very cold!

He posted himself the other day that this year was his best ever until the last 4 weeks, which have been abysmal and he had his first winner over that period on Tuesday.

That said, he has been pretty unlucky a few times, the most memorable being Chrissycross - a 12/1 shot that pulled 5 lengths clear to lose by less than a neck.

I didnt mean it to sound negative he had put up Moidore just the fact the price would go before i could get on which it has

Think he had a winner in the week at Wolver?

Gotcha, hopefully they'll ease them again in the morning so you can get the better price.

Yes, he had a winner at Brighton on Tuesday and that was the first for about 3 weeks.

Pricewise horses tonight were -

Newmarket

14:05 - Trumpet Major @ 11/1

15:50 - Tiger Cliff @ 12/1


York

15:30 - Baccarat @ 8/1

Loving the Newmarket double.

Liking the Trixie, but don't tell Tikay ;)

lack of rain a big worry for me 3 bar brockwell


cant see how sohar or moidore will be quick enough to win now hopefully sneak into the places behind brockwell :)

Hard to believe there's ever been a worse big-name jump jockey than R.Johnson. Guy is an insta-lay on anything short at the moment.

Were the jocks told that The Ces is now a 2m race?

Bizarre how early all the big guns went for home. V odd

would not have picked that with 32 free bets

Where did pallasator actually finish?! I'm quite confused I thought I'd lost but seems I haven't...

Should have taken the hint when No Leaf Clover wouldn't respond to my shouting at the telly

5th mate, most bookies paying 5 places.

Tiger Cliff travelled like a monster, but it looked like he had me on his back for the last 1/2 mile...

sweet cheers Marky, yeh paddys have paiiiid me but I thought id missed it. GL everyone tyty

Made me smile. I agree. I have a share of a horse trained by Tim Vaughan and never rated Mr Johnson even though he'll be riding the horse this season no doubt :-(

Got up late because I didn't realise there was any decent racing today...

Did the Ellison Pricewise horse with both of Hugh's picks in a treble, and also had his in a double too.

16:40 Curragh  - Montefeltro

16:45 Gdwood - Ashpan Sam

17:45 Gdwood - Myboyalfie


Great entertainment for £15, but I guess I'll have to keep saving for Vegas :(

Really like Samantha Bell.

Only had seven winners so far, four of them in the last week or so. She'll get plenty of rides next turf season if she keeps her 7lb.

yep wins with the other ride on saturday and then 2 from 3 with one placed today

She is well worth following just wish i had looked at todays fayre now

Put up a race too early, but I know a few kept the faith. She rode a cracker!! ;)

bit of a risky one this but anyway

LUPO DORO 4.50 NOTTS at about 16/1 win only

Very risky as basically failed to start the last twice, however Doyle back on board (1-1) good draw, trainer in bit better nick and form on this ground is 2321.

Bet it in the Shops and wait to see if it traps before handing the slip over?

Hehe. I remember my phone punters doing that with Vodkatini. What an awkward animal that was.

Haha.

Vodkatini. Always went to the local bookie with the least experienced staff whenever he ran. Happy days!

Lovely time of year. Jumpers starting again and a few switchers.

Lie Forrit has his first run for Lucinda today in last at Wetherby. 6s last night looked worth a risk, not so much the 3s now, but if he puts his best foot forward, could be a horse to follow, now he is with a decent sized stable.

Lovely performance, and a great SP, 13/2. Jubbly.....





 ;booder;

Good shout mate!

How blessed are you?

Get the early price, but they throw in an extra point via a pre race drift!

Missed it obv. - expect a drink for not bokking ;)

nice spot , could be a good season for the ladies ,lavelle, russell, sue smith and v williams all trainers i'll be following  this year.

Very nice. Drifter in the shop too. So everyone came up trumps.

Captain Sunshine should be hard to beat in the 3.15 at Chelts tomorrow with Lavelle horses pulling up trees, but can't help thinking Restless Harry is worth a few bob at 20s plus.

Now he has lost the liability that is Henry Oliver, he already is better off, but he has a decent record fresh and Almost 2 stone lower than during his pomp.

As a front runner we should get a run.

well done with lie forrit adz

gd lk today